KeithStone53151
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Everything posted by KeithStone53151
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The Brewers will literally never go into a season without some unproven bullpen arms. Most teams won't. The Dodgers have more money than the entire NL Central, yet they have a couple question marks at the back end. We certainly have more, but it's hardly a major concern to have unproven arms so long as you have at least a few reliable arms and alternative options exist at AAA(which they do). I also don't see right field unrest as an issue, considering at any time we can bring up Wiemer/Frelick among other true outfield options. In a small sample, there aren't that many difficult plays for outfielders to make...everyone on the roster could make most of the required plays with ease. Especially with the pitching we have that typically rack up strikeouts. It's just not an issue in the short term, if we're rolling a similar situation into May or even June...that's a bigger problem...but it's tough to imagine not bringing up one of the prospects by then.
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In this case, clearly Nestor quick pitched. That said, the batter really was dawdling in there. Imagine them getting so strict with the rules that a batter has to be in the box by 8 seconds and looking at the pitcher by 6.5 seconds. Until/Unless they get strict with it, calling this stuff is umpire discretion. I'll have a very negative view of umpires until they start checking their egos at the door and stop throwing players out of games, so I personally want to minimize the amount of umpire discretion calls. At the end of the day, please add 5-10 seconds to the pitch clock. 20 seconds feels a little too rushed. 5-10 seconds isn't going to completely erase the significant gains of having the pitch clock.
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Note to batters, step into the box and take your sweet time looking up at the pitcher. Step in at 8.1 seconds, don't look up until around 5. That is really limiting on the pitcher.
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I'm not sure what the purpose of this comment was. We shouldn't try to incrementally get better because it's a complete waste of time unless we win the world series? Every team that wins the world series, a lot has to go right to be the best team of 30. If we're truly making incremental improvements in player development, that's a positive regardless of whether it immediately turns into a world series or not.
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Not insisting on it doesn't necessarily mean we aren't asking for comparable value. We might not be, but I wouldn't say he conceded getting #13 value.
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Are we sure Rodgers on that squad will be THAT good? With 2021 Rodgers, the Jets are NOT the best team in that division. With 2022 Rodgers they might be the worst team in that division. It would be quite hilarious if the Packers bet against Rodgers and settled on the 2024 first round pick as primary comp only to have it be a top 10 pick.
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I'm a bit surprised the Oakland/Baltimore/Cincy/Pittsburghs of the world didn't snag him and give him everyday playing time. He's obviously very talented and maybe could figure it out if given time at the big league level. A couple really hot months toward the deadline could be a nice cheap flip. I'm thrilled to keep him in the org and give him everyday playing time at AAA.
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The union cares exclusively about what percent of the pie the players get. I don't think they care quite as much how the owners share their portion of revenue amongst themselves so long as the players get their cut. If the owners came up with a new structure that involved a cap/floor and massive revenue sharing, as long as they all got their cut I just don't think the players/union would care too much. I could be wrong.
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100% agree on this. Nothing will change with the current structure unless the owners want a level playing field.
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I disagree, team control, skill, upside, etc all matter. I think in this case, looking at Ke'bryan Hayes is probably the best comparable. He had a full year of service time, but last year signed an 8/70 extension. This is the largest deal ever given to a player with between 1 and 2 years service time and buys out 3 years of free agency with an option for a 4th. That's probably a much better basis point than a guy with 2+ years of data, but I also suspect is probably more than Frelick could get considering he has 0 MLB at bats and doesn't have nearly the upside of Hayes.
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Good info to post, but I don't think this has any bearing on Frelick. Gimenez only has 4 years of team control and actually struggled a bit early in his career. Their offensive profiles are also very very different.
