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Thurston Fluff

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Everything posted by Thurston Fluff

  1. Thurston Fluff
    Nice to see we picked up a whole game!!! I wonder how long it would take the Brewers continuously out performing the projections before the projectors decide maybe it's time to update their formulas for their projections instead of insisting reality has it wrong.
  2. Thurston Fluff
    I wonder if this is a short term move to give Quero a chance to get acclimated to the majors. I wouldn't be surprised if this was a couple week thing to get a few ab's play in a few games then go down for regular playing time. It also gives the team some time to see how the rest of the bench shakes out. Bad break for Vaughn.
  3. Thurston Fluff
    I disagree it wouldn't help a person who's missed as much time as Mitchell has, and wasn't a finished product before losing time to injury, wouldn't benefit from some time in AAA. In a perfect world AAA is where he should be intil he proves himself major league ready again. We are not in a perfect world so we have to hope he can regain his career trajectory while in the majors. In truth I think it's as likely Lockridge or ends up taking a step forward and displaces Mitchell or that neither do and we see Churio shift to center as it is to see Mitchell resume where he left off.
  4. Thurston Fluff
    What does age have to do with knowing how much time it will take to knock the rust of not playing more than a handful of ab's in a year and a half? He's never had more than 224 ab's in a season since 2022 and never had more than that in the majors. He always had a problem with high fastballs. That didn't change in the majors. He was not a finished product when he got here. Just getting older doesn't help improve that without playing.
  5. Thurston Fluff
    It's because he only has 78 PA's in 2025 N 25 in spring. I don't know if it's his confidence or the Brewers that needs to be satisfied but it's been a long time since he's had regular playing time. It's not unreasonable to think a little doubt about being rusty can creep in.
  6. Thurston Fluff
    The Kaukauna wrestling team just won it's 6th straight state title and 10th in the last 13 years. I'm curious if any highschool team in any sport in the state has ever had a stretch of dominance like that. If anyone knows of one I'd love to know.
  7. Thurston Fluff
    I read a scouting report on you that said it might help if you'd take the glove off while batting.
  8. Thurston Fluff
    Just A Dash on Netflix is quite entertaining. It's what I'd imagine Ricky from Trailer Park Boys would be like if he did a cooking show.
  9. Thurston Fluff
    One has to wonder how difficult it could be to project given the Brewers keep finding that type of player. I think there's some amount of bias baked into what people try to measure. Instead of determining how much defense and speed are really worth they just try to make projecting defense and speed as accurately as they can. If you never determine absolute value you can assess a specific ability perfectly and get no closer to determining how much it will help.
  10. Thurston Fluff
    His focus going into spring training does not equal plans to play mostly shortstop for the season. I think it makes sense to play a lot of short in spring given the Ortiz issues from last season. When the minor league season starts it'd make more sense to have him play all over IMHO. He should be preparing to play a variety of roles because we have no idea which role will be needed. If Ortiz plays well but Mitchell can't he could end up our main center fielder. If both Ortiz and Mitchell play well he could end up a super sub. Playing mostly short in AAA would probably not be the best way to prepare him for all possible roles he may end up having.
  11. Thurston Fluff
    That sentence is the key in my eyes. The Brewers don't just have a top shelf physical lab. They don't just have competent people running it. They don't just emphasize pitching. They aren't just looking at the league to determine what the next big thing is. They have a holistic approach that combines every aspect of the game to make the best out of what they have. It's not a coincidence they have a great defense at the same time they acquired several ground ball pitchers. It's not a coincidence they traded for ground ball pitchers and acquired solid defensive players to begin with. They saw a trend where both were out of style and could be found at a relative bargain. The lab works because they made sure every detail was in place to make the most of it. Not just how to make their pitches better but to learn how to pitch with what their defense brings to the table.
  12. Thurston Fluff
    If they want to be the '27 Yankees fine. They can buy their way to being the Yankees because the Yankees bought their way to being the Yankees. What they can never achieve being historically great like the Big Red Machine because the Big Red Machine didn't buy their way to being the Big Red Machine. All they can accomplish is being this era's evil empire.
  13. Thurston Fluff
    That's my feeling on the matter. If I was a Dodger player and won the WS I'd be embarrassed to celebrate. I have no problem with the players going there for the money. It's a job and they have every right to make as much as they can. Just don't act like you did something special when you started out on third base. I have a feeling the fans know it too. They won't admit it. They'll rationalize why it's the same as every other team winning it. But deep down they know.
  14. Thurston Fluff
    It really depends on organizational philosophy. If you're a team that tries to build a super team and are willing to do a tear down and rebuild after then no. If you're a more bites at the apple team then yes. What I don''t think any team should do is change how they approach team building every couple years. Which is why I say the Brewers should trade him.
