SRB
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Everything posted by SRB
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No it's not, but it provides a standardized scale on which you can judge potential 2B candidates' offensive outputs vs. one another. As I said previously, if the front office decides that he's the best guy for the 2B job, I'm fine with it at the right price. But if they do sign him, there's a real possibility that they'll be getting a fantastic defender who may hit for a low average, low OBP, and with some pop. If they're trying to improve the offense, they can likely do so at 2B and Catcher, and that's about it. I don't know if plugging in that type of hitter at 2nd achieves that objective. If signing DJ went along with a Realmuto trade, though, I'd be very optimistic about the lineup. But, as you say, not sure who is a better fit. Dietrich is interesting because of his offense, but whether he'd be more productive depends entirely on how much the Brewers' shifting could improve/hide his defensive woes. Fair enough. I'm not saying LeMahieu is Jose Altuve, but I'm just really skeptical of saying a guy who had a .416 OBP season within the last three years (even if that was his career year) would be a poor hitter outside Coors. I'm not convinced Derek Dietrich is a better hitter, for example, even before factoring in defense. Dietrich was pretty brutal down the stretch last year. (And of course more importantly he can barely play 2B)
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Over nearly 4,000 total ABs? Maybe we should be more concerned that the road crowds really get into his head! That's why the OPS+ stat is relevant here, adjusting ALL of his ABs for park factor and placing him on a scale relative to the other 2B in the league. On that scale, he's been below average all but one year of his career. I don't think that's something that should be discarded, considering that offense is what the Brewers are looking to address if they spend money on 2B rather than SP. OPS+ is not position specific, and anyways if you look back at the first post in this thread I fail to see any available 2B options who are better hitters factoring in age/decline, except for a possible Dozier rebound. And that's before taking into consideration LeMahieu being a great defender. As I said, the problem with LeMahieu is that ideally you would platoon him against RHP, but he's passable against RHP and given that our infield is already going to have a guy with dramatic splits in the opposite direction it's a good fit.
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BA alone is a very dangerous way to evaluate a player. Career home/away splits: Home: .330/.387/.448 .835 OPS Away: .264/.311/.362 .673 OPS Away from Coors he's basically Hernan Perez with Gold-Glove defense (which obviously has value). But for a team looking for offense, especially with a major question mark in Arcia at short offensively, I'm not sure that's the BEST fit they can add. Would I take him at 2nd for the right price? You bet. But is another excellent defense/below average bat player what will address some of the offensive inconsistencies we saw last year? Probably not. I think you're reading too much into those splits, which can often be random noise as much as park factor. Should we expect any player to hit worse outside Coors? Yes. But I'm not sure anyone could allege that the Coors park factor alone is responsible for a .150 point OPS differential. Maybe he just likes a home crowd.
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Seems like a silly debate. Closer to home means there are significant Japanese communities on the West Coast, and in my experience MLB fans in Japan often root for West Coast teams. There is nothing "politically incorrect" about saying that.
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Saying LeMahieu is bad at offense is simply not true. Where do you think we are going to get a better hitting 2B??? Plus he kills LHP so he complements a lineup with Shaw, even if an actual platoon is unrealistic.
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Correction: the West Coast of Lake Michigan
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LeMahieu everyday at 2B, with Shaw at 3B and Perez getting lots of LHP starts at 3B would be fantastic.
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The good players get underpaid. The mediocre or worse ones get overpaid. They all get underpaid within the context of professional baseball salaries. The possibly exception is guys like Schoop who have multiple good seasons worth of stats, but then nosedive right before the next season and thus carry a lot of risk. But the reason so many players get non-tendered is because teams can find replacements who are even more underpaid.
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You don't usually see comments like that from GMs! I suspect the front office is/was unsurprisingly upset with Schoop about how badly he disappeared in the second half.
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Greatest Beneficiaries of Brewer Fandom Voodoo (relative to outside consensus) 1. Lorenzo Cain 2. Khris Davis 3. Scooter Gennett 4. Corey Hart Who else?
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Free Agent Starting Pitchers for 2019
SRB replied to Eye Black's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Happ might make sense if he wants to play for a contender and will take a reasonable 1-2 year deal as a result, but otherwise no thanks. -
That seems extremely light for Paxton. I guess his durability is a major concern. Patrick Corbin is probably the big loser here.
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Why would we gamble in Forsythe bouncing back, when we could gamble on Schoop (a better player) bouncing back.
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$390 million for Hanley Ramirez 2.0??? (With the caveat that Machado is actually worse than young Hanley was) What is MLBTR smoking
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I doubt they go shopping for a 2B when Hiura should be ready by at least 2020. Then you're stuck with an overpaid free agent for a few more years. Part of the appeal of the Schoop trade ( ) was that he gives you a bridge year starting 2B.
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No chance he got a massive pay day, only players get that. Even most managers make less per year than the majority of players outside of their pre-arbitration years, much less bench coaches who make less than managers. Whatever larger amount Johnson was offered by the Red vs the Brewers offer, that would be pocket change in the grand scheme of the Brewers budget next year and going forward. If/when the numbers come out showing what he got from the Reds, compared to the Brewers offer, i'll be surprised if the difference is more than a million per. Easy for us to talk about potentially hundreds of thousands of dollars as "pocket change" as fans who only consider the player payroll, but not for a GM running a major organization like Stearns.
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How does that make him intelligent? Seems keeping assets is important especially at such a low relative cost. Because coaches are dramatically more interchangeable than players and don't deserve massive pay checks.
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Solving the Catcher Position for 2019
SRB replied to Eye Black's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
He's actually an excellent defensive catcher. All the better for us if his value is materially affected by a meaningless sample of jittery postseason (aka the Reverse Suppan) -
The upside of Realmuto in Milwaukee is exciting, but I think some people are overvaluing him simply because of a weak catcher market. He's significantly worse than, say, peak Lucroy. Yes I would love to have him but I'm not emptying the farm. I guess it all depends on our internal valuation of Hiura (for example, I suspect our internal valuation of Brinson was lower than the outside consensus). Grandal is worse but only costs money.
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I suspect he wanted a major pay increase because of the team's success, and David Stearns being an intelligent GM said no.
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-Let Moustakas walk -Bring Schoop back -Trade Anderson for salary relief -Sign Yasmani Grandal to a 4-year deal -Scour the scrap heap for high-upside RP/SP PS - clancy, better not let Shaw's agent see that you are offering him barely more than Hernan Perez
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I'd rather just sign Grandal. Realmuto is slightly better, but not by enough to justify giving up any of our remaining top prospects. Hard pass.
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I would gladly, knowingly trade one year off the end of my life for a Brewers win in a game 7 on a walk-off dinger. Preferably by Braun. Kratz walk-off HR
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I don't think LeMahieu is really any better than Schoop, if we're talking 2019 here.
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With the entire season on the line, what are the odds Knebel and Jeffress could both go 2.0 IP, assuming not many base runners? Knebel went 1.2 IP last night but didn't throw a lot of pitches. Imagine getting 7.0 IP out of Hader/Knebel/Jeffress alone And you could use Hader in the middle, to go RHP-LHP-RHP