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NievesNoNO

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Everything posted by NievesNoNO

  1. NievesNoNO
    Interesting discussion. I don't really agree with the comparisons to the NFL and NBA models. The value of drafting well is really reduced in the NFL when guys can leave as a FA in 3 years. (Part of Thompson's downfall imo). While parity is improved you end up with a lot of really mediocre teams still stuck with a lot of overpaid players because you were forced to pay "somebody". Baseball is just a different animal because of the minor league systems and the needed progression of players. I DO think there should be an effort to improve some of the financial disparity. I'm not sure on all the details but I don't think there's a simple solution. I'd rather have the current MLB setup than the NFL setup.
  2. NievesNoNO
    Anybody else have the Trade Rumors app installed? I see the TR at the top of my screen and it continues to just be minor league stuff. Oh well, maybe next time. Frieri's just a filler. Can't see him pitching any meaningful innings for the big club outside of a handful of innings due to injury maybe. I guess a veteran with some history of success isn't a bad thing.
  3. NievesNoNO
    The only thing holding small/mid-market teams afloat is the player control aspect. I'd be ok altering pay in arbitration or pre-arb, although I think they get paid pretty fairly. Is there a current agreement in place for ratio of owner revenue to player salary? I'm guessing not since there's no cap or floor. I actually like the way baseball is set up. I would hate to see player control years decreased and implementing a salary cap and floor (which I see as the only logical step if players are allowed to hit FA sooner). Even if teams payed more up front in shorter term deals, I think that would resolve some of the "issues". I mean it's the teams that created the market by signing guys to ridiculous deals in the first place by giving them 6-7 years of guaranteed money and deferred payments in some cases. I guess I just have a hard time sympathizing with the players and agents on any level regardless how much owners are making. Markets can change, you're only worth what your employer is willing to pay..... it doesn't need to increase forever.
  4. NievesNoNO
    It seems like the Yankees are very much interested in adding Yu Darvish while also remaining under the luxury tax. The Brewers have plenty of room to take on a bad contract and the Yankees have plenty of good prospects to make it worth their time. Couple both the opportunity for the Yankees to add a good LH hitting 3B with power at a very low cost with the opportunity to also gain additional salary relief, and I would expect the Brewers to get a very nice return. If Cashman is trying to recreate the ‘27 Yankees than this might be a good time for the Brewers to strike a deal. I respect the fact that obviously the Brewers front office is prepared, however remote something like a Shaw trade would be. I really don't have an idea on what Shaw could return but I'd have to be overwhelmed to start the conversation. If we were dealing with the Yankees what would you think is fair coming back. Would it have to include Torres? Montgomery and Adams?
  5. NievesNoNO
    That feels like a steal at the going rate. Wish the Brewers had landed him at that price.
  6. NievesNoNO
    I think overpay would likely mean something different for every team. Imo, just about any contract Arrieta will sign is going to be an overpay, unless he figures out how to adjust to aging and losing velocity. Some pitchers are able to do that pretty successfully. If you're asking what would the Brewers have to "over pay" to get him on a shorter term deal than expected then I think you're probably pretty close. I'd say 4 years $120 million. Maybe the 4th years could be some sort of vesting option or you could include one of those increasining popular opt out clauses. I still think some team antes up for him at 5-6 years with more guaranteed money.
  7. NievesNoNO
    Yes, I would and I really like Santana. Salazar doesn't have a very good injury track record but if he can stay healthy he's a front line starter. If he cannot stay healthy he could be used in a high leverage bullpen role. Obviously that's not ideal, but there'd still be plenty of value in that. I don't think Santana can bring back another guy with similar upside on his own.
  8. NievesNoNO
    Not sure on the probability but I think the interest only really confirms the Brewers willingness to trade some OFs. Imo, interest in Cain leans more toward the possibility of trading Brinson than anybody else.
  9. NievesNoNO
    Hmm, apparently they are still actively shopping Santana. I think Cleveland might be the best match as far as with a team that could provide a MLB pitcher. They actually have some sp depth and could potentially use some added power to the lineup with the departure of Carlos Santana. Broxton still makes too much sense for the Giants.
  10. NievesNoNO
    While Duffy would be a welcome addition, he's far from the front-line guy this team needs. The contract is decent for the expected production and potential but he hasn't exactly been the model of good health. I would give that package up for Archer but not Duffy. Merrifield isn't much different that Hernan Perez. I don't buy last season either. Herrera is just OK. Harrison, Diaz and Yamamoto for Duffy would by something I'd consider.
  11. NievesNoNO
    Many of the big names this season carry some additional levels of risk with declining performance or injury history. I think GMs are just getting sick of paying ridiculous money for less than elite/declining talent. Also, I think some of the would be bigger bidders are holding out for next years Harper/Machado/potential Kershaw derby.
  12. NievesNoNO
    Good read. Thanks for sharing.
  13. NievesNoNO
    https://www.mlb.com/news/jose-altuve-2017-ap-male-athlete-of-the-year/c-264037946 https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/jose-altuves-evolution-to-mvp-candidate/ I know he's already won the MVP, but I love that he has also won AP Athlete of the Year. It's not super often a baseball player wins it anymore. It's great for the sport and also pretty phenomenal progression for a guy who was never considered even a top 100 prospect in the game. When he first came up I remember him being regarded as a utility infielder or maybe a low level starter; essentially a place holder for a rebuilding club. Wow, how things have changed. While he's obviously more of the exception/oddity, he's a great example of when production outweighs prospect status. Many times we get enamored with physical freaks and the 5 tool guys and for good reason but there's something to be said about a player that simply produces at every level. In Altuve's case, he also adapted once in the majors and learned to hit for more power morphing him from a solid speedy middle infielder to MVP. Really, a pretty fun player to root for.
