KeithStone53151
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Everything posted by KeithStone53151
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Brewers (Rea) vs. Padres (Martinez) 4/13/22, 8:40pm
KeithStone53151 replied to Brewcrew82's topic in Archived Game Threads
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Brewers (Rea) vs. Padres (Martinez) 4/13/22, 8:40pm
KeithStone53151 replied to Brewcrew82's topic in Archived Game Threads
Any chance we can sign Braun to play in this 3 game series? -
Brewers (Rea) vs. Padres (Martinez) 4/13/22, 8:40pm
KeithStone53151 replied to Brewcrew82's topic in Archived Game Threads
Does anyone have any current scouting info on Colin Rea? His most recent info from 2021 shows he throws 5 different pitches, mixes them alot, none seem very good with the cutter being the best of them. -
I probably should have tweaked my comments a bit. A strikeout is better than weak contact. Weak contact sometimes goes for hits while a strikeout is virtually never anything but an out. Problem is, the k rate is so sought-after right now...the option of relievers that don't get strikeouts but generate weak contact at a very high rate might be the better value option than high k rate pitchers...allowing us to utilize resources elsewhere in the roster. Also as you noted, weak contact generally requires less pitches than a strikeout, so you can get more outs and be more fresh than the guy using 20 pitches to strike out 3 guys in an inning.
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Oh man, in no universe are the Reds or Pirates or Cubs better than this Cardinals team...not right now. I'm certainly going to enjoy the Cardinals having the worst record in the division for as long as it lasts. That team somehow winning 60 games would be hilarious but it would take like 8 major injuries and even then probably isn't realistic.
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My argument is slightly more difficult with Woodruff injured, but Burnes/Woodruff/Peralta have a pretty solid track record of striking guys out. Even Lauer does. Miley is really the only guy that is a well below average strikeout guy. Looking at their numbers, all our starters except Miley are striking out about a batter per inning. Burnes has the worst k rate of the other 4, I'll go out on a limb and say that's unlikely to be how we end the season. Right now our SP is 21st in MLB in k rate, that'll improve when Woodruff is back and Junk and his 3.86 SO/9 stops making starts. Now in relief, Milwaukee is dead last in k rate at 6.18. Slightly ahead of us is the 12-0 Rays with 6.34 and then significantly ahead of them is the 28th ranked Nationals at 6.89. On one hand, we knew our relief was going to be a question mark at best with Williams really the only established guy. Also, being in the company of the Rays right now certainly isn't a bad thing and maybe us and them know something other teams don't. One other major point, our defense to this point is inarguably one of the best in the league. We are in first by a wide margin in DRS, and fangraphs has us in the top 5 in both RAA and OAA. The eye test backs that up, especially when we have our best options out there(I'm imaging a world with Taylor/Frelick in LF and Yelich DH or bench...we'd be plus or better at every spot). Bottom line is weak-moderate contact with a superb defense might be better than k's and a high pitch count.
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That's reeeeeeeally close
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The dbacks have a potentially good bullpen situation for the Brewers. Chafin will probably start the inning, beyond that i think only McGough and Solomon are available to pitch today. Castro and Ruiz both threw 20+ pitches yesterday so I suspect aren't available. If any of those guys don't have it, dbacks are kinda stuck with rolling those 2 guys.
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I thought it was reeeeeally close, but certainly not a no brainer to overturn.
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That was very impressive to hold the bag by Chafin, that said...still safe
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An rbi groundout feels like the best case scenario...i'll take it
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I swear if Yelich looks at a called strike 3 down the middle...I'm going to sit here and piss and moan about it.
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We need to get 2 at least to stay in it. Would certainly be nice if the ump didn't give 4 inches off the plate.
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Is it too early to say the game is more or less on the line right now??
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Bruh, I could go up there...look at 5 pitches, and go sit back on the bench.
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I tuned in late, what did the Dbacks manager get ejected for?
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At this moment, the Brewers are in first in the division and the Cardinals are in last.
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I think this is accurate. That said, maybe NFL splurge and update the clocks to include a decimal place as part of the counter for the last 5 seconds like NBA.
