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SRB

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Everything posted by SRB

  1. SRB
    Burnes and Adames to the Dodgers for SS Gavin Lux, SP Gavin Stone, and a low-minors flier. Dodgers get much better in 2024 and we get more years of cost-controlled major leaguers without giving up on the short term.
  2. SRB
    If we're trading Burnes we might as well give up on 2024 and trade Adames in a separate deal. From the Yankees, I'd try to buy low on Jasson Dominguez and/or Oswald Peraza.
  3. SRB
    I mean, if you are already assuming he is a top 5 bat on the team, then yes obviously he'll be up. But I doubt they want to rush him when he has barely played at AAA and we have plenty of CF options. The RoY angle is a good point though that I hadn't though of, and is a strong incentive to promote him early in the season at the latest unless he's really floundering at AAA.
  4. SRB
    He'll definitely be in the majors at some point in 2024, but I don't see why this deal makes it any more likely that he's the opening day CF. They had an opportunity to lock him up for a longterm deal that he probably wouldn't have wanted to negotiate during the season. I wouldn't rush him for no reason. Seems like he should start at AAA and play his way up.
  5. SRB
    I'm not counting him on being a huge contributor obviously, but seems better than the average scrapheap deal. Sounds like the stuff is still good and his underlying metrics were solid in 2021.
  6. SRB
    I'm guessing the two option years will be a fairly high AAV, but still this a rare move that should be beyond criticism for any Brewer fan 😂 Yes, there's a higher risk of total flameout than with an established free agent, but the upside is enormous and 2-4 extra years of a potential superstar is something that the Brewers franchise simply could not get on the open market otherwise (without overpaying for an existing player like with the Yelich extension). And while there is some downside if he flames out, he doesn't even need to be that good to justify a $10 million AAV. Wiemer was worth more than that last season. Also, maybe $80 million guaranteed sounds like a lot, but if Chourio is in the majors at all for 6+ years and is halfway decent he would be earning a significant portion of that through arbitration anyway.
  7. SRB
    I must be in the minority, but I thought Wiemer had a very encouraging debut season and I would pencil him in as our regular CF. I'm even more optimistic about him than Frelick or Mitchell. Yeah he was inconsistent and had some rough patches on offense, but he showed elite defense and enough hot streaks to make me believe in the offensive upside. What more do you want in a rookie season for a 24-year-old who was rushed pretty quickly to the majors (<200 PA at AAA) To me his value is higher after holding his own in the majors than when he was purely a top-100 prospect.
  8. SRB
    I'm not interested in gambling on the upside given that he will not be cheap. It feels unprecedented for a guy to just lose his feel for pitching as much as Manoah did this last season. It's not like he had a few blowups that inflated his ERA. He looked completely lost, even in the minors.
  9. SRB
    I think people will chill out over time about this. Counsell was a likable presence and a solid enough manager, but (1) he is not some sort of managerial savant, and most of the posts on here during games were rightfully complaining about his poor decisionmaking and roster management, and (2) he spent most of his career elsewhere and only spent a few seasons on the Brewers at the tail end of his career. I vaguely remember knowing that he was from Whitefish Bay during his time here as a player, and it became a nice story when he returned to his hometown team as a manager, but minus that "nice story" I doubt people would even care about this at all. It's very different from a hometown player leaving during free agency, and it would be very different if this was Robin Yount or someone who was an iconic Brewer mainstay. Counsell has a nice run here as manager, but if anything we have underperformed from the level of talent on the roster despite making the playoffs regularly. I don't care that he's leaving for a rival. I will barely remember he's there just like I barely remembered that David Ross was the manager.
  10. SRB
    How has Mark Kotsay managed in Oakland? It's weird how many former players who've become managers in recent years played for the Brewers.
  11. SRB
    Because we used to have old school front offices who hired bad, old school managers. Counsell overlapped with the start of the Stearns era and I expect Matt Arnold will hire a similar candidate (younger, more analytically minded).
