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Playing Catch

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Everything posted by Playing Catch

  1. Playing Catch
    I guess what I'm implying is that if you were to ask 10 of the scouts that had Arcia ranked in the top 10 in 2016, 9 of them wouldn't hesitate to state that Chourio is in a different stratosphere as a prospect, regardless of where they rank the two players. I believe this is because when push comes to shove, even the scouts would acknowledge that a premium middle-of-the-order bat is far more valuable, and difficult to acquire than a borderline GG shortstop whose power ceiling is 15 HRs. If EVERYTHING comes together for Arcia, the prospect, then he becomes what? Omar Vizquel? If EVERYTHING comes together for Chourio?
  2. Playing Catch
    Both Arcia and Robles were "top" prospects because the scouting community consistently drools over speed and defense even when there are question marks with the bat. There's nothing that excites them more than a "sure-fire shortstop," or a "future gold glove CFer". This has bothered me for a long time. Arcia may have been hyped within the community of Brewers fans, but he was never a big hype prospect nationally, regardless of where he was ranked. In addition with regard to Arcia, a lot of his prospect value was in having a "projectable frame," a frame which never really filled out to a meaningful degree. I'm not suggesting that Chourio WILL become an MVP caliber player, because there are a lot of things that could go wrong (his strikeout and whiff rate numbers are a concern), but he's in a different stratosphere as a prospect than Orlando Arcia.
  3. Playing Catch
    Maybe the Brewers should just play the best players regardless of service time.
  4. Playing Catch
    In another universe, Hiura would've been drafted by a bad team; he'd have been allowed to start everyday at 1B/DH, and been a hot commodity at the trade deadline for a contending team needing a stick. I love him, but the gaping holes in his player profile prevent me from being able to laud his inclusion in an everyday lineup for a contender. I also feel like he's the baseball equivalent of a "volume scorer" in basketball... he needs regular ABs to prove his worth.
  5. Playing Catch
    A good, experienced lefty in the pen, cost-controlled for 3 years at what will probably be an overpay at $11M/season? IMHO, his track record is strong enough that he's a safe bet to be a good, rosterable lefty for all 3 seasons, and at $11M, the overpay won't be that bad. I would've exhaled with relief had the Brewers made that deal, rather than inhaling with deep concern.
  6. Playing Catch
    Looking through that list, it seems to me the Brewers have probably done as well as any other team in the league. The prospects in that list with the highest draft capital were Lucroy, Coulter (whom most teams NEVER considered to be a catcher), and Feliciano. It's like saying the Brewers have "failed" to develop first basemen, because Fielder was the only one to pan out. I tend to agree that, "there's no such thing as a catching prospect."
  7. Playing Catch
    As a prospect, he reminds me a lot of Bradley Zimmer, although Wiemer hits from the right side. I would guess that is actually his most likely career path, as a tall, athletic, defensive outfielder who struggles to make the most of his power due to his lack of bat-to-ball prowess. But good golly, am I hoping beyond hope that those adjustments made just prior to his AAA promotion stick. because IF he can hit .265, he's gunna be a multiple all-star, and perhaps a gold-glover, because all of his other talents WILL work in MLB. While the K% is concerning, it is bolstered by a pretty nice BB%, which makes me think (perhaps incorrectly), that it isn't so much about swing and miss, as much as it is that he gets into a lot of deep counts (you can't strike out if you never have 2 strikes, and you are pretty likely to strike out, if you get 2 strikes).
  8. Playing Catch
    Yep. For all of the hand-wringing about their offense, the reality is that the team was constructed to pitch at an elite level, and play good defense. The pitching was merely "good," and the defense wasn't. If the pitching staff as a whole, improve, as I would predict, they could get right back to the 90+ win mark.
  9. Playing Catch
    Contreras REALLY outperformed expectations in his rookie year. If I was predicting how he would hit this year, I would not predict he match last year's wRC+ of 138(!) If he DOES match those numbers, well... we may have a future HOFer on the roster. Ivan Rodriguez's age 28 season was the only one of his career that featured a higher wRC+ than Contreras's year last season. My other observation was Frelick. I'm as bullish as anyone on Frelick, but even I can't believe they are projecting a wRC+ of 111 (in limited ABs) for a true rookie. If the Brewers' internal metrics are aligned, I'd be shocked if he wasn't the Brewers' opening day, every day CFer. I do believe that the hope of gaining a draft pick for a ROY, would be enough for the Brewers to play Frelick right out of the gate.
  10. Playing Catch
    My question is... What if they ALL stay healthy, and ALL of them have a career year in 2023? How many games would the Brewers win?
  11. Playing Catch
    Yeah, I'm pretty curious about this outcome as well. On the one hand, if another team claims him, it suggests that he's good enough defensively to stay on a 40-man. On the other hand, if no teams claim him, he's not(?) I still have hope that he becomes competant behind the dish. I don't have any evidence of this, but I feel like catchers develop late. They usually are either advanced hitters OR catchers, but rarely both.
