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CheezWizHed

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Everything posted by CheezWizHed

  1. CheezWizHed
    Definitely loving this. Will be great to keep an eye on this in ST to see if he can sustain it and if it improved his results. A key point IMO if he makes the OD roster or gets more work at AAA. Just for reference, here is what his swing looked like last year:
  2. CheezWizHed
    Yeah, there are no absolutes... I'm speaking statistically. If you are sure someone is really going to turn out as special, you can go after them. However, all three of the safties you mentioned were second-rounders... so wasn't that my point? If we knew how a player would develop the draft would always look different. There are quality safties in the second round. I was debating DT, but the Packer's history hasn't been so great. But you are probably right when looking at the league. Conversely, the Packers have a great history of 2nd round WRs, but the league #1s seem to be more from 1st rounders. But fair point on either.
  3. CheezWizHed
    It depends... I think you have to know the health situation of Stokes and the depth of the draft at those positions. Safety is easily our biggest need. But if there are similarly ranked players in the second round (which looks like it this year), I'd defer. So I think it comes down to OT and CB. Both are in a similar situation with Valentine/Alexander vs Tom/Walker. If Stokes' recovery (actually) looks positive, I'd lean OT. If not... you normally play 3-4 CBs but only 2 OTs at one time... Frankly, your first round should be reserved to drafting CBs, OTs, Edge, QBs, or WRs. Those are the skill positions that seem to have a major edge over players in following rounds. Gs, Cs, TEs, RBs, DTs, MLBs, and Ss seem to be much easier to find in the second and following rounds that are nearly as good as their first round counterparts. Please don't waste your time listing the exceptions. We know they are there, but they are exceptions for a reason. The rarity of them proves my point.
  4. CheezWizHed
    BIG
  5. CheezWizHed
    Even if he doesn't recover, it shows the rest of the squad the Brewer's loyalty for player health.
  6. CheezWizHed
    Hooray for Big WOO! Yeah, there is little chance he pitches in 2024, but hopefully can fully recover for 2025. I'm glad for Brandon so he can use the Brewer resources to heal.
  7. CheezWizHed
    I was comparing both of their first years as starting LT; Walker's second year and Bakh's first overall. Many people felt Bakh was still better set for G (myself included), after his first year. After his second, he was well-established. Walker had an odd year his rookie year; so I give him a bit of a 'gimme'. I don't think Walker is Bakh's equal...just that there are some parallels.
  8. CheezWizHed
    A proud shout-out to LL.net! Tom at this point should be pretty obvious.. he is a player. The most valuable spot the could put him is at Tackle. Moving him to LT isn't a terrible idea. Him playing at C or G is a waste at this point (please don't go back and see my comments from last offseason). Walker really improved also. I don't know what his future is, but he clearly can be a starting OL in the league. Bahk was likewise questioned after his rookie year (please don't go back and look at my LL.net comments either 😂). Not saying Walker is going to be that good, but he is showing himself capable. But I don't think that should prevent us from drafting a tackle either. At worst, you need a capable backup. And at such a key position, you need to ensure a quality player. Competition doesn't hurt anyone. I don't think it is a lock that Walker will continue being a starting tackle. Myers did improve as the season went on (and oddly at the same time that Humphrey in KC struggled). He played well enough and remains cheap enough to start another year. But we have enough need at the interior OL to draft one. Still need depth and competition. Not doubting that, but do you have a source? I'm curious if that reduced as the season went on. He certainly didn't seem to have that much help at the end of the season.
  9. CheezWizHed
    Agreed. I mentioned that in the other thread that him starting at AAA might happen too. ST should shine a bright light on his recovery status.
  10. CheezWizHed
    Both Hall and Ashby probably will need to be innings limited, so starting Hall initially with Ashby in the pen, then swapping them later makes sense to me. Hall should have every opportunity to start so that the Brewer's pitching clinic has a chance to fix him; probably all this year and next offseason. Ashby just needs to build up innings and show he can stay healthy. Ross and Gasser will get their chances due to injuries or ineffectiveness of others... but will probably start in the BP and AAA respectively.
  11. CheezWizHed
    I predicted that.
  12. CheezWizHed
    A trade that wasn't predicted by the article, of no one mentioned in the article, nor does it resolve the "problem" mentioned in the article.
  13. CheezWizHed
    There is no evidence of a trade imminent, hence "click bait". The article itself was fine... though I tend not to agree with the main "problem". I'd prefer a title that would've tied to the problem presented.
