1. Mets - Seems pretty obvious 2. Dodgers - This is a really good team if they let the younger guys play 3. Phillies - A lot depends on Lidge but this is still a good team. 4. Braves - Good lineup, ok pitching, strong bullpen. 5. Brewers - The cameron signing is biggest upgrade in the NL Central this season, the defensive rearrangement is worth 4-5 wins. 6. Rockies - Took a hot streak to sneak into the playoffs, I don't see a repeat. 7. Cubs - Soto won't be as good as people think, Fukudome will take some time to adjust, the rotation will regress. 8. Diamondbacks - This was a sub .500 team last year and even with the Haren upgrade they'll have problems competing in that division this year. 9. Padres - This team is on a downward trend. 10. Reds - I love the Reds young guys, they are the one team that could mature early and be 4-5 spots above where I pick them. 11. Astros - this is a really poorly built team with no long term future, this is a huge drop from #10 with the Reds having as hot at .500 and the Astros having a shot at 90 losses. 12. Marlins - meh 13. Giants - worst franchise in baseball when you take $$ into account and yes I think it is worse than Baltimore which is shocking. 14. Cardinals - They need to rebuild big time. 15. Nationals - No pitching 16. Pirates - small market + poorly run = bad results.