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Good post. I think your math is off on nfl. 16 player ejections would be one every 17 games. I also would bet heavily that very few of these ejections were due to making a snide comment, or saying mean things to the umpire, or whatever these overcompensating babies are tossing players for these days. In NFL it's almost always a dangerous play or player misconduct. I'm not sure about nba I don't watch much, but I know they have a technical foul system so guys at least get a second chance unless they do something egregious. I watch plenty of EPL and I can't tell you how many times I've seen guys scream 4 letter words at the refs and not get a card of any type. If you get sent off in soccer you almost always earned it through dangerous play. So I'll concede there's more ejections in other sports than I realized, but I still stand by in MLB ejections should be much more rare...and umpires need to set their egos aside and keep guys in the game. Honestly we need more ejections like what happened to realmuto, but in games that matter otherwise nothing will change... you'll still see guys get upset at a strikeout, throw their bat in frustration, and get tossed.
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I'd like to see Voit get a start over Tellez today. Tellez is 0 for 9 against Kelly career, Voit is 2 for 7 with 2 dingers. Also Tellez isn't exactly lighting the world on fire right now. Yelich, Adames, Winker, Contreras, Anderson, Mitchell, Voit, Turang, Wiemer. Could swap Voit and Anderson for same effect.
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It's gotta be frustrating for a player to adjust your mindset to swing at a pitch you know is a ball because the ump is calling a bad zone. The 3-1 and 3-2 pitch were the same, the old school stay off my lawn types will say "as long as it's consistent"...but that's just nonsense. Consistently wrong is still wrong and it shouldn't be on the players to figure that out in game. You can't exactly be too hard on the umps, they certainly call the the pitches lightyears better than any of us ever could. I'm just ready for the technology that will get the calls correct and consistent.
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I know my viewpoint is minority, but I almost always disagree with ejections decisions. I can understand it in this case, especially when applied to current precedence. What I'd really like to see is them implement a warning option before an ejection. At the end of the day it hurts the product and is disappointing for fans to see top players get ejected from games. This is completely not a thing in basketball, football, hockey, etc...it happens rarely if ever that you might go to a game and 1/4 through the game your favorite player gets ejected. In baseball, it's about 1 of every 10 games that a player or manager is ejected.
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I was going to post this just now as well. What a yikes that these calls so often went against the Brewers. The ones against BA were quite significant, 2 on with 0 outs is so much different than 1 on 1 out. It's that many more pitches Gallen would have to throw early, and odds of getting at least 1 run with 2 on 0 out is more likely than unlikely at that point. I'm ready for robots...
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Nine games in.........
KeithStone53151 replied to Jim French Stepstool's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I suspect by the time Urias is back, someone else will have taken a knock. I would tend to agree that Voit is probably on the block as well if we're all healthy at one time and the rookies are still playing well by late May....and Voit is still not hitting. I also suspect at some point, one or more of the rookies will start getting attacked different by pitchers and MLB pitchers will expose an exploitable weakness(see Hiura high fastball). I'm not intending to be overly negative, but the odds of 3 rookies crushing it and sticking all at once without facing significant adversity is unlikely...and honestly if all 3 do stick and continue crushing then it's hard to really be concerned about how Taylor/Urias are handled as they'll be more or less glued to the bench if they stay anyways. -
Nine games in.........
KeithStone53151 replied to Jim French Stepstool's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
It's tough to say for sure which are better as we haven't seen too much of the rookies yet. Mitchell has good instincts in the outfield with 80 grade speed you can't teach...he'll get to plays that plenty of other CF(Tyler O'Neill) won't get close on. I wouldn't discount him. Adames is certainly the safe bet to say is the most talented as he has a few years of being a plus defender under his belt and is in his prime. But those rookies certainly could challenge for it, Turang makes defense look so easy when it really isn't and Wiemer is a prototypicial RF with great instincts and enough speed to play CF. Also don't sleep on BAv2, he's made some really slick plays at 3b already...though in RF is probably more of an average defender.
