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pete

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Everything posted by pete

  1. Daniel Hudson is the guy the Brewers scouted when there was talk of Prince to the White Sox. The comment that I recall reading or hearing was that they viewed him as a #3 or #4 pitcher rather than a potential ace.
  2. You think Gomez has been a poor defender and that Rasmus has played differently than other years? What makes you think that?
  3. That sounds like Macha.
  4. Rita Rudner bobblehead day for the 51s.
  5. The thing I like about Bucknor is that he doesn't seem biased. However he seems to guess at balls and strikes sometimes.
  6. Every fan base has every kind of fan. After watching the different ones for years, I'm still not absolutely positive that accurate generalizations can be made about many, but two that have stuck out over the years (negatively) are Philly and surprisingly to me Seattle. I suppose you can throw Cubs fans in there. I agree that the JSonline comment sections are pretty bad and I also post as sort of a contrarian on there now and then. But they probably exist in part to generate revenues through advertising and general traffic and interest. Regarding Covey, isn't his father a general contractor? That's a tough business where leverage and contracts is part of the job. I bet he'll sign. If he doesn't and has a mediocre year or blows out his arm, he has a lot to lose.
  7. Just call me Pete. You could test reliability, that is the ability to get consistent measurements (or ratings), although in this discussion the term is used more as the common language term which would be something like "useful and accurate." Validity along with reliability are the statistical measures that would be appropriate for that. You could test the reliability of lets say the measurement of Hart's defense. You could use an independent video set-up, in particular one that has a constant view and compare against other fielders in RF in Miller Park. You could also reconstruct the performances using the videos and measuring time and distance of ball and fielders. Another almost essential test which might be done, but I wouldn't be surprised if it wasn't, is testing reliability between evaluators. Just have different guys look at the same videos and see how consistent they are. A player who gets high ratings on defensive metrics but who I see often make really bad mistakes is Colby Rasmus. If he is being judged by some inexperienced young person who is also a Cards fan or who is "in to" the Fangraphs crowd where he is adored, the results may be worthless. You are left with the ultimate question of what is good which is what you seemed to be saying. All I was really doing was challenging the notion that UZR is reliable.
  8. McClung had some great stretches, although not particularly long. He had a couple appearances against the Cards that I recall.
  9. I'm pretty much with you GAME05, but remember that Selig is hired by the owners. They don't want a lot of noise about problems or controversies.
  10. He looks really tired sometimes, almost zombie like. A few days off now and then and maybe less business, social and/or charity work - possibly.
  11. Well, I disagree about Werth being superior. I sure don't think its a guarantee that he is better going forward. Even if Hart's offensive production slips some, its a value signing. What would be an imaginative signing?
  12. He's willing to swallow some huge fines for challenging the officiating. That would have been great.
  13. From that list of next year's corner OFs, you can eliminate Crawford and Werth as they will be unattainable. I see Werth as a pretty similar player to Hart as well, even with the walk rates. After that its a pretty lean list. Its funny to see Gerut in there as well as Big Cat Cattalannato. I'd love to know the inside story on why Jody is in Arizona. Frank C probably has a better shot at 3rd base coach than corner OF next year.
  14. What the hell IS luck then? Uncertainty is not knowing something. Luck usually refers to a positive random event.
  15. Again, I ask you what reliability testing has been done with UZR? You claimed that it was reliable. You have nothing to say regarding the unscientific way its done. What visual evidence are you talking about? Its easier to say that the visual evidence contradicts your assertion. I find your evasions tiring. Its odd that you include my post as a quote and then don't respond to it. Rather you invent a straw man and beat it down.
  16. I thought he was a mediocre to poor defender. Am I confusing him with someone else or is he improving?
  17. I'm guessing that you aren't aware of any reliability testing. Asserting that he gets "poor reads" and "generally doesn't play well in RF" doesn't make it so and it certainly doesn't make UZR valid or reliable. Also, having more data doesn't make something reliable or valid either. That's not a fair conclusion.
  18. No, without question, UZR is a wholly undefined commodity. I understand that its promoters have strong self interest and that fans love the idea that they can do sophisticated evaluations by pulling up a fangraphs page. The methodology is crude and it is wholly lacking in any scientific rigor. Has there ever been any reliability testing? I doubt it. Saying Hart is poor defensively because of a UZR rating regardless of sample size is stating a conclusion that isn't supported by the premise.
  19. I could see Hart at 1st. Having a bad UZR doesn't mean he has bad defense though.
  20. Macha started him repeatedly.
  21. I'm in the chat room after failing for a couple days. If anyone is motivated, it might work now.
  22. I tried 4 minutes after you stu and couldn't get in. Mac user if it matters. I just updated my Flash a couple days ago.
  23. I keep having intermittent problems with being unable to type. Ironically, I can use the smilies. What i've been doing is quitting the chat room and rejoining. Tonight it won't let me open the chat window. A smaller window appears saying "wrong password." If I hit the log in window in the chat refusal window, it says guests can't login. It persists through computer restarts and logging in and out of BF. So apologies to hawing, rad, bling and whoever. I didn't blow you off, I was rendered speechless!
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