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Ennder

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Everything posted by Ennder

  1. Ennder
    Cuddyer is a terrible defensive OF, one of the worst in the league other than how strong his arm is. I don't think a strong arm plays as well in CF and his other defensive issues will be magnified. That is a bad combination and he should really be playing RF if there is any way to make it happen.
  2. Ennder
    Well they certainly do have a history of pitching poorly from 76+, but no not as bad as last season. I still would expect them to continue to pitch poorly in that range even if it isn't as bad as they did last year.
  3. Ennder
    Well they certainly do have a history of pitching poorly from 76+, but no not as bad as last season. I still would expect them to continue to pitch poorly in that range even if it isn't as bad as they did last year.
  4. Ennder
    Capuano and Suppan have a career long history of pitching poorly from pitches 76+. I'd expect then to keep having problems. Bush hasn't had problems except in 2007 and Vargas is pretty normal in that range.
  5. Ennder
    Capuano and Suppan have a career long history of pitching poorly from pitches 76+. I'd expect then to keep having problems. Bush hasn't had problems except in 2007 and Vargas is pretty normal in that range.
  6. Ennder
    Pitchers mostly control BABIP in two different ways. The type of results they get (GB vs FB) and the types of pitches they throw. Ground Ball pitchers tend to have a higher BABIP against and fastballs tend to also have a higher BABIP against. Keep in mind as well that the NL in general had an .817 OPS against from pitches 76-100, by far the highest of any pitch range.
  7. Ennder
    Pitchers mostly control BABIP in two different ways. The type of results they get (GB vs FB) and the types of pitches they throw. Ground Ball pitchers tend to have a higher BABIP against and fastballs tend to also have a higher BABIP against. Keep in mind as well that the NL in general had an .817 OPS against from pitches 76-100, by far the highest of any pitch range.
  8. Ennder
    Keep in mind Cameron has played in extreme pitcher parks too. Looking at road OBP. Cameron - .341, .350, .370 the last 3 years. Hardy has a .321 career OBP and a .308 career OBP vs righties. Against lefties I could see him hitting 2nd but not really vs righties. As for moving Hart, I want him behind Fielder and Braun for the protection factor and to drive in runs more than for SB. We just do not have a lot of guys who hit righties well at all so we have to make the most of them against right handed pitchers.
  9. Ennder
    So football should shut down half of its teams? I'm just baffled by that post in general Tbadder, I have now seen it all.
  10. Ennder
    Was that supposed to be in blue? Cameron 2nd? Yuck! Best OBP of any player likely to bat 2nd on the team if you look at his road splits for his career. Hardy and Hall stink at getting on vs righties and Kendall who knows. Don't really see who else would bat 2nd unless you use Hart up there.
  11. Ennder
    I'd be saying we had a big question mark in RF if we signed him. He could be a monster, he could be a bust, who knows. He has to be at least a little better than league average or he is a downgrade to them. nobody thinks it is, we just don't assume that every risky player on the Cubs is going to have some huge year at the same time. Tempering expectations is expecting Fukudome to not be a monster his first year in the majors, tempering expectations is assuming Soto will take some time to adjust like 95% of all C's do in the majors. I said this earlier in the year in another thread but it seems like most of the pessimistic crowd assumes the Cubs young players will all be stars this year and the Brewer's young players will all regress. That doesn't really make much sense but that is the tone of the posts that I see. So sure if you assume every rookie/sophomore Cub has a great year and all the Brewer players slide back of course it looks like we are a 2nd place team, that just probably isn't the reality.
  12. Ennder
    Does anyone expect him to be good? I'm just happy that he is the 4th or 5th best RP in the bullpen now instead of the 2nd or 3rd and I hope Yost treats him as such.
  13. Ennder
    I sure would hope the Brewers only thoughts when setting up the rotation to start the season is which five they believe gives them the best chance to win games. I'm almost positive it won't be, Parra will start in the minors and he is probably the 3rd best starter on the team this year. This is why people are actually worried about the 'too much pitching' we still have.
