Roderick
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Everything posted by Roderick
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There are only 22 total players in all of the NL that have an .800 OPS or better. Per the mlb.com page, Braun has the 13th highest OPS (for the whole year) amongst all NL outfielders. So that means there are 32 outfielders that haven't hit as well as Braun this season that teams have trotted out there to start this season. Even with his last half swoon and baggage, I would bet that he would get more than a 1 year deal for $8M if he was on the market as a free agent.
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I would be curious how signing bonuses would work. If we expose our 1st rounder and he gets drafted, is there any prorated recoup of the bonus paid by the Brewers? Also the same angle for players that we have deferred salaries for, Lohse has $7M deferred and has already earned 2/3 of it I would assume. Who is paying that if he is expansion drafted? No particular order: Lucroy Nelson Peralta Gennett Gomez Segura Davis Fiers Jeffress Smith Thornburg? medical exemption from draft??? Then I basically would take the BFNet top 25 prospects and protect them in that order. With the save six more picks after a draftee, I would continue on with the BFNet top 25, with the exception that if a team selected for example Gallardo, I am going to then protect Lohse and Garza as I don't want a big hole in the rotation. Same if a team picked Braun, I am going to protect Parra.
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Any way that Parra can play CF all season? If he can, we don't have to trade for an OF, we can hold out for the best haul of prospects if we do a teardown or you can target a corner infielder that will start in 2015 if you want to try to remain competitive.
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I assume Washington has money to pay LaRoche, so unless they have someone banging the door in AAA, I don't really see why they wouldn't retain him for the net cost of $13M. They have eyes and can see what kind of crap is playing out there. Zimmerman is moving to first base. I was wondering if Werth would be a possibility at 1B, forgot about Zimmerman.
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I assume Washington has money to pay LaRoche, so unless they have someone banging the door in AAA, I don't really see why they wouldn't retain him for the net cost of $13M. They have eyes and can see what kind of crap is playing out there.
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I have no idea if he would be a fit or not, but the Brewers could compete with the Dodgers money if they traded away one of Gallardo/Lohse/Garza and go cheap with 1B. That, and you figure he is replacing ARam (saving $) in 2016, the money is there. You are obviously playing with fire with the starting staff, but I think you need to take a risk if you want to get over the hump.
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Matt Clark: first baseman of the future?
Roderick replied to 3and2Fastball's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I don't see this as an issue as he wouldn't have veteran status with RR or a big contract for DM. As for inseason options, the Brewers will probably still have Morriss in the system if Clark takes a swan dive and they want a lefty bat. Otherwise, you could play Rogers everyday. His combined 2014 minor league stats actually have him OPSing .047 more against righties (if I did the math right). So you wouldn't have to platoon if Rogers was able to keep that up. I do hope they give Braun some 1B time in the spring, if they retain Parra, to make best use of their assets. -
Matt Clark: first baseman of the future?
Roderick replied to 3and2Fastball's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
ARam will get the option exercised by the Brewers. He may decline and then the Brewers may tag him and still pay him even more than the $14M. It is either that or the Brewers trade for a 3B or punt next season. And trading for a 3B is easier than it sounds as you need to find someone that has a surplus at 3B and has a need for something we have a surplus of. I don't see anyone else out there for 3B in free agency that is any better for what you would have to pay for them. -
Someone from the minors board can correct me, but I was under the impression his move to 3B was more of a move to give him some utility ability to play 3B, not that he realistically could play enough defense to stay there for a whole MLB season.
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If the Brewers nontender instead of arby to a player, do they get to negotiate with them as soon as the other teams? I wasn't sure if the Brewers have to wait longer to sign that player than other teams. If they don't have to wait, I would definitely go that route with Estrada and then negotiate with him and see what the markets dictates for him. If the Brewers trade away a starter, they would probably like him as an insurance policy.
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I assume Cincy would have gotten substantially more for Broxton if they were out of the race sooner and dealt him earlier.
