xisxisxis

I'd take the field too! The brewers are 29-19 and on pace for 97.875 total wins. Their Pythagorean W/L is 26-22 which puts us on a pace for 87.75 total wins. It's early so 27 wins now would project to 91.125 total wins and 28 wins now would project to 94.5 total wins. So a lot of variance in projecting out from here simply based on the current standings. I'd expect some regression from our bullpen, some regression due to run differential and some regression because not-Braun has been better than Braun, but CC will likely go all-in on Braun... My best guess given what we have done, how the pitching and offense looks, no more injuries and a return to near 2017 Jimmy Nelson is that the Brewers are in the 91-92 win range. Fangraphs is projecting a final record of 82-80 driven by a huge regression in the pitching staff (3.69 RA/g now to 4.57 RA/g for the remainder) and a modest improvement in offense (4.04 RS/G to 4.25). Given Davies has been down for 2 weeks, Nelson hasn't returned, and Suter/Woodruff have been only marginally effective, they must think the Brewers bullpen has been completely lucky and they will fall off a cliff. I'm the last poster to be accused of Brewer goggles, but that is just a completely idiotic conclusion/projection for the brewers pitching staff. They are projecting the offense to be better than the defense in 2018 and the pitching to be worse in 2018 than 2017. I don't see it...

You want to know if we think the Brewers will win EXACTLY 90 games?

Boone Logan needs to go...

Goodbye Freddy, we'll see you again when you've improved your control...

fantastic AB for villar!

walking Logan Morrison TWICE is close to a sin...

Am I the only one who hates the new MLB gameday? who wants to see a cartoon of a batter and strike zone filling a third of the screen and no pitch info unless you scroll then i lose the game header with balls/strikes/outs. who thinks up these stupid changes!!!?

I think Rock is just surprised that he gets so many strike outs with a low 90s fastball. I think that implies higher order thinking by Rock, which runs counter to almost everything he says...

no. i have been having an ongoing debate with bill hall and luke, they seem to think he is getting lucky and that he is a one dimensional hitter that cant hit righties, which he is solidly dis-proving. It isn't their opinion that Aguilar is "getting lucky" they are looking at stats, specifically BABIP, which is a metric that can be used to determine if performance swings that are dramatic are likely due to "luck". That metric indicates that Aguilar is likely due for a regression because by BABIP he has been "lucky". No opinion, just correct interpretation of the data. Does that mean he will hit like Arcia moving forward? No, but it is very likely that his production will not continue at the current pace. While Aguilar has shown improvement against RH hitters, most posters here realize that you can't make definitive statements based on a small number of at bats because it's most likely those numbers can be influenced by luck (bad and good). Of course, you are free to take whatever sample size you want, it just reduces your credibility to base conclusions on 80 Plate appearances this year and ignore the 200 PAs from last year. in march there was a deluge of people here saying trade aguilar for anything we can get,,,i kept saying i wish they could find a way to keep him and i am glad they didnt trade him...great move by stearns. I looked back at your posts from March and don't see any "wishes" that they could find a way to keep him. I see where you suggest trading Thames because 1) you want to save the $5M; and 2) you didn't like Thames RISP BA. Those don't sound like reasons you think Aguilar is great, but reasons you don't like Thames (who BTW, has outproduced Aguilar last year and was very good before going down this year). this guy aguilar is transforming into an offensive weapon before our very eyes..the whole team is playing well. villar is very hot Hyperbole aside, Jesus has clearly established that he should be the RH part of the 1B platoon when Thames returns (both have wRC+ of 155 which is great for the Brewers). Because of his continued contributions to the offense and because Braun has been in an extended slump (2017+2018) and his age decline may be so advanced that he isn't as valuable contributor to the offense as Aguilar (especially at the ~$18M difference in salary). I think we are all happy they kept Aguilar and as many pointed out a week or so ago, the offense was suffering from 3 extremely poor performances in the lineup and Santana struggling. And its no coincidence the offense has been much better recently as Pina and Villar have started to hit and Santana has improved. For all you doubters out there, take the word of Keith Hernandez. I think some of the doubters of Aguilar are too focused on his minor league career and expecting that to drive expectations of his ML performance. While on average that is the likely expectation from a player, there are players who have mediocre minor league careers and then have very productive major league careers (Phil Nevin comes to mind). It's rare, but it happens and maybe we found a player who just developed late and he will continue to hit much better in the majors than he showed in the minors. His approach at the plate has always been good (whether Keith Hernandez says so or not) and I see every reason to continue to give him opportunities to prove the averages wrong...

I heart Jesus

7 Pitch inning for Suter must be a record....

How long before someone reads the box score and comes here to complain about Villar's defense? 1 page?

I would have just loved to see the hypocrisy in LA when all the Dodger fans who incessantly boo Braun to start cheering him once he was a Dodger...

I closed the game down on my work computer, but last I saw we weren't up by 20 runs... I would counter that it's the manager's fault when a reliever gives up more than 4 Runs...

Where's Drake when you have almost the perfect spot for him to pitch...

Rock is a stream of irrelevant drivel... Sophia could stand there and mumble and she'd be a welcome relief...

In mourning since Sogard was sent down...

Walks Avila again....... Are our catchers unable to adjust to a pitcher? Seems like they keep trying to get Woodruff to paint the corner. With his accuracy, just set up down the middle of the plate and he'll end up hitting a corner...

[sarcasm]I'm glad the Brewers didn't panic and gave Sogard the extra time to break out of his funk....[/sarcasm]

We will disagree I'm sure, but this team needs Braun to figure it out and become steady again. It may be essential for this offense help this team be a contender. Well CC didn't make adjustments when Sogard was absolute crap, so I doubt he makes the necessary adjustments with Braun, but the best we can hope for is dropping Braun in the order. I would go with the following this weekend: 1) Santana 2) Yelich 3) Cain 4) Shaw 5) Aguilar 6) Braun 7) Villar 8) Pina 9) Arcia switching Cain and Yelich to split the LH bats from the current order. Santana hasn't been consistent with the ISO, but he still gets on base at a good rate and would be a table setter for Yelich and Cain. There might be some inclination for Pitchers to pitch around Braun, which is fine if he continues to swing at crap then so what, but it might also help him take a walk. At this point I'd like to see Choi up instead with a Braun DL move, but I expect the Brewers to stand pat and hope for a different result. Thankfully the pitching staff is carrying the team.

Said it before, I’m glad the Brewers don’t panic like we do. It pays off a lot of the time. Or, was the regression last year not due to injuries, but the beginning of his age related curve? Maybe Braun’s success was driven mostly by his talent and as his talent is fading he needs to adjust better than he has. How he adjusts to slower reflexes and bat speed may be the key to what happens the rest of this year and the next 2...

That's your takeaway from this game? I gotta find the ignore feature on this site. Put one hand on each shoulder palm side up... push up as hard as you can... once your head clears you should be able to find it...

Thankfully Braun was too stiff to play today, otherwise, tonight’s MVP would have been sitting on the bench...

If it meant Suter never started another game then I’d be fine with it...

Sogard... he’s mastered the bat missing ball thing so we might as well finally take advantage of it...