nate82

I think Bregman would be too much unless the Red Sox offered to pay the majority of his remaining salary. For a possible about a half year rental the Red Sox would need to take back a lot of that salary for it to make sense for the Brewers. The best I would offer the Red Sox would be Joey Ortiz and a lottery ticket for Bregman and the Red Sox pay $4mm of the remaining contract and pay all of the deferred money owed. I don't think the Red Sox would accept this but that is the best I would offer for Bregman and that contract.

I think in the second round someone like Luke Hill from Mississippi makes some sense there. He looks to be a Brewers type of a prospect and someone they have drafted recently. He is a very versatile infielder though I think he can't play SS but you could put him at 2B or 3B and he wouldn't be a defensive liability at either of those positions. There has been a lot of mocks with the Brewers going with Danielle Pierce a HS SS but I think these mocks are just guessing and putting someone who is in the 20-25 range in the rankings. I think someone like Luke Stevenson maybe an option at 20 but I don't think the Brewers will like his hit tool. He has the power to be an everyday player but that is going to come at the cost of a lot of strikeouts especially on off speed pitches. Someone that I think that should be watched for a first round pick is William Patrick HS OF. Very similar profile to Payne.

It isn't really a new analytical data. Swinging 3-0 is not something new and players have been doing a lot in nearly every era of baseball. It is just now we can quantify that it is actually rather beneficial to swing at those pitches when they are presented by the pitcher. The idea is not to just hack at pitches it is to swing at pitches that can provide a positive outcome which for some is like this foreign or taboo idea because you don't swing on a 3-0 count because? You haven't even provided anything to go against the claim that swinging at a pitch going right down the middle of the plate is a bad idea regardless of the count. Some of the greatest hitters of all time just maximized their opportunities when they did decide to swing. If you are getting a pitch going down the middle of the plate and you are not swinging at it you are not maximizing your opportunities. You are actually in fact decreasing your opportunities. Players who are hitting in the low .250's should be trying to maximize their ability and that is not going to happen when you are watching a pitch split the middle of the plate. The idea here is to maximize those opportunities and to have the player swing at pitches where it maximizes their opportunity to be successful. You can't be looking at a count and go oh it is 3-0 don't swing because why exactly? These players don't have the skill of a Tony Gwynn, Paul Molitor, Robyn Yount, Ted Williams or name a good hitter here. They just don't have the skill to be those players so they should be swinging at pitches which puts them at an advantage. Pitches that are over the heart of the plate are the pitches they should be swinging at. Players who have swung at pitches in the heart of the zone on a 3-0 pitch are hitting .491/.464/1.226 this season. Why do you believe looking at that pitch is a positive? Please provide some evidence or logic behind watching that pitch go down the heart of the plate on a 3-0 count. These are normally rare misses by a pitcher and you should be attacking these pitches not watching. What is the actual logic or reasoning to watch a pitch go down the heart of the plate? I doubt you will ever answer these questions as your responses have been more condescending or just one word responses. Which tells me you are just stuck in your ways of old school baseball you don't do these things you would probably make a great Cardinals fan.

I see nowhere where anyone said he is Stan Musial. May want to step away from the bong or the alcohol because you are hallucinating. Chourio was actually selective in the game today. Again look at the screenshots provided. I have already talked about his season so far and that he hasn't been as selective with his O-Swing%. He isn't all that far off from last year with his O-Swing%. He also won't walk all that much check his MiLB numbers for proof on this. This is just not his game and expecting him to walk more than he did in the minors is rather foolish to expect out of Chourio.

So now you know how I think? What? Did you even read what I put in reply to you. Chourio walking more is not a realistic expectation. Please look at his MiLB stats and you will see why this is not a realistic expectation. I am not going to repeat exactly what I posted previously. It wasn't just two AB's tonight it was all of them. Again look at this post it goes over all of his AB's and his minor league stats.

How is that madness? You want Collins to be swinging at a pitch that is not going down the middle of the plate? What happens if Collins watches a pitch go right down the middle of the plate and then it is 3-1 and then the next two pitches hit the edge of the zone and he K's? Is that the better outcome because he saw two more pitches? If a pitch is over the plate you want someone like Collins swinging at it not taking it. He is a poor hitter for a reason and you want to have him in the best situation to be swinging at a pitch. If that is 3-0 on a fastball going down the middle of the plate that is the pitch you want him swinging at not a 3-1 breaking pitch that is on the black or a 3-2 breaking pitch that he may not even foul off. I never said this.

Yes I want Ortiz swinging 2-0 it is a hitters count. The point of getting to a hitters count is to get a pitch that you can do damage on. If the pitch is something the hitter can do damage on they should be swinging not watching the pitch. Why is this so hard to understand? Batter gets a good pitch to swing at they should be swinging at it not watching it. There is no guarantee that they will get a better pitch to swing at or even get on base. The batter should be swinging at pitches that are hittable. Now ask yourself this if Ortiz watches a very hittable pitch go by and it is 2-1. How confident are you in him getting on base at 2-1? Does your confidence go up or will it go down?

If the pitch is going over the middle of the plate yes, yes I do. Collins is a poor hitter and having him watch a pitch go down the middle of the plate that he could handle is just not a good strategy. He is more than likely going to fail at getting on base even in a hitters count. Swinging at pitches that are beneficial to a hitter is the point of swinging at pitches. As a hitter you want the best possible pitch to swing at. If that happens on 3-0 you would definitely want Collins swinging there. If the 3-0 pitch is going down the middle of the plate that is the exact pitch you want someone like Collins swinging at.

