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jerichoholicninja

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Everything posted by jerichoholicninja

  1. jerichoholicninja
    His stuff isn't good. He throws moderately hard but is nothing special for today's game and with no movement. Every now and then he'll throw a decent slider but those are few and far between. KC is the type of team that he should sign with but I doubt he's in the bigs come May.
  2. jerichoholicninja
    Well they had all those former Brewers when they won the World Series so they needed to replace Lorenzo to get the magic back.
  3. jerichoholicninja
    The Tigers would be pretty stupid to sell low on Norris in their current state.
  4. jerichoholicninja
    So it sounds like Fox Sports Wisconsin could become ESPN Wisconsin, though it's not real clear. But is does seem that there will be a shake up of the sports networks when the dust settles. My gut instinct is that this will not be good for the Brewers (and Bucks) when their broadcast deals come up. https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/05/disney-and-fox-are-closing-in-on-deal-could-be-announced-next-week--sources.html Just curious why? Just spitballing... ESPN is in a major free fall and obviously losing money with the massive layoffs over the last few years. Factor in that ESPN doesn't give a crap about anything that happens outside of New York/Boston, Chicago, and LA or really anything outside of the NFL and I can't see them wiling to offer anything than the bare minimum for the rights to broadcast Brewer games.
  5. jerichoholicninja
    In theory, that makes him a clear #2.
  6. jerichoholicninja
    I use FIP/xFIP a lot, and they are very good predictive stats. But the one thing FIP doesn't say anything about is quality of contact and groundball rate. Hughes has, in (parts of) 7 seasons and almost 400 innings consistently outperformed his FIP (As in comparing ERA and FIP) by >1. At some point you just have to accept that the way he pitches, with a ton of groundballs, will see a lower ERA than FIP and that it isn't luck or a sign that he's due regression. Like him or not, prefer him over Jeffres/Williams/whoever or not, but I don't think using FIP against him is really fair. Hence why I threw in other stats. His ERA has been all over the place. The FIP numbers he's put up are as consistant as they come, and they're not good. Career 5.8 k/9 is pretty terrible for a RP. Even the 7.2 he had last year just isn't anything special. I really have nothing against Hughes but I see no reason to make a fuss over losing him. Especially when, as I pointed out, he'll probably get more than Jeffress got and not perform all that much better.
  7. jerichoholicninja
    Hughes has had some really good looking ERA's over his career but his FIP has been around 4 (3.81-4.68) every full season season of his career. Last year his WAR, WHIP, H/9, and K/9 were all at or around career bests. You could say last year was the best statistical year of his career, meaning he either finally figured it out at 31/32 or it was an outlier career year he won't replicate. Personally, I would lean more toward outlier. If you want to look at this as a Hughes or Jeffress situation (which I don't think it was to Stearns), Jeffress wanted to stay here and probably took less than Hughes will get for what will ultimately be probably about the same production but Jeffress has a much higher ceiling.
  8. jerichoholicninja
    $1.75M buys you pretty much nothing in baseball these days. If you take away the name Jeremy Jeffress and just look at it as a RP signed with his stats, this is a total non-story that would have been buried on this board by now
  9. jerichoholicninja
    So it looking like Stanton to SF is a very good possibility and them also being a finalist for Othani, could they be looking to dump some SP from their payroll if they sign him? I was interested in Samardzija till I saw how long he was signed for. I would have no problem paying him $20M a year but not for 3 more years. The other guy would be Moore. He's been flat out awful since going to SF but he's only got one more year guaranteed at $9M and then a $10M option for another and was sort of serviceable with Tampa. I wouldn't give up anything of any value for either of those guys, just take on their whole contracts, heck maybe even take one of their prospects a la Aaron Hill.
  10. jerichoholicninja
    I don't watch much college football, is Hornibrook considered even an average college QB? He has the weakest arm I've ever seen from a QB.
  11. jerichoholicninja
    Why are the Jays trading Stroman?
  12. jerichoholicninja
    Trading Stanton and Gordon means they have no intention of competing. In that case, it makes no difference if Yadiel Rivera or Panik plays 2B. Rivera would probably be the better option since since he's the worse player.