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What are we estimating Estrada and Kintzler would make in the 1st year of arby? What are the chances that Estrada and/or Kintzler are not offered arby? Any of the free agents re-signed? Bullpen for 2015: Set in stone: Broxton Has to show that they have a pulse during spring training to retain roster spot: Jeffress, Smith, Fiers/Nelson (whoever isn't starting) Injury return?: Thornburg, Henderson Others: Wooten, Blazek, Figaro, Pena Free Agents: Duke, Gorzy, KRod It seems to me that we should only probably assume that only one of Thornburg and Henderson comes back decently strong next year, right? It also seems to me that we need to have another lefty out of the pen other than Smith, so that means no money left for Estrada. That would be six spots. Do the Brewers spend 1st year arby money on Kintzler or go the cheap NRI vet / AAA guys fills the spot at min.wage route? Anything that I am missing? Thoughts?
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I'd be a little upset if Nelson, Thornburg and Smith all end up in the bullpen. That would mean more money spent on aging free agents to fill the rotation going forward when I have hopes of a mostly home-grown rotation. Relievers are cheaper to buy in free agency than starters, so we should give our promising young starters the opportunity to win a rotation spot. If Nelson and Thornburg both end up as relievers then I don't have high hopes for our future because they are the best or our young pitching. If DM doesn't trade a starter for a corner infielder, I could see all of them in the pen next year. No one said that if a pitcher is out of the pen one year, that they can never be a starter again. The logjam of #4 starters (and Fiers ) will definitely be gone in 2016 (Gallardo, Lohse). And if Gallardo isn't picked up at a net cost of $12.4M or traded, that opens up one spot for competition from those pitchers listed next year.
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I think the Broxton trade will come down to if we make the playoffs this year. If we do and he helps us, obviously it's worth it. If we don't and we're spending 11 million on him for one year....it's probably going to sting a little bit. Especially if it means we can't bring back Aram for example. The Brewers have the funds for Aram. Think of it this way, we are replacing Weeks cost on the books with Broxton next year and coming out a couple mill ahead. I don't have any idea if there is a 1B out there that is worth big money that the Brewers would be looking at, but I doubt Melvin would have pinched the pennies on a closer so either way, they would have spent that money on a closer, now it is Broxton instead of KRod. I don't know how Broxton is doing, but it seems his numbers are pretty good for pitching in Cincy, and if that is the case, the Brewers would probably pick up his 2016 option for a net cost of $7M.
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Exactly. Gindl looked like he belonged in the majors last year. He wasn't great or anything, but he had a respectable .779 OPS. Maybe he just got tired or frustrated and let it get to him. But I thought he had a future in the majors. Not so sure anymore. Maybe next spring we will find out he had some injury or another that he couldn't injure further, so he played, but he will be better in 2015.
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Well if we can acquire a 2015 corner infielder or a 2016 starter with six years of control for Gallardo, yes I think it is a waste of resources. Now obviously if the return isn't up to those levels (even if we kick in $ to reduce Gallardo's cost) you don't pull the trigger.
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Barring an injury, I don't see RR starting Nelson or Fiers over any of the other starters in the playoffs, despite how good they may pitch down the stretch.
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Yeah, but putting Fiers in the pen sure seems like a waste to me. So instead of that, trade Gallardo for a starter that will be ready in 2016 or a corner infielder that is ready by then or earlier (we can even chip in on the contract if it generates that much better a prospect). I think the risk of injury or underperformance of a starter(s) is still trumped by the opportunity to make the Brewers stronger for years to come, saving alot of money and keeps the Brewers from losing multiple starters in one offseason. If you need a pitcher, I don't think we would be stuck with no one better than Jungmann, he is just one of the multiple options that include players that have started before in the majors. But, with the saved payroll, they can afford to sign/retain a decent swingman as an insurance policy, like they did with Gorzy before 2013.