  14. NievesNoNO
    Avila, if I'm going with a vet that has the biggest potential to out-earn a contract and to fall into the weird Daniel Murphy career progression. I know it makes 0 sense with the Vogt resigning. Reed, if I"m going with with need for the current mlb roster Darvish, if I'm going with "it's not my money so who cares I want the best arm available."
  15. NievesNoNO
    I think I have a more broad view of what an ace is. More along the lines of a staff ace, not an MLB ace. So for me it falls along the lines of a really good pitcher who more often than not gives you a great chance to win. The back of my mind says 200 ip, 180-200 K sort of guy but those guys are few and far between these days. Yes, I think Nelson was an ace last season. Unfortunately with the injury we may never see that guy again but he was awfully good. Not Kershaw/Scherzer/Bumgarner good but the next tier.
  16. NievesNoNO
    For sure. I discuss this with friends of large market teams all the time that just don't get it. Any mistake that the Brewers make is amplified because the resources of the MLB is nowhere close to equal. I'm not blind to that at all. It's why Stearns approach is probably for the best. But I just want to win. I want to stop being a doormat to other franchises. I think the people of Wisconsin would go crazy if we figured out a way to win one and contend for awhile. I get where you're coming from. Things could be evened out a bit more. I used to be all for some sort of salary cap to even things out, however I don't feel that way anymore. Any sort of cap would assuredly come with some sort of salary floor and I hate the way that plays out in the NBA and NFL.
  17. NievesNoNO
    Would be a good add. Like the K numbers.
  18. NievesNoNO
    I don't think the moves so far make a Woodruff trade any more likely. I'm only dealing him if it's Archer coming back. I kind of look at Woodruff and think if everything came together for him he could be Michael Fulmer-ish. I would consider dealing him though for a Duffy or Archer type with control. The thing about young pitchers is they usually take a couple years to really develope at the MLB level. There's a good possibility that even if Woodruff ends up being a solid mid rotation guy, he won't reach that for a couple more seasons. So while he's controllable for 6 years, I think it's fair to think about how many truly productive seasons will be part of those 6 years.
  19. NievesNoNO
    I'm not really losing patience. This is such an interesting time of year to be a baseball fan. I really don't care what path they take as long as there's a plan. The roster is not really good enough for a single acquisition or signing to get them over the top. In my ideal world one of two things would happen: 1) Trade for Archer using Brinson + minor league talent and overpay for Darvish. 2) Lay back and continue to stock prospects maybe trade Broxton for a piece or two. Give Brinson CF and Hader a starting spot and see how things progress and let Villar try to regain some value at 2B. I'm leaning towards option two. I just don't want to see something in between where they give up significant talent but don't do enough to be relevant.
  20. NievesNoNO
    Yes, I'd consider that. I'm not sure the Rays would though. Doesn't seem like their style to sell on their young pitcher early. If they trade Odorizzi and/Archer they'll need him.
  21. NievesNoNO
    Hmm, I don't get it. My 1st Stearns move that I'm completely baffled at, and in disagreement with. I'll wait to see the agreement. Competition for the 5th starter or bullpen I guess. At least his velocity hasn't completely left him. There's some hope he's useful.
  22. NievesNoNO
    I don't think he's spending a bunch on a reliever via FA. Proably fill interally and maybe bring in a vet or two on a minimal deal. He values verstaility on the roster; I'd imagine the same is true with regard to the financial portion of the roster. They have room but just because they have the payroll doesn't mean they need to use it now/on a FA. Keeping that money available might open up an option for a higher paid vet for cheap in a salary trade kind of move. Just because the market for relievers has changed the last couple seasons doesn't mean the value to the team actually has. Obviously the whole roster is important and as a final piece to a championship team the bullpen obviously has an impact. I'm just not sure spending a ton in that area right now makes a lot of sense for a team that is still on a re-build, albeit an accelerated one potentially. Good luck to Swarzak anyway.
  23. NievesNoNO
    A Cole/Harrison combo would be interesting. Have to imagine the price would be pretty steep, despite the shorter control and larger contracts. I do like that all options seem to be being considered.
  24. NievesNoNO
    I don't see Tampa really wanting Santana as a centerpiece. How does that benefit them if they're considering moving him for financial reasons? Santana is only cheap for another season. If the Cubs were going to give up 2 of Happ/Russell/Shwarber then I think that could be enough. The Brewers starting with Brinson I'd think would trump that if they were willing. I still don't know how to feel. Archer, imo, is one of the few players worth including Brinson for. I'd feel a whole lot better about it if Neslon was still in the mix to start the season.
  25. NievesNoNO
    The path of least resistance is a Broxton trade. The Giants don't have enough to get Santana and Braun is not realistic anymore. I think the Indians could make some sense for a potential Domingo Santana deal, especially if they don't bring Carlos back. They have some pretty decent pitching depth at the MLB level. Maybe a straight up Bauer, Clevenger, or Salazar or they have some real nice minor league pieces yet if that's the route they'd want to go.
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