  13. jerichoholicninja
    Elf is the only answer. Christmas Vacation is a distant second. Everything else is hokey crap.
  14. jerichoholicninja
    So after the Giants miss on Stanton (which I assume they will because everything so far seems like the Marlins are going to way overvalue him and not trade him), will they turn to Braun?
  15. jerichoholicninja
    Maybe if Reds include Gennett in the deal and take Villar. Seriously, do you really want to help a division rival down the road by overpaying for a relief pitcher? Bad enough that they have Cubs and Cardinals to contend with for the foreseeable future. That horse isn't even a pile a dust anymore. I think you've beat it into a diamond.
  16. jerichoholicninja
    What a strange comparison. I don't see that one at all. I'd deal Brinson in the right trade, but this isn't it. Phillips and/or Ray? Sure. Have you looked through their stat lines? Minors and majors? Advanced stats and all. Very close in numbers and close in age. I thought I was the only one totally missing on Manaea with all the people wanting to give up our #1 prospect for him. I've followed him through my dynasty fantasy baseball team. He seems like a middle of the rotation guy at best. Not someone you trade an overall top 10-20 prospect for.
  17. jerichoholicninja
    That seems...excessive. Sounds like the lifetime ban was prompted by the fact Coppolella has threatened litigation and would not cooperate with the investigation. Im sure banning him for life is really going to stop him from suing.
  18. jerichoholicninja
    I imagine residents of about half those states you mentioned will be surprised to learn they don't live on the East Coast. In sports, East Coast refers to New York City and Boston.
  19. jerichoholicninja
    Taking bus rides to games with armed guards isn't the greatest situation. Problem is that these guys make more in 2 months playing down there than they did playing all year here. MLB needs to step up and pay the minor league guys a decent wage to make a living. I have always wondered if MLB continues drug testing of players in the Winter Leagues. Guys playing in winter leagues has little to do with money. They play for the love of their country and because their big league club wants them to get more PT.
  20. jerichoholicninja
    So what if he does? This falls into "no harm no foul" territory. I'm sure he won't let these waiver claims impact any signings/trades he intends to make. I'm not against it, it just seems like such a minimal return though. Last year's guys, Blake Parker went on to dominate for the Angels and Steve Goeltz never even sniffed the bigs. So I'm not sure if that validates the strategy or discredits it. Also, it cost us Diaz by taking up a 40 man spot, who may or may not turn out to be something. At this point in the offseason I guess it's irrelevant with Rule 5 concerns having past.
  21. jerichoholicninja
    So DS is going to spend another offseason claiming barely 4A pitchers and then losing them on waivers a week later?
  22. jerichoholicninja
    I don't know if it's only to pump up his price, but yes I agree there's probably a lot more smoke than fire. Stearns himself reiterated the other day that they're in the market for starters, but as far as specific names like Arrieta and Lynn, he doesn't know where people are getting that from. It just comes with the territory of what you're in the market for. Was there any major starter at the trade deadline that we WEREN'T linked to? Quintana yes, Gray yes, Verlander yes. Can't remember us being linked to Darvish, but if he had more control and wasn't just a rental, we probably would have been. So I'm not at all surprised at this point to see us linked to Arrieta and Lynn. Maybe you find a soft spot in the market and land a big starter for what you feel is a bargain price. Or more likely you drive up the market for your competitors. Absolutely no harm in kicking the tires on anything. Trying to drive up Arrieta's price without intending to sign him only hurts themselves as it will drive up the price of every other starting pitcher. And Stearns seems dead set on signing a starter.
  23. jerichoholicninja
    I doubt very few "don't get it", they just find it incredibly annoying.
  24. jerichoholicninja
    I was going to post that after the second half collapse, that record doesn't seem that far fetched. Then I looked at the 2017 numbers. They were over .500 both halfs and every month but July, when they were 12-13. In fact, Sept/Oct was their highest winning percentage in a month and from August till the end of the year they had a better record than the rest of the year prior. Did we actually collapse or did everyone else just run past us?
  25. jerichoholicninja
    This is a good point. It takes two to tango. Either the players or at least their agents knew what was going on. No way they should escape punishment. If they do, any time someone gets a PED suspension they just need to say their organization made them do it and they'll get off.
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