  14. Ennder
    At one point they said Villanueva had a leg up on others in the rotations. In a later interview they mentioned they really liked a lot of things he did out of the bullpen last year and that he was very valuable to them in that role. My guess is if they dont' find a trade he starts in the bullpen again while they showcase Bush/Capuano for a trade.
  15. Ennder
    Bush pitched much worse in the 2nd half than 1st half. The ERA was the same but the first half one was mostly caused by the more variant stats (BABIP, LOB% etc), the second half ERA was driven by a drop in GB rate, K rate and a jump in BB rate.
  16. Ennder
    How can you be disappointed in a player you cut on in every single post you make? I think the only way Sheets is a disappointment to you is if he stays healthy all year and pitches well.
  17. Ennder
    He is still only 20 years old so kind of hard to judge him but his bat sure does look pretty plain. Not nearly enough BB's.
  18. Ennder
    Career #s: Thome .281/.409/.565/.974 Ortiz .289/.384/.559/.942 Not a big deal, I just don't get this comparison as Thome basically = Ortiz I was thinking more in their prime. Ortiz did take longer to get going than Thome which makes the career numbers look different. Since his coming out party Ortiz has hit .288, .301, .300, .287, .332. Those are the types of averages I expect out of Fielder. Thome in his 28 to 33 age years hit .277, .269, .291, .304, .266, .274. Those are the types of averages I expect out of Howard from this point on.
  19. Ennder
    This is another one of those discussions that really needs a year more data. I think Fielder hits 45+ HR's again this year but with a higher AVG and OBP. I think Howard has another great year but hits around .260 again. One more year makes Fielder look like more of a sure thing and makes Howard look more like a slightly improved Dunn.
  20. Ennder
    It is always hard for me to tell with Fielder. He certainly isn't a beer belly type of guy like say a David Wells. He is probably carrying some extra weight but I doubt he'd qualify as obese or fat from a technical standpoint.
  21. Ennder
    There is actually a lot of statistical evidence that this is smarter than batting him 9th so I don't find it insane at all. in fact it won't surprise me too much if in 20 years most teams are doing it.
  22. Ennder
    Cubs RF's hit .293, .375, .419, .794 last year. That is a higher OBP than I expect out of Fukudome but a slightly lower SLG. He is probably a better fielder than that. He does have health questions though and those stats are probably the same or better than Murton (his backup) will bring. I just don't see this as a big upgrade for them. He does a great job of replacing what they lost in that position though. I don't really care what people think nationally, nationally the Cardinals were still being projected in 1st place by a lot people last year and some places still had the Brewers in 4th place. It always takes longer for a non large market team to get recognition. I personally feel the Brewers have upgraded a lot more than the Cubs this offseason is all my point was. The Cameron signing alone outpaces all of the Cubs changes combined because of the defensive shifts it created. That is roughly 3-4 wins on defense just with that one move. I was talking about expectations going into 2007 and then expectations going into 2008. My expectations going into 2007 had Estrada and Miller both playing better than they actually did. My point was that if everyone thought we had an 82+ win team going into last yaer it baffles me that some people have LOWER expectations now than they did going into last season.
  23. Ennder
    My guess is the Brewers are more than a little worried about Counsell's second half last year. 1st half - .340 OBP, .659 OPS 2nd half - .289 OBP, .583 OPS Sure his defense was great and that is why he is on the team but that kind of production cannot really be offset with the defense. I can live with that first half but the 2nd half is just ugly.
  24. Ennder
    Howard = Thome, Fielder = Ortiz. That is how I think of them. Howard is going to be a .260 AVG type guy, he just doesn't make enough contact to be higher longterm. Fielder will be at or near .300. Both will have great power but Fielder will probably end up with a shorter career.
  25. Ennder
    I don't think the Cubs are anywhere close to a 94 win team and right now I will be putting them in 2nd place in the division unless they make another move. Fukudome isn't really an upgrade over what they had last year most likely, Lieber isn't an upgrade to anything but depth. Pie is more likely a downgrade at CF than an upgrade so that pretty much leaves Soto as their only upgrade on the year. They also stayed extremely healthy on the year last year. I havent' sat down and really worked on my predictions yet since it is too early just yet but I find it hard to believe I'd give the Cubs 88 wins right now.
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