Except you were complaining about him swinging at a strike that was right down the freaking middle of the plate. Here are all of the PA's for Chourio in today's game. Tell me which one where he swung at a ball and tell me the result. Here is Chourio's O-Swing%. He is swinging outside of the zone a bit too much this season but I think as the season goes on he will be closer to that 30% mark that he was in last year. So yeah he does swing out of the zone a bit but it is not at an alarming rate. He definitely doesn't need to be more selective probably just a little bit more selective but not much. As for his OBP it will always be more on the hitting side than it will be on the walk side. If you look at his MiLB numbers he has never been a big walk guy. His highest BB% has been 7.4% in a full year not including the DSL. So he is not going to walk all that much and he is going to swing so his OBP is going to be heavily towards hitting than it will be towards walking. A better swinging at pitches that are in the zone and very hittable pitches are what you want regardless of the outcome. Sometimes the ball just finds a fielders glove when you put the ball in play even if the ball is hit perfectly. There is a reason why there are very few players who have had a .400 average for a season. Heck an average north of .300 is becoming more and more rare. In the past 10 seasons there have been a max of 25 players to hit .300 more in two of the past 10 seasons not including 2020. So from 2014-2024 on average you are looking at about 12 players a season hitting .300 or better. Hitting has become far more difficult today than in the past. If a hitter has an advantage then they need to be swinging at that pitch. If it is 0-0 or 1-0 or 2-0 the hitter should be swinging at pitches that go straight down the middle of the plate. Chourio swung at 3 of them this game and went 0-3 on them sometimes that is going to happen and then on the pitch that is low and in off the plate you get a hit off of it. That is just baseball you are swinging a roundish bat at a round ball. There are just too many random outcomes to say swinging at pitches that go down the middle of the plate are a bad idea.

To expand on the seeing more pitches per PA does absolutely nothing. From a Fangraphs article in 2015. https://community.fangraphs.com/does-seeing-more-pitches-lead-to-more-runs/ There is no evidence that seeing more pitches is good. In fact it is probably going to lead to more strikeouts. So seeing more pitches is just dumb. If you are just seeing more pitches to see more pitches as your strategy then you are a dumb hitter. There is no other way to put it. It is just dumb to watch pitches just to watch pitches. If a pitch is splitting the middle of the plate and it is 0-0 or 1-0 or 2-0 or even 3-0 the hitter should be swinging at it. This is the pitch you are waiting for you are getting a pitch put on a tee for you to swing at and you are more than likely not going to get a better pitch in the AB to swing at. A hitter should always be swinging at pitches they can do damage on not watching them just because it is the first pitch in the AB.

I see you are finally coming around to swinging at the first pitch this is a good first step.

You can't swing at the first pitch it is forbidden you have to take it!!!!!!!!

Swinging at pitches right down the middle of the plate is bad? What?

MLB outcomes when the count is 0-0 So yeah it is a good idea to swing at the first pitch as hitters are hitting about .340 on 0-0. Watching a pitch go right down the middle of the plate is dumb no matter what the count is. This stupid you have to see as many pitches as you can and working the count needs to die. It is just a horrible strategy. It was a bad strategy then and it is a bad strategy now. Hitters should be swinging at pitches they can put a good swing on not watch the ball and hope for a better pitch that may never come. Also that previous PA by Chourio he got 2 pitches over the plate so swinging at the first pitch did absolutely nothing it was going to be a strike regardless. The second pitch was actually a bit worse than the first pitch. Here is that PA where the first pitch was a far better pitch to swing at and the second being a good pitch to swing at but not as good as the first one.

When you get two pitches over the plate watching one doesn’t really do anything. Great you are down 0-1 and now you may not get a better pitch to swing at. Watching just to get more than 1 pitch an ab is just dumb.

Chourio just barely missing tonight. That last one if he is able to center a bit more on the ball that is an extra base hit.

You can make a case for Turang and Frelick but I don’t think either make it. I think Peralta will be the lone Brewer who makes it maybe Contreras as the 3rd catcher. Frelick is deserving but the NL OF is just stacked. Turang has a better chance at 2B than Frelick does in the OF.

Yadier Molina and it counts because he is still with the Cardinals!!!!

This is why signing FA’s especially pitchers to a long term deal is just a dumb idea for small market teams. Though the Dbacks are not a small market team. The Brewers should never play in FA for pitchers unless it is a short term deal. I also believe this is true for positional players also unless they are a once in a generation talent.

Probably the best outcome the NHL could have hoped for happened in game 1. One of the better hockey games in a long time. This looks to be a great series and probably won’t get the viewership it deserves.

A financial planner is not necessary. You can do it on your own and if you are worried about the risk then you can just go the ETF route. It is really simple to setup an account. You can even setup one where AI will pick your investments for you based on risk categories and what you are using the account for. Like financial planners you will have to pay a fee for this.

Looks like Turner should have charged the ball as it hopped up at the last moment and hit the thumb of his glove. Will take it though.

13-13

Yes that is it. The top third of the strike zone became Keston’s kryptonite. Not just fastballs but anything in the upper part of the strike zone he has problems hitting. It is all due to his upper cut swing. Perfect for pitches low but absolutely horrible on anything high in the strike zone. Once pitchers figured out that hole in his swing he just never adjusted to it. He tried one off season to level out his swing more but it never stuck and he was back to the massive upper cut swing.