KeithStone53151
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Everything posted by KeithStone53151
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This looks much more reasonable than the shift we saw in spring training. Anything in the RF corner is a triple even for slow guys, and there's a ton of room in the outfield. If you have fast OF it's probably not a huge deal and this shift is probably a net positive. We could pull this off on days with BA, Wiemer, Mitchell in the outfield. Yelich is pretty meh out there so I wouldn't want to risk trying it on days he's in LF(most days).
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Their outfielders may in fact have more speed than ours, which is pretty wild with Mitchell being an 80 grade and Wiemer being probably a 60 grade...and Yelich despite his flaws in the field is at least average speed.
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Gallen's velocity has been down 1-2 mph on all his pitches compared to 2022 numbers. Going from 94/95 to 92/94 is a pretty significant change. Also hit cutter/curveball have much less movement so far compared to 2022. Less velocity and less movement is not a recipe for success at this level.
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Anyone selling at $50 might be selling themselves short. I get a 20 pack and I had 3 people ask me if they could get them an extra Giannis jersey(i didn't attend so I won't get one at all). I've never once had someone ask about a bobble, but Giannis jersey was always going to be a big hit.
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I think you can so long as you don't initiate contact. If Cruz kept running and tried to like sneak a foot in while going around the catcher i think that's fine...but I'm not certain. I didn't really see anything glaringly wrong with the play. It all happened so fast, how unusual for a catcher to need to jump to catch a high throw then come down for the tag. What led to the injury is poor sliding form from Cruz.
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The over 500 talk went from very unlikely to...nope...very quickly
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It's certainly hard to know whether the 49ers are actually involved, but they can certainly be viewed as a good fit for him. If the 49ers offered 2 3rds and a 1st next year i think that's plenty of value. All speculation, Rodgers successfully keeping himself in the headlines as long as possible.
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Between this and the 49ers rumored to be getting involved...I suspect the price is only going up.......
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And sure enough...
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Is anything Montgomery or other crafty lefties have done to the brewers really applicable to this squad? Yelich might be the only guy starting today that was also starting for us 2 years ago...
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The pirates have a fair amount of young talent that could get rolling at any point. The pirates have plenty of time on Reynolds so I doubt they move him. I would buy a third place finish, the over 500 part is where the question comes in. I could see the cubs and pirates in the mid 70s battling for third
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So you're telling me ERA isn't the only thing to look at to determine a good start? I was a bit lazy when looking at SP stats and only looked at ERA in this case. Yes agreed, not a good start.
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So you're telling me Mitchell/Anderson aren't going to hit the 81 HR they are currently on pace to hit? I mildly disagree with you that it's too early to alter projections. It's certainly going to be more accurate if you wait until the season is half over to redo your projections, but completely ignoring what happened so far is less accurate than sticking to preseason predictions. This team just spanked the Mets silly, who were WS contender last season and have a gazillion dollar payroll...we beat them like they were the 2010s Pirates. It's also one thing to move a projection from mid 80s to 95+ based on 6 games, but I think it's hard to disagree there certainly is an increase in the percentage of 90+ win outcomes if you were to simulate the rest of the season a bunch of times than there were 2 weeks ago.
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Cardinals starting pitching last I saw had over 7 ERA to start the season, 3rd worst in MLB. Naturally we face the one guy who started well right off the rip. It's early of course, but you love to see a bad start from them. Regarding the O'Neill incident, I didn't see him as running slowly and not putting in effort...many of you seem to think that is the case so maybe I saw that differently. I also agree with the consensus that the much bigger problem is calling our your player publicly like that. It's generally a problem when the 20-something is more mature and more of an adult than the manager...
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With Wiemer/Mitchell starting so well, I would say you could probably increase that 2% likelihood a bit. They'll all certainly face adversity at some point, but 20 PA of 1000 OPS is better than 20 PA with 12 k's...also worth noting Mitchell had significant PA last season so his likelihood of sticking is certainly higher than Frelick/Wiemer.
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Last year when he was one of the best hitters in baseball against RHP in limited atbats for the first few months of the season, CC kept only starting him against lefties and pulling him in favor of Tellez whenever possible when he faced a RH reliever. And eventually sporadic playing time was his downfall for the rest of the season.
