Okay, I think this is how it stands: Slovenia with 4 points, 3 GF, 2 GA USA with 2 points, 3 GF, 3 GA England with 2 points, 1 GF, 1 GA Algeria with 1 point, 0 GF, 1 GA One game to go for each team: Slovenia vs. England USA vs. Algeria The first tie breaker, if points are tied, is goal differential. The second is goals scored. So, here are the possibilities for USA: 1) USA beats Algeria ==> USA advances 2) USA loses to Algeria ==> USA eliminated Here's where it gets sticky: 3) USA ties Algeria a) & Slovenia wins ==> USA advances b) & Slovenia draws with England ==> USA advances as long as they still have scored more goals than England, as both of their goal differentials would be zero in this case. For example, if England ties Slovenia 3 - 3 and USA ties Algeria 0 - 0, England advances. If England ties Slovenia 1 - 1 and USA ties Algeria 0 - 0, USA advances. If England and USA have the same number of goals scored after the draw, then it will go to basically a coin flip. Coin flip is pretty unlikely though at this point. c) & Slovenia loses ==> USA eliminated It would look better if the U.S. had four points, however...