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umphrey

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Everything posted by umphrey

  1. umphrey
    I am pretty sure we are deeply in last place in moves made and money spent this offseason. I would like to see us gamble on a pitcher, Johan Santana is the guy I'm still watching.
  2. umphrey
    If he's making less than $20M/year he will be extremely tradable in 2 years anyways
  3. umphrey
    I think he'll get less than Darvish. Darvish was a better 'prospect' at the time he was posted. I would be shocked if NYY didn't 1up the 2nd highest bidder by $10M though.
  4. umphrey
    Isn't Adams their starting 1B?
  5. umphrey
    RF woulld be a revolving door if Braun doesn't play there though. Gindl and Schafer are 4th OFs.
  6. umphrey
    I don't think that makes sense for the Marlins
  7. umphrey
    If you assume he doesn't decline by the time he turns 26: he is a much better player and 5 years younger at FA time than Robinson Cano who got $240. Clayton Kershaw turned down $300M, and Trout is inherently worth more on a long term deal as a position player. In todays dollars, I think Trout would get $350M. Adjusted for inflation, that will be just over $400M. We'll have to wait and see though. In addition to the TV bubble bursting, there seems to be a bit of a trend to go away from these big deals. The Red Sox won last year by spreading their money around, and it seems like that's what the Yankees want to do this year (if you consider Jacoby Ellsbury and Brian McCann bargains at $263M, anyway). You have to go back to the 2009 Yankees to find a team that really won by buying a superstar, fueled by Derek Jeter and CC Sabathia. There are 4 big contracts out right now: Fielder, Votto, Cano and Pujols. It will be interesting to see if one of those teams wins it next year, although it looks like no one is going to credit the Pujols or Fielder contracts as a contributing factor.
  8. umphrey
    No reason to freak out over a 2 year deal. I think there is more value in a deal like this than giving 9 digits to David Price or Zack Greinke, and it's low risk.
  9. umphrey
    Maybe they can punt on 2014 and build for 2015? -Trade Gomez for 2 top 100 pitcher prospects or 1 top 10 -Salary dump Aramis and Lohse, either throw it in the bank or spend it on player development -Build around Braun, Segura, Lucroy and whatever we get out of the Gomez trade It would be hard because we have so many gaping holes pretty much everywhere else. Who is our future 3B? We are putting a lot of stock in Hunter Morris, Scooter Gennett and Khris Davis.
  10. umphrey
    Our pitching was 3rd worst in baseball last year and sadly, I don't see how it's going to get any better. Short of a David Price trade or Tanaka signing (completely unrealistic), it will probably get worse. I vote fire sale and play for 2015.
  11. umphrey
    I don't think so, I think it's because he doesn't strike guys out. If teams believed in his 2.86 ERA, they wouldn't have cared about the low level prospect. It really didn't hurt Swisher, Soriano, or Bourn. Teams just don't value Lohse's skill set of pitching to contact. Also, his agent probably screwed up and rejected better offers, then brought his price way down when the season was getting close to starting.
  12. umphrey
    It will probably work out for them. He's a middle of the order bat that is going to be signed through his age 32 season, and they won't have to wait on any minor league development. There's a good chance that after one year in the MLB he would be looking at $20M/year. I think he's Kendrys Morales at worst, who at 30 years old is probably going to turn down a 1 year/$14M deal to seek a long term deal with higher AAV than this one.
  13. umphrey
    He was only marginally useful because he went to Petco and his HR rate plummeted. If he's pitching in Miller Park, it's going to go up again, and he's the same useless player the Reds let go.
  14. umphrey
    If he can justify it with his bat he can definitely play RF, it sets the bar higher for his bat though if he's going to be a below average corner OF
  15. umphrey
    ^^I don't see your point. Are you proposing we stop cheering for players because maybe they took steroids?
  16. umphrey
    They don't weigh walks the same as singles in stuff like wOBA. A walk is about 78% as good as a single for 2012 wOBA, for example.
  17. umphrey
    Brandon Moss or Mike Napoli, Juan Francisco as backup and Morris hanging out in AAA in case of injury or trade
  18. umphrey
    He'll be a great reclamation project for cheap, probably not with us though. His problem is a steadily rising HR rate, so he would probably be good in the right home park.
  19. umphrey
    Pujols wins this thread so much. 5 straight years all of his triple slash numbers has fallen to the point where he is just an above average 1B at this point and injured on top of it. He's already not worth what they are paying him and they are still on the hook for 8 years / $212M. I don't think these deals are driven by baseball minds though, teams just try to drum up excitement before signing a big TV or stadium contract.
  20. umphrey
    For me it's the guy that is playing 1st base because he is grossly unqualified for his position.
  21. umphrey
    22-5
  22. umphrey
    If you add Corey Hart and platoon Bianchi/Gennett at 2B, get Lucroy back to above average and add it to what our top 5 have been doing, you have a top 3 offense. None of those things are going to happen though, we will trade Hart in a salary dump or give him a 1 year tender to get some draft picks only to see it fail.
  23. umphrey
    What's the team ERA? I'm sure it's bad, but it would be more accurate compared to gaudy reliever ERAs weighted by low IP.
  24. umphrey
    More like one of the 3 or 4 worst teams in baseball. This is probably the season the team needed to have to tell Mark A that he needs to start retooling the team. Hopefully Gallardo, Weeks, Hart, and Ramirez are traded during the deadline this year. That should bring in some more talent and put the Brewers back into a window of 2015-however long the window will be open again. Plus hopefully this season gives the Brewers a top 5 draft pick for next year. Nah he'll just see it as an opportunity to go all in, he'll sign KRod and trade Coulter and Roache for Lyle Overbay.
  25. umphrey
    We really need to acquire whatever backup 1B is available
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