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SRB

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Everything posted by SRB

  1. SRB
    This is awesome. I'm usually on Fangraphs which uses a different defense metric, so I didn't realize that Turang was rated quite so highly by others (4.7 WAR overall on Baseball Reference!)
  2. SRB
    This is fine. He's still got upside and is more dependable than our other 1B options.
  3. SRB
    They gave him $17.5 million to pitch this year. He's an absolute lock for the opening day rotation unless something goes disastrously wrong. Whether he's going to return to form or even be decent is a different story.
  4. SRB
    He pitched as well as they could have expected when they gave him this contract, so I suspect this has more to do with playing time than money. Yes you can never have too many starters, but if they think they're going to have 5-6 other guys in the starting rotation to start the season, there's no reason to pay Rea to be seventh starter. Peralta/Woodruff/Myers/Civale are probably locks, there are a couple internal youth candidates to claim a rotation spot, and they may be looking to add a better starter than Rea through free agency.
  5. SRB
    Baltimore DFA'd LHSP Cole Irvin to make room for their new additions. Brewers could do worse to add some innings depth down the stretch. How does that work after the trade deadline, we could still trade for him or could only get him if he passes all the way to us via waivers?
  6. SRB
    Kind of seems like we gave up more for Montas than the Dodgers gave up for Flaherty... 🤣
  7. SRB
    If you're looking for upside, it does seem his stuff has been much better after the first couple months of the season, which is perhaps understandable given he'd only pitched 1 IP over a couple years before that. The flukey topline results in July are obscuring things a bit, but since June 1 he has an 8.7 K/9, 4.22 xFIP
  8. SRB
    He earned a $14 million rebound contract because at the 2022 deadline he looked on track to be making $200 million in free agency. Then he got injured. But teams are going to keep chasing that upside for quite a while.
  9. SRB
    This strikes me as a panic move. Not a fan at all.
  10. SRB
    Delighted by the Cardinals trade because I wanted nothing to do with Fedde.
  11. SRB
    Rogers has a 2.27 ERA this season over 39.2 IP, so it does seem that he/we just really got unlucky over a small sample size.
  12. SRB
    If Levonas doesn't sign, at least that would dramatically increase our odds of signing one or both of the late-round guys, wouldn't it? We lose the slot money, true, but we'd be saving whatever over-slot amount Levonas is going to cost.
  13. SRB
    The discussion is part of the fun, but I'm always amused when people get mad at draft picks or think the Brewers made a "bad" pick. What is the thinking behind that statement? The front office unequivocally knows more about these players than we do (or any of the public rankings for that matter) and at the end of the day they are going to spend the entire bonus pool. There is no scenario where they are being cheap to save money or deliberately taking worse players. In the old days there were more grounds for criticism, because "old school" teams would draft objectively worse players because they were "gritty" (or the Braves reaching for players because they lived within 100 miles of Georgia), but it doesn't work that way anymore. Just need to enjoy the ride and look at the upside of every pick.
  14. SRB
    Huge overpay. He was atrocious in 2021, a worse version of Tyrone Taylor in 2022, and one of the luckiest batters in the major leagues in 2023. All metrics point to him being an average to below average player, especially as his CF defense starts to decline. Delighted the Cubs blundered into this one.
  15. SRB
    Before anyone complains about guaranteeing $17.5 million to Woodruff for one season (2025) because of the injury risk, a reminder that since becoming a full-time SP in 2019 he ranks: ERA - #4 overall FIP - #8 overall fWAR - #15 overall He's a top 10 pitcher in all of baseball when healthy who just turned 31. If not for the shoulder injury, on a one year free agent deal he'd be looking at in excess of $40-50 million.
  16. SRB
    Uhh.. isn't that almost exactly what he got? Except structured to defer most of the $ to 2026.
  17. SRB
    Sad to say the Cardinals are currently the best on paper. But they were last year too and they ended up being terrible.
  18. SRB
    Yeah but ace SP have drastically higher value if fully recovered.
  19. SRB
    Yeah I'd guess something similar to Hendriks, with at least $10-15 million guaranteed and incentives that would bring his 2025 salary up to $20 million or so. Though I imagine the Brewers would have offered something like that early on, so the fact that he took this long to sign might suggest he couldn't find what he was looking for elsewhere and maybe settled for a lighter deal.
  20. SRB
    Good! Probably still a long shot to pan out, but I've always been surprised teams don't do this more often. Playing defense is incredibly hard, but if a guy already has the athleticism and intangibles to be an elite defender at one position, I feel like more often than conventional wisdom would suggest he could move to other non-catcher positions and still be good. Maybe the Betts situation has broken through the orthodoxy that only gritty super-utility infielders can do this.
  21. SRB
    ZiPS loves 19-year old 3B Luke Adams. Has him #106 overall. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/zips-2024-top-100-prospects/
  22. SRB
    I'm sure Sanchez will get some DH at bats, particularly vs. LHP, but I feel like the bigger add is that he lets Contreras DH more. When our best or second best hitter is a catcher, it seems like great value to spend on a plus backup that lets you keep more of the wear on tear off the primary C.
  23. SRB
    Seems like a fair trade if the front office is confident in Rogers's medicals, but I hate to give up on Wiemer this early. I'd rather do Adames/Mitchell. Peralta - Rogers - Miley - Hall is already back to being a pretty solid top of the rotation, even more so if Gasser and/or Ashby come out of the gate strong.
  24. SRB
    Putting on my GM hat, I would use the money saved from Burnes and sign DH/1B Brandon Belt (still crushes RHP, good complement to Hoskins to start a few games at 1B), and SP Jakob Junis (should be cheap with as much upside as some of the bigger name SPs left on the market). Adames/Ortiz/Black/Turang/Monasterio fill out the rest of the infield in flexible pairings based on matchups and keeping everyone fresh. Yelich/Chourio/Felick/Mitchell/Wiemer do the same in the outfield and at DH. Peralta/Miley/Hall/Junis are locks in the rotation, with some upside options in the fifths spot and depth throughout the season in Gasser/Ashby/Ross/Rea.
  25. SRB
    If Adames is not traded, I think we're going to see a lot of different infield mixes with Ortiz, Turang, Monasterio, and Black each getting 400+ PA. Owen Miller is probably the odd man out to start the season. I don't think we have the depth to trade anyone really. After the top 5 (non-1B) infield options we are right around replacement level (or below).
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