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Dayn Perry: The Brewers aren't going away
Roderick replied to Dead Simmons's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I didn't join Brewerfan.net to blow any Cardinal trumpets. Just swapping baseball talk and offering an opinion like everyone else. You seem to regard the Cards as some kind of baseball monolith. That's your opinion. I just don't happen to share it. OK? As far as I can tell you are a good luck charm for the Brewers, so keep posting in the forums all you would like. -
Put me down in the trade Gallardo this offseason camp. That is assuming we get something of value in return. If teams aren't going to pony up something over and above his salary, then I feel no motivation to trade him. Would be nice to get a 3B or a starter that would be ready in 2016. We should be fine in 2015 with Lohse, Garza, Peralta, Nelson, Fiers. For something long-term they could stretch out Thornburg or Smith or Gorzy/Duke (if resigned), and maybe one of Blazek/Jungmann/Pena/Cravy earns a shot midseason. With a Figaro/Hand/etc available to fill in for a start or two. If the Brewers don't want to pay Estrada arby-level pay, but still wanted him do they have the same crack at him as the other clubs or since we didn't offer arby we have to wait to negotiate a contract until after other teams have been given a shot? Seems if the Brewers trade a starter, they could sign Estrada back as high-priced insurance policy.
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Thank you. And five weeks of major league pay at league minimum salary isn't worth a pennant chase? Who said that? Strawman approaching. My question would be what is the technicalities for a guy that is injured being put on the 60 day DL by the team to open up a 40 man roster spot, and getting them off the MLB pay and service time clock? Does the team just takes them off the 60 day DL after the season is over and puts them back on the regular 40 man roster, regardless of where their health progress is at? Do they have to pass a physical? In other words if they put a player on the 60 man DL and it takes longer to get healthy than surmised, could it cost the Brewers MLB pay and service time next season? In which case it may not be wise to put those pitchers on the 60 day DL.
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I admit to not being fully current on the tribulations of that relationship, but I think it's more the case that the Brewers are moving on from the partnership, not the other way around. This thread would seem to lean that Nashville was the one that wanted out. So, yeah, screw em. viewtopic.php?p=905946#p905946
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Any thoughts on possible Aug. trades?
Roderick replied to brewmann04's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Are the Brewers really looking for a last guy in the bullpen type? I don't think so. It seems to me the hole in the pen is finding a righty to alternate pitching the 8th inning with Smith. And that isn't a 7th or 8th bullpen arm type position. We are looking for quality, so as was said the only quality guys that will clear waivers have a cumbersome contract in tow. Edit: I guess I thought you were thinking fixing the 7th or 8th guy in the pen (or the last guy), maybe you meant the guy pitching the 7th/8th inning. If so, sorry. But the point still holds, that I don't think there were many teams willing to sell that guy in their pen as usually he is cheap and is under control for more than this year and is probably poised to be their closer at some point in the future. -
Jimmy Rollins placed on Waivers
Roderick replied to Bombers's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
I doubt Hardy would even have a meeting with Melvin. $10M seems steep for a planned utility guy and a just in case insurance policy. And would Hardy be someone that is good in the clubhouse in a bench role? -
future flexibility with what? it shouldn't be future flexibility with minor league options as 2014 was his second year of minor league options. if he's recalled before the end of this season, he'll still have one minor league option year remaining in 2015. That is why I said if. I haven't figured out how options worked (haven't tried), but I know they are out there and if bringing up Blazek would effect the Brewers ability to bring him up and down in some future year, I don't see Melvin bringing him up. And even if that is not a concern, chances are still good he would not get called up as Melvin doesn't typically bring up a bunch of guys. You figure he brings up Figaro, Wooten, Fiers before Blazek, so assuming a couple of Garza, Henderson, Thornburg (and Wang) are active, they wouldn't bring up any more. Personally, I would bring him up. That would just allow the Brewers to really go righty/lefty with the three lefties in the pen.