  15. Thurston Fluff
    The Brewers just terminated their deal with Fanduel so they're probably going to get less by joining MLB. The farm loaded with infield prospects including Cooper Pratt who's as likely to help as any veteran we'd bring in as a backup plan. It seems like a waste to spend limited resources on a plan B that is no more likely to be productive than our current plan B.
  16. Thurston Fluff
    Something from the Sal Bando Wendy Selig-Prieb years just to give us perspective on how far we've come.
  17. Thurston Fluff
    I had to have a tooth removed on Monday. On Tuesday Sai Ram gave us some free food for helping with their grand re-opening. Then today the Korean grocer next door gave us some free food for helping them out. For those who live in Appleton they're the original Koreana people. They gave us some beef bulgogi, fish cakes and potato salad. All of which are some of my favorites. Two of my favorite places give us stuff for free and I can't eat any of it. I'm just going to sit in a corner and cry now. P.S. anyone who liked Koreana they still make most of their food at their store. The bulgogi is frozen and easy to make at home. All the sides that used to come with their food is there as well. The potato salad is done in batches only occasionally. It goes quickly when it's made.
  18. Thurston Fluff
    That's where it gets complicated. It's a judgement call to say the average throw from second caused the missed double play when it was going to be close either way. I don't think it matters much because there aren't very many plays that fit into that category but it does show the importance of team defense. I think what makes the Brewers defense do good is how few weak spots there are. I cringe when I hear people say they can afford to sacrifice defense for offense at one position because they have other great defenders. Infield defense in particular is more of a team effort.
  19. Thurston Fluff
    Great article. One question I have though is how do they measure a missed double play when one player does a great job of turning it but the other doesn't? For example the shortstop makes a diving stop and great throw to second but the second baseman makes an average throw to first and/or the first baseman fails to make a great stretch. I get how all of them would score well if a great play is made by all but how do they separate when only one player does a fantastic job? Is it just the eye test determining if the shortstop "made" the play or does it just go down as a play not made for all? Most other plays, throwing runners out from the outfield for example, are easy to judge. When it comes to double plays there's a lot more going on. I guess the only other question is how does sample size play into each?
  20. Thurston Fluff
    I have no doubt individual teams have their own version of value that takes their park effects and other variables into account. The problem is more from a fan/media perspective. Defense is so much harder to determine objective league wide metrics. Brewers wise I don't think it's a coincidence they've moved to ground ball pitchers when they have such good infield defense. Nor is it a coincidence they collected a lot of good defensive infielders around the same time ground ball pitchers went out of fashion. The cost effectiveness is not just finding undervalued assets but finding a combination of undervalued assets that complement each other.
  21. Thurston Fluff
    I think the bigger problem with WAR and defense is determining the value of defense vs offense. Making it even harder is the value of defense varies depending on the pitcher. Ground ball pitchers need better infield defense. Flyball/strikeout pitchers less so. The stadium effect is also in play. Teams with large outfields need better/faster defense in the outfield. Overall defensive WAR is still a work in progress but one that I believe will eventually get to the point where most people agree on an objective number. I think it will take longer to take park effects and pitcher type into account but it's still doable. I question whether a single all WAR taking both defense and offense into account for all teams in all fields is possible.
  22. Thurston Fluff
    With Collins out of the picture I think there's a better chance he gets a legitimate shot now than there was.
  23. Thurston Fluff
    I sometimes wonder if money drains brains in sports.
  24. Thurston Fluff
    True, but I'm not as worried about it as some. First, he'll be another year removed from surgery. Second, it's not just arm strength that goes into it. He had limited action catching last season. I wouldn't be surprised if all of his abilities behind the plate would take some time to get back mechanically and physically. Even if his arm isn't as strong as it once was, his ability to get the ball out of his hand quicker and get into throwing position faster will improve with time behind the plate. Third, small sample warning lights should be going off. Throwing out runners is not just on the catcher. When dealing with a large data set a better caught stealing % is more reliable. That weeds out the significance of pitchers who don't hold runners well, or an unusually high number of great base stealers who can make a smaller sample size look different than the catcher's actual ability. I'm not trying to say he's ready now nor downplaying what shoulder surgery has on caught stealing rates. I'm just not that worried he's no longer capable of being a good overall catcher when his entire goal was to get back up to speed as a catcher. At least not based on a half season's worth of caught stealing rates.
  25. Thurston Fluff
    To be fair, there's more to defense behind the plate than throwing out runners. I have zero idea what Garver was like but from what I've read and heard about Quero was he's an all around good defensive catcher.
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