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Oxy

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Everything posted by Oxy

  1. Oxy
    Both teams could end up with double figure runs today. That pop-up by Maldonado almost hit the wall. Jackson seems to be wild EJax as well. Hopefully Estrada can just keep going down and away and keep the ball in the park today.
  2. Oxy
    I say we start the game with 3 straight bunts.
  3. Oxy
    "fine" as in--nobody is going to die? Half the roster is injured, the bullpen has been horrible and in the only good start our starters have produced so far we still lost the game. Even the lone game we won we did it after a blown save. Of all the possible good things that could have happened to start the year, Jean Segura pretty much it. Everything else has been bad. It could be worse if guys were out for the year I suppose, but in the here and now it's about as bad as it could possibly be.
  4. Oxy
    Must win.[/lt blue]
  5. Oxy
    What's Matt LaPorta doing these days?
  6. Oxy
    no its not if you plan on unleashing the teams speed (to getting out on base faster). What's the record for the number of bunts in a game? It might be fun to try to set that one.
  7. Oxy
    The hardest part about this is when you have a slew of young guys who you are trying to evaluate. If they start off hot like Fiers and establish some success and confidence, great. If they start off cold, how much of a leash do you give them? Are they just unlucky? Baseball is a wonderful game for this kind of thing.
  8. Oxy
    Except that under La Russa (the guy you say started it all), St. Louis has been a decent or better (a couple of WS titles) the last few years and never really had a designated closer throughout those years.
  9. Oxy
    Rough start for Wily, throwing 6 strikes and still walking the guy.
  10. Oxy
    Let's talk strikeouts. Moneyballers LOVE strikeouts. Pitchers who K guys are seen has having good stuff, and it is basically the only pitching statistic that negates park factors and defense-- therefore it is seen as reliable (although the affect that a catcher may have on K rate is still up in the air). Meanwhile, strikeouts for hitters are seen as near meaningless-- "An out is an out! Who cares how they make their out?" is decried by statisticians all around the internet. The result of these two contradicting philosophies is, of course, a steadily rising league-wide strikeout rate and falling batting averages (as BB rate becomes more important and contact becomes less important). My question is this-- has the league over-corrected? Obviously, there is SOME benefit to being able to consistently put the bat on the ball. Will the trends over the last couple years continue? Will K rate plateau or will it fall back to historical averages?
  11. Oxy
    This is just unnecessary stickling and has nothing to do with your point or this thread, but I always like to point out that Nolan Ryan never won a single Cy Young award.
  12. Oxy
    I don't know. We have 4 capable outfielders and a decent backup catcher. I guess with another significant loss we'd be pretty thin, but unless that loss is Ryan Braun our offense should be good enough to absorb an injury here or there. Hart is one injury--but he certainly won't be out for the year, and may not be out more than a couple of weeks.
  13. Oxy
    The MRI revealed a "defect" in the knee, whatever that means, and some issues with his meniscus. I love getting a second opinion here, as this kind of sound like an issue that is about pain and discomfort more than anything. If it doesn't hurt that bad, and he wants to play, let him play. He plays first base and doesn't need to be a threat on the basepaths, so as long as his swing isn't affected (Big IF), he doesn't need his legs much anyway. I'd rather have him for the full season and take the late innings off and/or an extra day off every now and then rather then miss more than a month of the season and STILL not be comfortable on the knee. It's not like everything is necessarily going to feel perfect after he comes back from surgery anyway, so if it doesn't feel too bad let him play.
  14. Oxy
    No chance he takes $500k to $1 mil less to play for the brewers. No kidding. The difference between $75 million and $76 million is very small. The difference between $1 million and 2$ million is absolutely enormous (or relatively enormous).