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I don't really care that Owen Miller went 1 for 2 or that Turang still played. I don't want a pattern of CC not letting our LH rookies face left handed pitching. Top prospect rookies don't hit the majors and all of a sudden turn into platoon bats. That's not how it should work. Imagine not seeing a lefty for a month and all of a sudden you are forced to face a LH reliever with a nasty slider. They'd end up having bad numbers against lefties this season in very limited at bats and CC will be largely to blame in that case. That's what I forsee happening and it's quite frustrating to watch him inhibit their growth after how he just handled another young top prospect in Hiura. As far as sitting Turang/Mitchell a bit to not burn them out...fine I can understand that. But it should be a bit more planned regardless of the starting pitcher, the fact that Turang came in once the LH starter was pulled both times makes it abundantly clear that he's protecting Turang/Mitchell from lefties. Protecting them from lefties is bad for their growth, and bad for the Brewers as soon as later this season and into the future...and right now Owen Miller is at best a fractional improvement over Turang at 2b against LHP, probably closer to a rounding error than anything measurable. Being a freak about platoons and maximizing that is fine in October, not in April.
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I saw this whole thing play out yesterday. Complete clown. O'Neill got benched for not running the bases hard enough, but watching the replay I just don't see him letting up at any point. So more or less the Cardinals manager publicly benched O'Neill and criticized him publicly for a made up reason. To make this manager look even more stupid, I'll add that O'Neill is coming off a hamstring injury and has a history of hamstring injuries. So one could certainly understand if he was only going 95 percent vs unleashing fully and risking aggravating the injury. How sad when the young player is more mature and professional than the manager...
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Based on the start, the likelihood of 90-100 wins is significantly more likely than it was. Going into the season I felt like 82-88 wins was fairly unlikely. That would most likely require a "stand pat" deadline decision, and that seems super unlikely with woodruff/burnes/Adames. Either we're in a position to add at the deadline and roll a high win count the last 2 months, or we aren't and we sell big and roll a low win count those 2 months. I felt like the odds of 70-80 or 90-100 were higher than ending between 81-89. That's I think why a lot of people are predicting mid 80s, it's a good hedge despite there not really being many paths to that win total for this team this year. I'm in a brewer prediction pool and went with 94. At the time I felt like the low win total was more likely, but what fun is picking a low number? It's a more casual "pool" from a $ perspective so I went on the fun side. After this start I'm liking my prediction quite a bit more
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What a weirdo dunking on brewers hitters. I've never heard BA/rock do anything like that. Those guys either speak positively on opposing players or not at all. That said, he's probably right. I doubt any one of us is more qualified to give an opinion on hitting than him. It was hard not to notice all the noise when wiemer has a bat in his hands, and what he says tracks with yelich consistently being late on fastballs. Who knows if he's truly right, but without a doubt poor broadcasting etiquette.
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I see your point, it's just not the same. These guys are playing a game they've been playing all their lives. They are moving from one level to the next. Did managers protect them from lefties every time they moved from low a to high a or high a to AA? Did Bryce Harper get platooned when he hit the majors? Did Anthony Rizzo get platooned? Benching the top prospect young guys against lefties is simply counsell playing checkers like he always does lately. The creativity he had in 2017/2018 is long gone. How counsell used hiura last year is such a prime example. We will see if it continues, I'll gladly admit I reacted prematurely if a few weeks from now...turang and Mitchell start playing more consistently against lefties assuming they continue to rake. I just don't see it happening. Miller/Taylor/etc will end up playing against lh pitching while Mitchell/turang will only play against rh pitching.
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Nobody has tried disputing it yet. Just say it's a horrendous take, and move on.
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If Wiemer doesn't stop that ball, it's 5-4. Love the confidence, excellent play
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I couldn't be more thrilled with how we are starting the season. But forgive me for not wanting Owen Miller taking starts from Turang. Imagine if Bryce Harper was platooned on arrival in the majors. It's just stupid, it's a loser decision from a loser manager. These guys aren't going to get better against lefties unless they face lefties, and both were plenty good against lefties in the minors so there's really no good reason to protect them from lefties...especially Turang who had slightly better numbers against LHP than RHP in the minors.
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Maybe he over corrected? I'm also far from a scout and my the sample of what I've seen is limited obviously.
