Logically, you are right. The Dodgers pose a much bigger threat in the playoffs on paper. I just don't like the Cardinals. Too much bad history there. Yeah, and I just think the Dodgers catch the Rockies. Playing any team, at home, in a one-game, single elimination format is going to be basically a coin flip. I can live with losing to the Dodgers. If we lose to the Rockies, that sucks, but it happens. The Cardinals? That would just hurt. I think of it like this: the marginally better one-game odds aren't worth the emotional consequences of seeing the Cardinals celebrate at MP again.