  12. SRB
    Ok, bye. Seems even crazier if it is all guaranteed, but $40 million over 5 years is still a ludicrous contract for a manager. I'm glad the Brewers didn't match and I don't blame Counsell for taking it. Managers should not be making that much. It's so easy to replace Counsell with a guy with the exact same skill set. Only difference is we lose the hometown boy angle, but oh well.
  13. SRB
    Brewers over D-Backs in 1 (mercy rule after the score gets out of hand)
  14. SRB
    I love the narrative of Counsell managing the hometown Brewers, he's a very likeable presence, and I hope he stays for a long time, but does anyone actually care that much if he leaves? I don't think it's hard to find a replacement manager who can make equally good strategy calls and manage the clubhouse equally well. There are still some teams who put incompetent dinosaurs out there but I'm confident in our front office finding an adequate replacement. Not sure it's worth paying him an extra $3 million if the Mets are willing to blow him out of the water financially.
  15. SRB
    Hiura has been amazing all season with the lowest K% of his career and he's already 27. Why even keep him in the system if they're not going to call him up on an offense starved team? Let him pursue an opportunity somewhere else.
  16. SRB
    This is a fantastic move. He's still a great defender and all advanced metrics suggest he was unlucky at the plate in a small sample size this year (.349 xwOBA.) No brainer upgrade over all of our other fading 3B options. I would promote J-Don and let him play every single day the rest of the season.
  17. SRB
    Canha makes us better though I'll be interested to see how they plan on utilizing him. As with the Santana trade, I like it in a vacuum but we still need a big move to make a real difference.
  18. SRB
    Tommy Pham would be my #1 target. I wanted them to sign him as a free agent and he's looking even better now. Everybody slept on him because he was injured for a few years but he's back to being great.
  19. SRB
    We'll be seeing him about as many times as we see Mark Appel 😈
  20. SRB
    Could it be? We actually have a wave of positional prospects who are going to be successful in the major leagues?!
  21. SRB
    Anderson has great upside and a high floor at two positions of relative need (3B/RF), which is why he was one of my dream targets this off-season. Great signing by the Brewers at just $3.5 million guaranteed! I never understand people who are disappointed by any signing that is not a guaranteed All Star. Between 2018-2020, Anderson was a 3-3.5 fWAR player per 162 games played. If he had not struggled with injuries the last couple years and was otherwise a free agent at 29 years old, he easily would have been looking at a $70+ million contract this season. A team like the Brewers has to bank on upside picks. Also weird to criticize this move on the assumption that this bumps Urias to 2B and Turang to a utility role to start. Yeah, Anderson is a question mark, but you have to be extremely optimistic to pencil in Turang for better offensive production straight out of the gate as a rookie than Anderson put up even during his down years. I don't see how the Brewers are not a significantly better team now.
  22. SRB
    I really like this trade, though not sure how you can carry both Winker and Hiura on the roster unless they are planning to regularly start Winker in the field. Hiura trade imminent?
  23. SRB
    I feel like Turang is a bit underrated because of the (so far) lack of power. If he is indeed a plus defender up the middle, that's incredibly valuable even without much power. Tommy Edman is on track for a 5 fWAR season based on a similar batting line to what Turang might be able to produce and great defense at SS/2B.
  24. SRB
    I feel like Turang is a bit underrated because of the (so far) lack of power. If he is indeed a plus defender up the middle, that's incredibly valuable even without much power. Tommy Edman is on track for a 5 fWAR season based on a similar batting line to what Turang might be able to produce and great defense at SS/2B.
  25. SRB
    He has not been criminally convicted, no, but my point is that MLB just did a massive yearlong investigation with far greater resources than a DA's office would have in preparing a criminal indictment, and the commissioner's office evidently concluded that the allegations were sufficiently proven to hand down an unprecedented 2-year suspension. So it's not all just rumors and hearsay floating around.
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