Eye Black
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Everything posted by Eye Black
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Yeah, got one on, but now just hoping to avoid a double play for this very reason. Need to have some hope Cain and Yelich will bat in the 9th. -
It was a fair ball. It should have been called a homerun and certainly should have been reviewed.
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Now that most teams are around the 30 games played mark I thought we could start a thread to discuss the standings and playoff races as the year progresses. The projected playoff odds are updated daily at these two links: Baseball Prospectus playoff odds Fangraphs playoff odds As we sit here on May 3rd BP now projects the Brewers for 86 wins and a 49.4% chance to make the playoffs. Fangraphs continues to be more bearish with a 82 win projection and a 24.1% chance to make the playoffs. My biggest surprise so far this season is that while there are currently a total of 10 (out of 15) teams in the National League that have winning records, among those teams with sub-.500 records are the Nationals and Dodgers. Both still maintain relatively high playoff odds, however. The Brewers have a tough May schedule coming up, among the 25 games remaining this month only the Twins have a losing record. The other May opponents (Pirates, Indians, Rockies, Dbacks x2, Mets, Cardinals) are a combined 105-74 this season. Of course the positive way to look at it is winning some series in May, especially against other likely playoff contenders, could provide a big boost to the Brewers playoff probabilities.
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In other news, Jacob deGrom who has been lights out this year for the Mets came out of the game tonight with an apparent injury. As snake bit as the Brewers have been with injuries this year, it seems like the Mets have had their share of issues keeping the rotation healthy the past couple of years.
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Villar doing Villar things. Nobody out and Yelich and Braun to follow, that was actually a horrible decision even by Jonathan’s standards.
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Travis Shaw out of the game. I missed seeing him hit a ball off his foot, hopefully nothing too serious.
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Link to Fangraphs newest Hader article: That Josh Hader Game
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I’m wondering if anyone has past examples of an elite reliever that consistently threw multiple innings on a regular basis to protect close leads? I am having trouble coming up with recent examples for a similar usage pattern to mirror how Hader is currently being utilized to often record 6 or more outs in high leverage late innings with thin margins.
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2018 Season in the form of a GIF (daily updates)
Eye Black replied to torts's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/1648063/princesalad_medium.gif -
Hasn't Andrew Miller already been doing this for the past few years? Coming in whenever the game situation calls for the "Best" reliever, and shutting down the opposing team's offense? I'm not taking anything away from CC or Hader, but I don't think this idea originated here. I know that is a popular comparison, but my answer would be not exactly. Hader is pitching across multiple innings and shortening the close games he pitches in significantly. Since he started relieving regularly in 2012, Andrew Miller has never pitched 3.0 innings of relief in a single game (Hader has done it 3 times already), and Miller actually has less total 2.0 IP+ relief appearances since becoming a full time reliever than Josh Hader has since his MLB debut last June. Below is the number of times each has pitched ≥ 2.0 IP. Josh Hader (appearances w/ 2.0 IP or more) 2017: 10 of 35 2018: 6 of 11 Andrew Miller (appearances w/ 2.0 IP or more) 2012: 0 of 53 2013: 0 of 38 2014: 2 of 73 2015: 4 of 60 2016: 4 of 70 2017: 5 of 57 2018: 0 of 11 Hader has pitched ≥ 2.0 IP in 16 of his 46 career relief appearances (35% of the time). Miller has pitched 6 outs or more just 15 times in 362 appearances (4% of the time). So my answer would be that you are correct that the idea of bringing in a reliever regardless of the inning to face the heart of the opposing team’s lineup isn’t a novel concept, but I do think allowing that high leverage shutdown reliever to pitch multiple innings regularly is something more unique to Josh Hader’s current usage.
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I think this is spot on. Hader may actually be the mold for what the future holds for baseball’s elite relievers. The role he currently holds is arguably more valuable than an every 5th day starter role.
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I don’t think I had ever realized how much Adam Duvall looks like actor Matt Dillon until that brutal swinging strike against Hader. Some definite similarities.
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It is a great site. It has been my go to roster site for a couple of years. They also have some awesome additional breakdowns such as each team’s ”Go To” Starting Lineup, Bench, Starting Rotation, and Bullpen all in one easy to read spreadsheet.