  12. Playing Catch
    2023 Steamer Projections ranked by WAR at 3B: Ramirez Arenado Bregman Machado Devers Riley Witt Jr. Gunnar H Y Diaz Chapman Rendon Hayes Luis Urias Jose Miranda Isaac Paredes Bohm (+8 more players) Justin Turner Can we PLEASE stop with the Justin Turner love. And for everyone that wants an upgrade, which of the guys above Urias are you wanting to trade for? Also, Urias is younger than all of the players above him other than Henderson and Witt Jr. (two guys that may end up at SS). The reality is, as other posters have pointed out, that 3B is really, really top heavy. I'm all about discussing Devers, who would be a clear and obvious upgrade. With that said, Urias still has room to grow as a player.
  13. Playing Catch
    I actually wonder though, if Nashville, the city, is a draw for these AAAA guys. As in, they know what they are as players, and they make the most of it, living in a great city. It's awesome knowing they'll be our affiliate for the foreseeable future.
  14. Playing Catch
    I've said it before, but every time I watch Reyes play, I'm surprised he isn't able to hang onto a 26-man roster somewhere.
  15. Playing Catch
    I think this is a good example of some of the known-unknowns that we, as fans, have to accept when we have opinions on moves. I didn't like the move at the time, but I also recognize that there is a lot of information that I don't have, that leads Front Offices to make the decisions they do. I think it makes for good, fun discussion and debate when having opinions, but sometimes I think the emotional surety that posters demonstrate with their opinions is odd. I also believe that we keep ignoring the salary relief for next season and the impact that may have on the potential return in a trade. It's quite possible that there are only a handful of teams that would be willing to spend $12M on a closer, no matter how transcendant. For all we know, this offer from the Padres blew out of the water any trade offer the Brewers have ever entertained for Hader.
  16. Playing Catch
    This is a great post as it puts into perspective a lot of the 2022 realities regarding MLB. I think for many people clamoring for Stearns to be better at his job don't always understand the overall baseball landscape, as they are primarily listening to Brewer fan radio/podcasts and only watching Brewers games. If one is only paying attention to things inside the Brewer-centric vacuum, things look unacceptable. But the overall reality is that trying to sustain playoff-level baseball is extremely difficult. In regards to Yelich's future, I would agree with most of the posters here that the Brewers will need to emphasize long-term viability of the contract. DHing, and keeping him healthy enough to run the bases will be important. Not to derail the thread, but my gosh isn't Yelich an awesome baserunner?
  17. Playing Catch
    Is it too early to start the 2023 Optimism Thread? (I'm looking at you, Torts). Unless the Crew completely does the unimaginable, and sells off the whole team, they should be pretty good again next season.
  18. Playing Catch
    I think that there is a false narrative being established that had the Brewers kept Hader the Crew would be preparing to shock the world and win a world series. Had the Brewers "stood pat" at the deadline and made no moves and still finished outside the playoffs, Stearns would have been vilified for not improving the team; for wasting the golden years of Burnes/Woody. Had the Brewers added a couple of average BP arms and an extra bat, and STILL finished outside the playoffs, Stearns would again be the scapegoat for not doing enough to take advantage of Burnes/Woody. ("He should have traded for Soto!!) The baseball gods are fickle, and winning cures all ills. (FTR, I gave the deadline a D- originally, but now I'm excited about Ruiz and Gasser, and about not having Hader at $15M next season).
  19. Playing Catch
    Biloxi is a pitcher-friendly park & league as well, I believe.
  20. Playing Catch
    Yeah, it's probably just my Stockholm Syndrome after being a Brewers fan all these years, but it's really hard for me to ever feel like paying FAs market value is a good use of Brewers' budget resources, unless the existing roster is waaayy under budget. I don't see them resigning guys like Jace, Wong, Narvaez, Rogers, or even guys like Adames or Tellez. I think the only way they'd sign these players would be if it's late in the window, and the price comes back down to a number the F.O. is comfortable with (i.e. not "market-value").
  21. Playing Catch
    Yeah, it's probably just my Stockholm Syndrome after being a Brewers fan all these years, but it's really hard for me to ever feel like paying FAs market value is a good use of Brewers' budget resources, unless the existing roster is waaayy under budget. I don't see them resigning guys like Jace, Wong, Narvaez, Rogers, or even guys like Adames or Tellez. I think the only way they'd sign these players would be if it's late in the window, and the price comes back down to a number the F.O. is comfortable with (i.e. not "market-value").
  22. Playing Catch
    I've heard nothing, but I think it all comes down to which players they keep/trade. I would bet that the budget would be in the $130M-$140M ballpark, but that wouldn't mean that the money has to be spent to that limit. If they end up relying on the kids to use up roster spots, perhaps the total would be lower, with "the opportunity to add to payroll at the deadline."
  23. Playing Catch
    Wow. Yeah. Great Comp. These stat lines are almost exactly what is reasonable to hope for, not to mention the on-field style of player. Lenny Dykstra - Stats - Batting | FanGraphs Baseball
  24. Playing Catch
    Benintendi is certainly a more responsible comp.
  25. Playing Catch
    I think that whichever team signs Judge, will trade for Burnes. I'm predicting the Rangers. But I would love it if the Orioles came out of nowhere to take the AL East... what a difficult division!
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