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Playing Catch

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Everything posted by Playing Catch

  1. What might the Brewers have with this 20-year old? Numbers-wise, he's performed everywhere he's been. Do we know what his profile is? His K-rate and BB-rates look really good.
  2. When will we know the fate of Javy Guerra?
  3. Luke Voit saved runs in this game, scooping two tough throws from Willy late.
  4. ESPN? Are we sure that wasn't an article from The Athletic? I think some of the quotes from Arnold and Counsell further illustrate the organization's commitment to avoiding negative WAR. Just have depth at every spot on the field and compete with every pitch, and you'll win a lot of games. I also agreed with the author's point about this team being more balanced. They aren't so pitching-dominant, bullpen-dominant, but they're very good defensively and competitive offensively as well. And yes, a lot more fun to watch.
  5. Bizarre. I'm guessing we all just read the same FanGraphs article on how bad the White Sox are, as I came here specifically to ask what Giolito would cost in a trade. He's not some kind of world-beater. I would guess it would cost someone like Robert Moore and a couple of kids.
  6. Only 3 teams, the Yankees (7-5), Blue Jays (4-2), Brewers (6-3) have winning records vs. teams above .500. Meanwhile, the darlings of baseball, the Tampa Bay Rays are 1-2 in such contests, and the Atlanta Braves have yet to play a game against a team currently over .500.
  7. He's already a decent SP. If he never improves beyond what he is, it wouldn't really hurt the Reds too much. Even with an injury, one could expect him to come back and be good enough for a high leverage bullpen role. Good deal for both parties.
  8. I think they are very very good. I like Vinny's scouting background and Jeff's good balance of humor. They both should be ridiculed for their fear of eating grasshoppers.
  9. Another great win. Kudos to Trueblood. This series is well-conceived and features excellent writing. Granted, I look forward to it more when the Third Bucket Winning Percentage is 1.000.
  10. That's how I've been viewing him... as a future 1B that can play other spots, if necessary (poor man's Cronenworth?). But of course, that puts a lot of pressure on the bat.
  11. It seems to me, that the overarching organizational strategy is to avoid rostering replacement level or below players, and to sign at market value, or accept the risk of, extending players that can reasonably be expected to be 2.0 - 3.2 WAR (or even 1.0+ depending on the risk/cost) players at the end of the contract. For TOP dollar guys, I believe the Brewers could reasonably expect that those players would not meet that threshold in the last year or two of the deal (or maybe even longer). I also think the Brewers know that 5+ WAR players simply don't come along very often. I would not be surprised if the Brewers, instead of extending or trading Burnes/Woodruff, will instead simply let them walk after 2024. The WAR-value that they provide in ONE season playing for arbitration salaries is very difficult to get back in a trade for prospects. I still expect that one or both will be traded before then, but there's an argument to just let them finish their contracts and let them move on. Same thing for Adames, although I suspect his performance this season will be the bellweather season for whether he's going to be good (2.0 WAR) past age 30 or not. I suspect not. I think it is likely that the Brewers trade him, as the ability to get back fair value for him in prospects will be more likely. Teams have recently mitigated the long-term risk in favor of adding $$$ to the annual budget, as that money can be fairly expected to have a really strong return in terms of on-field performance in the last year of the contract.
  12. That's my belief as well. I have no doubt that changing up his timing and weight shift could make him more consistent as a power threat, but I agree that I'm not sure it will change his strikeouts. He can't catch up to high heat.
  13. I haven't seen any video, but I really hope that he makes some significant changes that will keep a more-level bat in the zone for longer, because I just can't accept that he doesn't have the talent to hit .300.
  14. Not sure about Devanney, but I'm not worried about Chourio's strikeouts... yet. I read some scouting thing somewhere that really has stuck with me. They mentioned that good young hitters are rewarded for swinging a lot, and that they don't necessarily learn swing discipline because they've never needed to. Even in last night's game after twice striking out on Perez's breaking balls, he comes back and homers on a hanger. I expect that as he climbs the ladder, he will learn that he can't swing at breaking balls in MLB because they rarely hang them... or I certainly hope so. In addition, he covers the outside of the zone amazingly.
