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Ennder

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Everything posted by Ennder

  1. Ennder
    Hardy has averaged 62 games played over the past 3 years, he is simply going to need a lot of rest this season. I have no issues at all with him sitting once or twice a week even if he's fully healthy. If he's banged up then he needs it even more.
  2. Ennder
    Leads are good, I like leads.
  3. Ennder
    Counsell is leading Eckstein on the grit-o-meter today, thats really what is going to decide today's game.
  4. Ennder
    Yeah I guess being up 1-0 is ok, but I'd much rather it had been on a bunt single, steal, sac bunt and sac fly. Those kind of runs are what win games, not pesky little HR's. Hardy has missed most of 2 of the last 3 seasons, he is going to need more time off than most of the rest of the players on the team. That is good managing not bad.
  5. Ennder
    The thing is the Cubs are not a great offensive team. They are 8th in runs scored in the NL right now and thats with them scoring more runs than their actual stats would suggest. They are 2nd in the league in ERA with a rotation that should probably rank them more in the middle tiers (they are 7th in FIP and its a hitters park).
  6. Ennder
    Yeah we have too many Mench/Estrada and to a lesser extent Hardy types who just don't take enough walks. Add in the fact we aren't a high AVG team and you end up with a low OBP which is a problem. I don't really think its caused by trying to hit HR's either(though maybe that has been a short term problem lately with all the slumping guys), its mostly just a poor approach at the plate by some of the guys.
  7. Ennder
    I like this deal, McClung has a bit more upside in my opinion and pitching for Tampa Bay is just about the worst possible situation you can be in so I'll give him a slight mulligan. Pitching in the AL east on a poor defensive team that has bad starters and an overworked bullpen is just not a good place to succeed at.
  8. Ennder
    REDS WIN!
  9. Ennder
    Valentin is in the on deck circle!
  10. Ennder
    so Cubs tie the game up on a bunch of weak grounders finding holes, why doesn't that surprise me the way they are playing lately. Every single thing is going their way.
  11. Ennder
    Lets hope Kendall hits a nice slow ground ball into a double play.
  12. Ennder
    Two on and no out for the Cubs, blech. Another hit, 4-3 with 2 on and no outs still.
  13. Ennder
    Me too http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif .
  14. Ennder
    I'll agree with the last few posts. I don't really mind losing Inman for a draft pick, Linebrink will make the team better the rest of the way in my opinion. I personally wish we had gotten someone other than Linebrink though, maybe someone who could help next year too. So I'm somewhere in the middle, I don't hate the trade I don't love the trade.
  15. Ennder
    This is a point I will never agree with you on. While yes this might add up to a couple extra runs they are scoring runs at about the same rate as in June while dropping .085 points in OPS. Their SB's are down in that stretch as well. That is variance and thats it. I don't know why so many people refuse to aknowledge that variance plays a large role in baseball. This is exactly the same discussion we had earlier in the year about Bush who has pitched exactly like before other than his BABIP evening out and suddenly he's doing well. Over a small sample of data there is a lot of noise that needs to be removed to see what is happening. Lets look at Dave Bush. April - 30.1 IP, 39 H, 21 ER, 2 HR, 5 BB, 26 K - 6.23 ERA July - 30.1 IP, 31 H, 15 ER, 6 HR, 9 BB, 26 K - 4.45 ERA He obviously pitched better in April but had much uglier results, runs scored of any type are a terrible indicator of anything because there is so much varience involved with them.
  16. Ennder
    Btw Theriot has a .696 OPS and that has actually gone down over the past 2 months, that is not emerging.
  17. Ennder
    Joe Sheehan. (yeah I know he's not a player!). Obviously this guy is a Cubs fan and he hates the Brewers but I'm getting really tired of all his snips at the Brewers. In his latest article he called them the 2003 Royals, a .470 winning percentage team that had a hot streak. Hello Joe, the Brewers have the 3rd best record in the NL over the past 30 games, the Cubs caught up because they are playing out of their minds, not because we are the 2003 Royals. As for Jeter being better than ARod, I would say what I think of your opinion but this is a family site, lets just say I don't think I've seen anything posted here that I feel is more wrong than that.
  18. Ennder
    5.1 IP, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K, 96 pitches with only 56 of them strikes. That really isn't that good, he just happened to not give up any runs. I wish him all the luck in the world but looking at his stats this year I'm glad he's not a Brewer anymore.
  19. Ennder
    No, you pointed at runs scored meaning more than OPS and I pointed out that the reason the Cubs are scoring a lot is they have been getting a lot of RISP type hits which over a small sample is variance. The Cubs have put up a .691 OPS this month and managed to score as many runs per game as they have the rest of the season, that is simply balls bouncing their way, there is no other plausible explanation for it. If you are in a statistically heavy field you should know that looking at a one month sample of data in baseball is almost completely useless for judging future success. While I agree you can't just compare players OPS I also don't think looking at runs scored or wins over a month holds any more value than just looking at the OPS.
  20. Ennder
    That very well could be true, especially if you are lumping infield flies into the equation.
  21. Ennder
    So he didn't get any major league players out?
  22. Ennder
    I think the fact that every single study ever done on the subject suggests that if clutch exists its at an extremely small level backs up my opinion on that. Quite simply sometimes the balls do or don't drop your way, thats baseball. Earlier in the year the Cubs couldn't buy a base hit with RISP, did they just suddenly learn how to be clutch this past month? Does that really sound more plausible to you? Earlier in the season the Brewers were hitting very well with RISP, did we forget how to be clutch?
  23. Ennder
    Yes because every 2 out AB with a runner on has been a hit for the Cubs lately, that is why they are on a hot streak pretty much. Meanwhile the Brewers can't buy a hit with RISP. Thats largely just random variance though, teams go through streaks where they can do no wrong or no right all the time.
  24. Ennder
    The Yankees are 32-20 at home, 22-27 on the road. The Blue Jays are 31-20 at home, 20-30 on the road. The Indians are 35-18 at home, 24-25 on the road. This really isnt' as abnormal as people seem to think it is. I couldn't tell you why but the team seems to win the close games at home and lose them on the road. Its not like we are just getting pounded all the time on the road, we are losing a lot of winnable games. We have an .802 OPS at home, .751 OPS on the road. We have an .676 OPS against at home, .781 OPS against on the road. There is a definite difference there. Baseball in general has an .762 OPS at home, .736 OPS on the road Those numbers are swapped for OPS against. Looks like we are relatively close to normal on the batting splits but our pitching just falls apart on the road.
  25. Ennder
    They also won series against the Marlins, Astros, Tigers, Twins. We aren't a great road team but the team is capable of winning a series on the road even against a decent team.
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