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The Truth

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Everything posted by The Truth

  1. The Truth
    Interesting reactions. My thoughts are that the Mariners added one of the least desireable characters in MLB to their roster. I'm not the biggest Doug Melvin fan but I'm very glad Doug is our GM and not Jack Z
  2. The Truth
    Count me in as being not particularily impressed with either the Figgins signing or (especially) trading 3 very good prospects for Cliff Lee. The off-season is far from over though, so we'll see what else he can put together. If he is "going for it all" with aquiring Lee, he's got a ways to go
  3. The Truth
    Yeah, "legit World Series ace" isn't exactly a great description. I want the Brewers to contend for a title like any fan. When I see Carpenter on the Cards, Halladay on the Phillies, Sabathia on the Yankees, Lackey on the Red Sox, I don't see Gallardo stacking up well against those pitchers. Makes it tough to imagine the Crew winning game 1 of a series vs Philadelphia or St Louis. I do think Gallardo has the potential to be that good, but so far he hasn't been A (much) bigger concern is how our curent #2, Wolf, stacks up against those teams' #2 pitchers. And then our #3 is potentially a disaster vs those teams #3's... none of it stacks up all that well
  4. The Truth
    Yes, but even in '08 Parra had a WHIP of 1.542. The guy has a career WHIP of 1.652 (!). That is relatively brutal. His SO/9 rate and just a look at his stuff tells us he has the potential to put it together, but wow Manny Parra looks a lot closer to a career AAAA pitcher right now than a legit starter
  5. The Truth
    Win-Loss record is not a reliable stat in any sense of the imagination. I suppose its true we will see a small trade happen, and maybe in this economy some free agents will be bargains in January/February. I agree with others who question the Hawkins signing if that prevents us from spending $$$ on starting pitching. Relying on Manny Parra to turn his career around, and relying on Dave Bush to overcome injuries (though Bush has had amazing years statistically every other season, so he's due next year!) is playing alot of "what if" with the Brewers small window left of the "Prince Fielder era" already. If Bush and Parra are the #4 and #5 pitchers that would look alot better than them slotted in the 3 and 4 spots. When compared to legit World Series contending pitching staffs, Gallardo and Wolf are really #2 and #3 guys anyways. Unless Gallardo really steps up his game to be the true Cy Young contender many of us think he could be, he's really a good solid #2 pitcher. And I don't see any way to think of Randy Wolf as more than a #3 pitcher on most of the best pitching staffs in MLB
  6. The Truth
    http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/sports/79263882.html I sure hope we trade for a starting pitcher, because I think we really do need 2 new starters. Wolf is one, but a starting staff of Gallardo,Wolf, Parra, Bush and either Suppan/Mulder/Narveson doesn't exactly look like a potential division winner to me... Parra and Bush are huge question marks (potentially very good but who knows?). Suppan doesn't look like a legit starter anymore. Mulder is an even bigger question mark. I like Narveson's potential but I don't think we can count on him to be a great starter yet...
  7. The Truth
    As I mentioned in a previous thread, I'd rather have McClung than Suppan as the #6 starter long relief guy, and I'll go further on a limb and say I'd rather have Seth McClung on the Brewers than have Ken Mcha as a manager
  8. The Truth
    Hindsight is 20/20 but yes they should have traded Hardy and Hall a year ago (i.e. in the off-season). If Escobar wasn't ready for a full season, then fine start Counsell on opening day... the Brewers weren't in any stretch of the imagination title contenders last year, so it didn't matter Right now, in terms of World Series title contention, they have a good solid #3 in Randy Wolf, and a good solid #2 in Yovanni Gallardo... if they are serious about trying to win it all in '10, with a great nucleus of Fielder and Braun, then they should trade for Roy Halladay at any cost... if not then they should look at it like a rebuilding year and hope for the best (which, actually, is what I think they are doing, I think they are looking at 2011 as the year they "go for it all") Some of it so far has just been chips not falling like they could have... as an example, Rickie Weeks when drafted was looked at as potentially being what Chase Utley has become, an elite player... the Brewers have 2 elite hitters, if they had a 3rd or a 4th that puts them more in Phillies or (dare I say it) Yankees territory. Some of us (myself included) think Alcides Escobar has potential to be an elite player. If Weeks can put it all together and reach his potential and stay healthy (huge "ifs" I know) you are looking at a pretty potent lineup that truely is just one superstar pitcher away So, I think the Brewers are doing it the right way. If Sheets had stayed healthy in 2008 I think the Brewers could have potentially been a World Series team that year
  9. The Truth
    And LaPorta, despite a .917 OPS in Triple A in '09, has been nothing special so far in MLB, and just might be Adan Dunn'esque in the field That and, even for someone who respects stats as much as I, it is tough to quantify the value longterm of making the playoffs for the first time in decades, which we wouldn't have done without Sabathia. The increased attendance in '08, which led to increased revenue, is directly related to that playoff appearance
  10. The Truth