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[pre]Brewers Lineup Reds Lineup 1. Lorenzo Cain ® CF 1. Jesse Winker (L) LF 2. Christian Yelich (L) LF 2. José Peraza ® SS 3. Ryan Braun ® 1B 3. Joey Votto (L) 1B 4. Travis Shaw (L) 3B 4. Scott Schebler (L) RF 5. Domingo Santana ® RF 5. Eugenio Suárez ® 3B 6. Manny Piña ® C 6. Tucker Barnhart (S) C 7. Jonathan Villar (S) 2B 7. Alex Blandino (L) 2B 8. Orlando Arcia ® SS 8. Brandon Finnegan (L) P 9. Jhoulys Chacín ® P 9. Billy Hamilton (S) CF[/pre]
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[pre]Brewers Lineup Cubs Lineup 1. Lorenzo Cain ® CF 1. Albert Almora Jr. ® CF 2. Christian Yelich (L) RF 2. Javier Baez ® 2B 3. Ryan Braun ® LF 3. Kris Bryant ® 3B 4. Travis Shaw (L) 3B 4. Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B 5. Jesus Aguilar ® 1B 5. Willson Contreras ® C 6. Jonathan Villar (S) 2B 6. Kyle Schwarber (L) LF 7. Orlando Arcia ® SS 7. Addison Russell ® SS 8. Jett Bandy ® C 8. Jason Heyward (L) RF 9. Zach Davies ® P 9. Tyler Chatwood ® P[/pre]
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*Team records at the top don’t include yesterday’s results because the MLB.com graphics used hadn’t been updated at the time of posting. [pre]Brewers Lineup Cubs Lineup 1. Lorenzo Cain ® CF 1. Albert Almora Jr. ® CF 2. Christian Yelich (L) LF 2. Javier Báez ® SS 3. Ryan Braun ® 1B 3. Kris Bryant ® 3B 4. Domingo Santana ® RF 4. Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B 5. Hernán Pérez ® 3B 5. Willson Contreras ® C 6. Jonathan Villar (S) 2B 6. Kyle Schwarber (L) LF 7. Manny Piña ® C 7. Ben Zobrist (S) 2B 8. Orlando Arcia ® SS 8. Jason Heyward (L) RF 9. Junior Guerra ® P 9. José Quintana ® P[/pre]
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Looks like the Packers traded up to the 88th pick here.
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How accurate/reliable do you think this draft calculator is? It is interesting to use, I was curious how high of a pick the Packers might be able to move up to next year if they decided to trade both first round picks. I choose picks #25 and #30 as guesses for where the Packers and Saints would finish, and it said it was equal value to the #3 overall selection. If the Packers could package those two 1st round picks to move up that high I would be ecstatic (but I am a little skeptical).
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Royals, Cubs, what's the difference, really? Anyway good catch, now fixed.
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[pre]Brewers Lineup Cubs Lineup 1. Lorenzo Cain ® CF 1. Albert Almora Jr. ® CF 2. Christian Yelich (L) LF 2. Javier Baez ® 2B 3. Jesus Aguilar ® 1B 3. Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B 4. Travis Shaw (L) 3B 4. Willson Contreras ® C 5. Domingo Santana ® RF 5. David Bote ® 3B 6. Hernan Perez ® 2B 6. Ian Happ (S) LF 7. Eric Sogard (L) SS 7. Addison Russell ® SS 8. Manny Pina ® C 8. Jason Heyward (L) RF 9. Brent Suter (L) P 9. Yu Darvish ® P[/pre]
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Thames to DL.....Woodruff recalled from AAA
Eye Black replied to markedman5's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I am certainly glad the Brewers have 1B depth, but I still think Thames is going to be missed quite a bit. He has been a high stress batter for opposing pitchers to face this season. His xwOBA of .424 ranked 21st overall in MLB. He was making a lot of good contact in addition to the home runs. Even in games he didn’t start it was a luxury to have a left handed power bat off the bench (as was having Aguilar’s right handed power off the bench in games Thames started). Hopefully they plug the gap just fine during his absence, but it is disappointing to lose Thames for such a signicant portion of the season. -
http://www.klinternationalfc.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/keep-calm-and-win-8-in-a-row.png
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How quick things can change when the sample is still small. Braun raised his season batting average from .239 to .267 with the three hits tonight.
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Nice to see the Brewers getting some breaks from other teams displaying awful defense lately.
