Ennder
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Everything posted by Ennder
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The problem is nobody believes in Hart, pretty much all of the posts you see about him mention that the other team doesn't trust him to keep it up. I just don't think many teams are going to trade a major league level pitcher for Corey Hart at this point. Maybe if he has a big 2nd half as well they will but not mid season.
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Hart isn't bringing back a major league player in any deal we do with him. He would be traded for prospects if anything.
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They would have to completely tank the 2nd half I think. We are still in the middle of the rebuild imo as we are still on the first set of players drafted. A rebuild isn't 'finished' until the second wave has come and the first wave is re-signed or traded. You can't rebuild a franchise on one set of prospects, it takes at least 2 waves unless you are large market and can rebuild via FA. -
He is absolutely correct, there is no reson to tear the team apart. Selling Fielder or Hart now is fine but that isn't tearing the team apart either and you don't want to give them away cheap just because the team isn't contending atm.
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Completely standard way to handle pitching injuries, not unique to our medical staff in the slightest.
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It would take a highly unlikely run at the playoffs most likely. Sheets, Gallardo and Parra as the only viable MLB starters over the past 10 season is not a good track record, it certainly has been an issue.
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No, it is 10-15 years for anyone. You have to draft a good group of prospects over a 3-4 year period, have them work their way to the majors, show success at the majors and then turn those prospects into even more prospects or sign them long term while a 2nd group of prospects come up. Now an organization with a lot of money like the Cubs might be able to cut corners and do it faster but an organization that isn't large market and has very little talent in the majors or minors is a 10+ year project. Look at the Rays, it took them around 11 years too and they were in better shape than the Brewers when they started imo.
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That is losing baseball trying to play small ball to score 3 runs. Better pitching would certainly be welcomed as well as better defense but bunting and stealing bases is not anywhere near the problem with this team. The core issue is Jack Z and Melvin drafting for offense and nothing else and I get why they did it. The second issue is we are still early in the rebuild, we are still on the first set of players drafted and it is usually the 2nd set of players that are the ones that put you on the map long term. Rebuilding a sad organization is a 10-15 year project.
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You know the Brewers kind of did this same thing when Sheets would go down too. Lose your big stud player and then just play like absolutely crap top to bottom for a week or two.
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Isn't Escobar supposed to be good with the leather?
Ennder replied to AdvantageSchneider's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Escobar has more or less been exactly the player I expected this year. I'd imagine next year he starts to become more like what people expected out of him. There is a reason I was against trading Hardy going into 2009 because there was no reason to think Escobar was ready at that point. -
Brewers were probably lucky in 2008 and were lucky in 2005 for sure, that 2005 team was nowhere near a .500 team. They probably played relatively close to their talent last year and 2006 and 2007.
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Yeah I don't think anyone thinks we shouldn't be sellers because while the team has underperformed the games still count and now they need to vastly over-perform to have even a chance at the playoffs.
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Grooving meatballs increases all flyballs and LD not just HR. If your FB rates are steady and your HR/FB jumps it is almost always just random fluctuations which most people call luck. Pitchers have very little control over their own HR/FB%. Watch the HR derby, the pitchers are trying to groove fastballs in there and the hitters still don't hit HR on even half the pitches, many of them only hit 1 or 2 out of 12. Just making a bad pitch isn't anywhere close to all that goes into a HR.
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BPro projected the Brewers to win 75 games with 755 RS, 782 RA. We are on pace for 71 wins and 768 RS and 841 RA. The difference pretty much comes down to the pitching under-performing and more specifically you can point at Wolf, Davis, Hoffman and Hawkins having their various problems. I'll catch a lot of flack for this but 84 games is way too small of a sample to judge a team on. 162 games is probably too small but obviously is the most you can work with during a season, 84 is just way too small. I think this team is somewhere around .500 so like I said we should be looking towards 2011 and 2012 but trying to say people are wrong for thinking something about a team because of 84 games just isn't realistic.
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The 11th best pitching in the NL combined with one of the top 3 or 4 hitting teams should result in around a .500 team...
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I'd trust the projections before I'd trust actual records. The projections are based on 3+ years of data, the records are based on 1 year. Results are a terrible way to measure things like talent in baseball unless you are using much larger than 1 year sample. I would expect an 81 win talent team to win somewhere between 65 and 97 games with most season being between 71 and 91. I think the gap between results and talent is that large. I still think we should be looking towards 2011/2012 though. At this point even playing at a 91 win level the rest of the way probably doesn't make the playoffs.
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Could be as simple as he is slumping too. He has had an OPS under .700 for a full month before back in 2008. Heck in 2008 he had 3 full months with an OPS of .784 or lower. Could be a combination of things like the injury slowed him down and caused his hitting mechanics to get a little out of whack and he hasn't gotten back from it yet. Could be all kinds of things.
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He realizes the team is better than it has played this year and if Parra improves some we are probably a #2 type starter away from serious contention.
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Isn't Escobar supposed to be good with the leather?
Ennder replied to AdvantageSchneider's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
There is a reason you hear people talk about young guys showing the poise of a veteran so much because it is a rare thing. Gallardo was a perfect example of someone who appeared in the majors more or less 'finished' compared to most pitchers. Braun offensively is the same thing. Look at Fielders offense and defense from his rookie year on etc. It is pretty rare to see someone who can handle the switch from the minors to the majors instantly in any aspect of the game. The same is generally true in switching levels in the minors as well, there is generally a small hit in production for at least part of a season before they get back to their normal production. -
At this point it would not surprise me to see Gerut released.
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Isn't Escobar supposed to be good with the leather?
Ennder replied to AdvantageSchneider's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Young players need to adjust to everything, base running, fielding, hitting, fundamentals. Everything is a little faster, most of the players are new to them and they can only concentrate on so many things at one time. I wouldn't draw many conclusions about any aspect of a players game from their rookie year. -
There was also absolutely no reason to trade him either. Not like we had some other 1B blocked and there weren't a lot of teams looking for a 1B. Selling him after this year makes a little sense at least, selling him last offseason is making a move just to make a move.
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Isn't Escobar supposed to be good with the leather?
Ennder replied to AdvantageSchneider's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
His defense has been touted by all of the big prospect guys not just the Brewers organization. Not sure why you think young players don't need time to adjust on defense. -
I think they are good enough to make a legitimate run, I just think they are too far in the hole to make one. At this point they have to be like a 95+ win team to make any sort of run given the hole they are in. But yeah if Gallardo is down for any length of time they might as well start selling anyone who isn't a big part of 2011/2012.
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John Buck was 2nd in votes at C for some reason so he got put in automatically, he does have an OPS higher than Mauer's(albiet SLG heavy which isn't as good) on the year so I don't think it is a huge stretch. Girardi picked Wigginton probably because he can play all over the field and they needed an Oriole. Meek probably got elected because they need a Pirate, he's had a great season and they needed pitchers more than hitters at that point.