    Thanks for reminding me of Davis' effectiveness in '04 and '05. I tend to underestimate Davis in general (and especially the years he had as a Brewer) and look more at the 1.5 or higher WHIP he's had each of the last 4 years... Davis has never really approached Wolf's 1.101 WHIP of last season though, and Wolf's SO/9 is consistently better than Davis' too, most years... Davis' career WHIP is 1.492, Wolf's is 1.315 I still tend to think of Wolf as a better overall pitcher than Davis, but yes I'd be thrilled if he put up the stats that Davis did as a Brewer in '04 and '05, and I don't expect him to Looking at Davis' career stats makes me hope the Brewers sign him in a January bargain deal
  11. The Truth
    Isn't Wolf a better starting pitcher than anyone not named Sheets or Gallardo that the Brewers have had in what? 10 years? 15 years? Decades? (Besides our brief rental of Sabathia)
  12. The Truth
    Harden is a much bigger injury risk than Wolf. That said, glad to see him out of the NL
  13. The Truth
    I like the signing but if you put alot of belief in BaseballReference.com's "Sim Scores", he's most similar to David Weathers and Braden Looper!!! http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/h/hawkila01.shtml
  14. The Truth
    I'm happy with this signing, and I believe in the concept of trying to "win within the Prince window" And in my mind, I see this, for now as Wolf replacing Looper in our rotation, which is pretty significant... I think there is a relatively good chance we can add Washburn as a January bargain signing too
  15. The Truth
    Gamel is potentially the Brewers' 1B in 2012, thus the increasing reluctance to trading him. You don't announce moving Gamel to OF before trading Hart, because it hurts Hart's already declining trade value. Either McGehee or Gamel should be able to play OF as well as infield, ideally, because that increases their value as a super-sub. The Brewers aren't completely confident about Weeks' ability to play an entire season, nor are they super-confident about re-signing Counsell, thus a need for Casey to potentially play alot of 2B in '10 Those are all possible reasons. The most likely scenario is that, despite Casey's great season in '09, the Brewers aren't yet completely convinced that Casey is a better 3B long-term than Mat Gamel
  16. The Truth
    Interesting move... depends on what they use the $5.5 million on. I think they are going to try to extend Fielder with a blockbuster offer. Or go after Lackey
  17. The Truth
    I just really hope they don't trade Salome. I've seen him play and think he'll be a terrific hitter in MLB
  18. The Truth
    Thanks for the fantastic interview. Reading between the lines, that helps substantiate my opinion that JJ Hardy is injury prone and will soon be on a physical decline, and the Brewers were smart to trade him when they did. Hardy plays stiff for such a young player Always liked Spivey (edited for spelling)
  19. The Truth
    Offense from the Catcher position? Angel Salome is, I believe, the answer. If he can stay healthy Hart isn't going to bring much in terms of pitching. Maybe if he has a great 1st half we can deal him at the All-Star break... perhaps Hart could be included in a mega deal but I just don't see huge value in trading Hart
  20. The Truth
    The Phillies paid $5 million for a .696 OPS at 3B last year. That is just brutal Not big on Happ but I'd give up a lot to get Hamels
  21. The Truth
    I've seen some advocating packaging Salome in a deal for pitching. I used to think that way, too, but now am not so sure about that having done more research... a bat like Salome's, you gotta keep and figure out a way to keep in the Brewers organization. I know the Brewers are hyping Lucroy, and he is very talented too, but I think you've gotta keep both, at least for now. Salome has the potential to be a .900 OPS guy in MLB and has a gun for an arm
  22. The Truth
    I absolutely agree with that in terms of 2009. In 2008 they had a shot at the World Series if Sheets, CC and Yo were all healthy and pitching great. I'd argue that CC, Sheets and Yo all in top form and healthy is a better trio than what the Yankees had in CC, Burnett, and Pettitte this year... imho, the Brewers abused Sheets much of his early career (especially by rushing him to the Majors) and paid the heaviest of prices in the 2008 post-season But yes, Cameron was a complete waste of salary cap $$$ in 2009 for a team that had zero World Series chances
  23. The Truth
    Are people really thinking Mark Mulder can be a starting pitcher again?
  24. The Truth
    In 2005 at age 19 Gomez had 64 stolen bases and a .331 OBP while batting .275 in A ballthe next year in AA ball he had 41 stolen bases with a .350 OBP (and a .773 OPS) the following year in AAA ball he had a .355 OBP Those aren't good seasons for one of the best defensive outfielders? Weeks was incredible offensively in the minors but relatively brutal in the field by most accounts
  25. The Truth
    'Cept now they can turn around and say that 2 years of a former MLB All-Star in JJ Hardy is part of what the Santana trade brought in! Media hype to sell tickets always fascinates me. I agree the Twins got fleeced in that deal, though I don't think thats a reflection on Gomez really. Phillip Humber has been a pretty awful pitcher for both the Twins and in AAA ball the last 2 years. Kevin Mulvey has pitched OK in AAA ball, not great. Deolis Guerra hasn't exactly been lights out in A ball or AA although at least he's a young pitcher. 3 young non-phenom pitchers plus Gomez for Johan freakin' Santana! Yes, the Twins got fleeced bigtime.
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