  14. CheezWizHed
    I think it is safe to say that any pitcher off the 40 man staff is going to stay there through ST. So looking at the pitchers on our 40 man staff (excluding Junk who seems to be going to Japan?), here is what I predict: Junis gets a starting spot given the $7M price tag. Hall and Ashby go for the last SP spot... I go with Hall to limit innings for Ashby, but it is easy to swap between the two as they both could start, could come out of the BP, or be optioned to AAA. If Ashby isn't fully healthy, maybe a trip to AAA is better? Peguero faltered late last year, so I have him as the last man out of the BP. Clarke and Hudson join him. Blalock was just added to the 40 man and is slated for AA this year. Bryse Wilson had a great year last year, so I kept him in the pen. But he seems like the type of BP pitcher that would fluctuate highly from year to year. If he blows up in ST, cutting him wouldn't be a major loss. In this scenario, we potentially lose out on Vieira (a 2023 minor league FA) and Bukasuskas (late season waiver wire reclamation project). That isn't losing much. Obviously, things can change in ST. Uribe or Megill could come in wild and be sent to the minors. Injuries unfortunately happen. So I think we are constructed rather well, without any trade imminent.
  15. CheezWizHed
    Terrible click-bait title. The front office is unpredictable, so something could be imminent... meh.
  16. CheezWizHed
    Good moderator activity: Please spell check and correct all posts. 😝
  17. CheezWizHed
    I'd be surprised to see Avina (#29), Sanchez (not ranked), Brady (not ranked), Devanney (not ranked), making much of a dent at the MLB level. Only one was top 30... barely. Avina is now ranked as #30 for the Yanks too. I know we grow attached to those guys (I still think about "Little Tree Komatsu" whenever I go past a construction site), but 99.9% of this guys are minor league roster fillers. When we got Bauer, we were all hoping he was insurance for something better at 1B. Looks like he should have room on the bench. Joe Ross always felt like a this year's Rae or Houser. Never a lock for the SP rotation given his injuries and lack of pitching for 2 years. Most likely headed to RP, but can provide SP depth. Not bad at $1.75M. Rae proved himself to be a decent 5th man in the rotation. As a 4th, he gets a bit more shaky. $4.5M deal. Clarke has an option year left, so you can guess where that is going. Oliver Dunn - didn't we actually get him? 😉 As for the $7-8M these guys are making... there is a minimum for MLB players and this wasn't much more than that. I mean, we have to spend somewhere...
  18. CheezWizHed
    Most ST trades tend to be the roster filler types. When the music stops and someone is left without a chair... but still mildly useful to someone...trade them for a bucket of balls so team B doesn't have to sift through the waiver wire. If someone has concerns about Wiemer's bat and Mitchell's health, they will want to see them in real BB for a few months before giving up anything of value.
  19. CheezWizHed
    I'm sorry, you've hit your cap limit on the number of times to post this picture this season. Please try again next season.
  20. CheezWizHed
    Most of the people you mentioned as blocked or having a rough path are pretty low end roster players anyway. It isn't like plans roll out in linear fashion... you have to strike when an opportunity rolls you way. Sometimes it is "wasted" as the player is released or sent to AAA, but how do you predict you can get player X three months after trading for player Y. Better to have too many players than too many holes in the line-up. ST will sort some things out, poor play, injuries, and trades still happen.
  21. CheezWizHed
    Safety is an obvious need, but CB is actually a sneaky need for the Packers right now. Alexander has had back issues. Stokes has been injured for essentially 1.5 years, so who knows what his level of play will be when (if?) he is finally healthy. And Valentine (being a 7th rounder) might be better suited to Joe Barry's heavy zone D than Hafley's heavy man D*. Certainly some risk in your top 3 CBs. Plus Nixon and Ballentine are both FAs. A CB in round 1 would not surprise me at all. If it is a round 1 safety... I hope the guy is a gamechanger. Seems like so many 2nd and 3rd round safeties have as much impact as the 1st rounders. * seems like Valentine played a lot of man in college, but often late round picks blossom because of the system and struggle in others. I'd say this risk is probably much smaller than Alexander and Stokes' health risks.
  22. CheezWizHed
    The more I read about new DC Hafley, the more I think we should bring Savage back as a FA. Savage was clearly our best safety last year. He wasn't outstanding (and he still missed tackles), but overall he was solid. Savage started out strong the first couple years in the league. He regressed mightily the last few. Not surprisingly that coincided with Joe Barry's hiring as DC. Hafley (at least in college) played a lot of single high safety. Savage's speed fits that defensive plan pretty well. Hafley has been lauded for his work with DBs. If anyone can unlock Savage's capabilities, it will be him. I'm assuming Savage will be reasonably priced given his down years and we will need 2-3 safeties this year. I think Savage could very well bounce back (or break out?) under Hafley.
  23. CheezWizHed
    Now watch KC kick it short and it is returned for TD...
  24. CheezWizHed
    Greenlaw out, Old GB friend Owen Burkes in... not great.
  25. CheezWizHed
    I wonder if Quay Walker can go live with Fred Warner for the offseason?
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