  15. Oxy
    I think Braun would veto a Karsten's signing. /half blue
  16. Oxy
    The logic and points made in this post are spot on. People put so much faith in projections around here it's ridiculous. The most "projectible" part of the Brewers next year is a veteran laden offensive unit that should be near the top of the league. The pitching staff could do just about anything. There is enough talent that they could be very good all around, and there is enough youth that they could be horrible. I kind of think it's kind of exciting and is the very reason I enjoy sports so much.
  17. Oxy
    I don't think it would be a disaster just because of the pure number of guys they have to fill spots if guys falter badly. Peralta, Rogers, and Fiers all got significant time in the bigs last year and performed very admirably, so there isn't really a reason to believe that all of them will blow up this year. And if one or two guys do implode, we should be able to fill in the spots with Narveson, Thornburg, or even Jungmann, Nelson or Burgos. Sure, it's not like the staff is stacked for the playoffs, but I think that there are enough guys with enough upside to believe that one or two of them might really work out well. For some guys it just clicks when they step on the mound in a MLB stadium. They thrive on being in the spotlight. Plus, I think having lots of young arms available to step up for a good team simultaneously provides great competition and opportunity for success without a lot of pressure to succeed since the expectations for any one of them aren't sky high. I think Estrada and Fiers will be solid if unspectacular, and one of Rogers or Peralta might have an outstanding year. Also, I think it would be a lot of fun to follow as the season progresses.
  18. Oxy
    The only thing that makes relievers overrated is the fact that their results are almost impossible to predict, which makes signing FA relievers and developing relievers a difficult task. I would say that getting quality results out of your bullpen is one of the most important and underrated aspects of having a championship ballclub. But it is also the final piece to a championship ballclub, not the foundation. A great pitching staff--bullpen included-- will always trump offense.
  19. Oxy
    Outside of Dempster, Jackson, and maybe Sanchez I don't think there are any FAs out there who would even be an improvement over the young arms for actual on field production. When you factor in paying them 10 to 20 times more than a pre-arby player it becomes ridiculous to try to sign somebody else. We have 6-10 starters to try out this year. If a couple of them work out early and we have a good chance at making a playoff run come July perhaps we trade for a veteran arm. If a couple of them fall on their face early, then we just cycle in the other arms to see what we have for the future.
  20. Oxy
    I think this idea is the winner. Somebody get Bud on the phone.
  21. Oxy
    Considering he was a bullpen pitcher in the National League, that isn't exactly fair. The other team gets to play match-ups as well, so of course they are going to PH with a lefty. You can't pull a guy every single time that happens (although perhaps he should have been pulled more often than he was).
  22. Oxy
    I do not think that this is a good permanant option. Lucroy is an excellent receiver with an adequate arm who is an incredible offensive asset as a C, but is likely just hovering above replacement value as a 1b/RF (he's not a .320 hitter.). Meanwhile, Maldonado is a good receiver with an excellent arm, and will likely hit around replacement level. I wouldn't mind if Lucroy caught 3 or 4 days a week and played 1st/RF 1 or 2 days a week, but he is a good, young catcher who can hit that guys not named Randy Wolf enjoy throwing to. It just doesn't make sense to move him.
  23. Oxy
    Yeah I don't like either of them a ton but I don't see why you would rate RBI highly and ignore R which is what most people do. Even in fantasy baseball they do that. Reason #1:
  24. Oxy
    31. Cabrera. Had the Angels made the playoffs, I might give it to Trout. Trout is a more valuable player given the versatility of his tools and his defense, but the historical significance of winning the Triple Crown for a playoff team makes it a pretty easy decision for me. It would be closer had Trout played the whole year as well.
  25. Oxy
    Good points, I agree. Another thing to consider is that the most commonly used run matrix relies upon data from 1999-2002, which is probably among the greatest four year stretches of offense in the history of the league. As teams and players score fewer runs and hit fewer home runs, the value of each individual run is much greater in terms of wins and losses. This makes the benefits of aggressive baserunning and quality defense that much more important (Or that much more detrimental if you are giving away too many outs).
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