538 has US slight favorites to advance (45 to 37 with Iran at 25 percent). I think the US is better, but Wales seems more emotionally resilient, and that matters in World Cups.
My big takeaway is that England isn't as good as they looked and Iran isn't as bad as they looked. There is a long way to go in this group, and I could see everyone having it all to play for on the last match day.
I'm weirdly less intimidated by England than Iran, maybe because I put too much stock in emotional resonance in this kind of event.
As for today: not much more to say. Take of two halves, yada yada yada. We're still alive and in control of our destiny, and that's an alright place to be.
If we go out, the consolation prize is that Gregg is out too, and I am pretty convinced he's not the guy to bring this team deep into a tournament, even given four more years of seasoning. I just don't think he gets international football. Leaving out Gio, opening yourself up to Acosta and Yedlin for 20 minutes of a 1-1 game...can't manage your bench like that in moments of this magnitude.