  15. I'm on Brewerfan(atic) all the time. I know everyone has different thresholds of what they are willing or able to pay, but the ad-free experience is awesome. Now that the minor league seasons have started, I'm feeling the article-overload again, just as an observation. With that said, I LIKE the articles, I think they are well-written most of the time, but yeah, I'm not always sure which thread has the conversations going.
  16. I love my multi-inning relievers almost as much as backup catchers -- underappreciated.
  17. Is there a "pitching efficiency," metric of which I'm unaware? Something that attempts to qualify low pitch counts?
  18. I think there's an interesting topic here. I think I've been conditioned during the 3TO era to believe that K-rate is the most important pitching stat, and that bigger is always better, like hitting more HRs is almost always better. We celebrate, and rightly so, the dominance of the "immaculate inning," but conversely constantly worry about pitch counts. Perhaps, if our defense continues to be as good as we think it is, having a lower K-rate will allow our best pitchers to rack up what I believe is the most overlooked counting stat for pitchers... Innings Pitched. Or as Counsell likes to say, "getting outs".
  19. I was going to say the same thing. It's not just small-market teams that lose players to FA. Scherzer, Seager, DeGrom all signed with new teams.
  20. Would someone be able to refresh my memory as to the nature of Zamora, and Ernesto Martinez's injuries last season?
  21. Fair point. The Brewers, by wOBA, have been much better against RHP (4th in MLB at .368) than LHP (18th in MLB at .322). Upon further reflection, you may have me convinced. The Brewers have gone with Brosseau/Miller (w/Anderson in RF and Wiemer in CF) in favor of simply playing Mitchell and Turang against lefties. And beyond the hitting platoon, playing Mitchell and Turang would be a superior defensive scheme. I would maintain, though, that the Brewers need to find out if Voit, Brosseau, and Miller can be counted on to mash lefties. If they don't play, we won't know. If they CAN'T hit lefties, than they have extremely limited value to the team, and the team will need to look at making changes, because it would be unfair to simply throw Mitchell and Turang to the wolves as rookies, and NEED them to produce in that role. Voit, Brosseau, and Miller need to lefties THIS season. There is plenty of time to find out if Turang and Mitchell can hit lefties.
  22. Platooning is the way you avoid having "black holes" in the lineup. Platooning rookies in the first month(s) of their arrival to the big leagues simply makes sense, both in terms of their development and in terms of team success. You want them to experience success, maintain confidence, have opportunities to "catch their breath," and not have to be in positions where they feel pressure to carry an offense. Let's wait until June before we start questioning lineups that, to date, have been deep and dynamic, and have scored a lot of runs. Also, Yelich is getting on base at a strong clip. Nothing wrong with his leadoff production (granted yesterday helped his numbers quite a bit).
  23. Highlighted above, and evident with the eye-test, has been the improvement of the defense. The Brewers might be better at every position sans the holdover starters. Turang and Wiemer look like gold glovers. That kind of defensive impact wins games.
  24. It's funny to me that your examples are exactly what is making me feel more confident that Wiemer can stick! Opposite field, putting the ball in play with his speed. My guess is that the Brewers have already done their due diligence with other clubs that have interest in one or more of the Brewers' young OFers. So as others have mentioned, no reason to make a move until you have to, and as Wallus implies, optioning Wiemer is very much a possible scenario, as I'm sure the Brewers want him playing nearly every day. But if Mitchell and Wiemer (and Turang) continue to perform with reasonable success, and the Brewers feel comfortable with them playing in a possible playoff series, I think easing the "logjam," and finding a depth SP or reliever is a likely scenario using Taylor to find it. Tyrone Taylor is 29... Wow, where does the time go?
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