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Athletic MLB Insiders SP Ranking
KeithStone53151 replied to Brewcrew82's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Fair point. They might have to go for an impact reliever or two and utilize their starters like the 2017-2019 brewers if a big time starter doesn't come available. How gross would it be having to deal with Hader in a Cardinals uniform if the Padres start poorly? -
The biggest takeaway is reducing the cost on a 16 oz domestic beer and cocktails. The price was getting kinda silly on a beer, it's honestly still too pricey for me to buy one in the stadium but any reduction is a step in the right direction on that. Cocktails I think were like $14/15 for a single or something last year, it's still the better option because the bartenders tend to pour heavy...I tend to go the long island route and it's basically a full cup of long island mix with a splash of coke. I can only hope they didn't reduce the size AGAIN to justify a price decrease. I feel like those $4 nachos are going to be a pretty big hit, seems like the best value on that menu and it's an easy/obvious add to whatever else you're getting. The fact that there isn't much for new items is whatever, there's pretty good variety already in my opinion. I'll be interested to check out the new patio, I still find the golf simulator thing a bit weird but whatever maybe some people go to a baseball game to play the golf simulator.
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Athletic MLB Insiders SP Ranking
KeithStone53151 replied to Brewcrew82's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Pitching is so volatile, a couple guys will come out of nowhere and be reeeeeeally good. They don't necessarily need a Cy young candidate pitcher. Someone like Merrill Kelly would be very helpful for any rotation. -
Athletic MLB Insiders SP Ranking
KeithStone53151 replied to Brewcrew82's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
The Brewers lineup has a lot of upside with only two spots that I'm confident will have good production(SS/C). A lot of variability in the others, there are a small percentage of outcomes that it's better than the Cardinals lineup straight up this year. On paper right now the teams are overall close in my opinion. -
Also worth adding, their best 3 hitters all RH. They'll see LH starters sometimes but rarely will they see a LH reliever. The reliever they face will almost always be a teams top 2 RH relievers.
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Is it just me, or is this lineup not THAT good? I feel like Arenado and Goldschmidt will not be as good as last year. Goldschmidt had a career year at age 34 and Arenado had his best season if you remove the Coors factor(career 818 OPS on the road removes Coors factor, 2022 he was much better than that). I'm sure they'll be good, I see both guys falling in the mid 800s OPS range most likely...which is still very good of course. Aside from that, what here is scary? Walker has huge upside but otherwise a lot of low 700s or worse OPS players in 2022.
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You don't think the guys in the 10-20 range of SB might end up closer to 30? The 40% of the slowest dudes still won't steal a meaningful amount. I think the guys that stole 10-20 will probably close to double their totals, the guys that stole 30+ previously...sky is the limit(or how often they get on base). That's about what I'm expecting, we'll have a better feel in about 3-4 weeks.
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That'll probably true of the old school set in their ways managers. The younger analytics-driven managers will probably have their players running like crazy assuming they have personnel for it. I'm expecting a lot more pitchouts this year than we've seen recently. Not a ton, but a fair amount more considering the limited throw-overs.
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I don't think you generally turn a top prospect into a platoon bat upon hitting the majors, especially one that was slightly better statistically against LHP in the minors. Turang plays pretty much everyday at 2b regardless of RH vs LH starter... Most likely against LH starter we'll see something like Yelich/Mitchell/Anderson OF, Urias/Adames/Turang/Brosseau IF, Voit or Miller DH. Miller might play the field over someone but most likely those 9 guys are the guys against lefties...
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This is at least a 10 game suspension right?
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Athletic MLB Insiders SP Ranking
KeithStone53151 replied to Brewcrew82's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
In the regular season, teams that rely on hitting tend to win more than teams that rely on pitching. It's the old, good hitting beats good pitching but great pitching beats great hitting. A team like the cardinals can probably mash their way to the top of the division assuming the hitting works out as intended...even if the pitching is mediocre/bad(which seems likely). Also I would assume they'll make deadline moves to bolster pitching, they have enough ammo in the farm to make moves. -
Miller is going to fly a lot. We seem to have an obvious backup at basically every position on the roster currently, so i expect he'll be the first callup for short term injuries regardless of position. The only variable might be a Mitchell injury which might mean frelick. The biggest downside for Miller is most likely he'll fly to Milwaukee to sit on the bench almost all the time he's there.
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i think Winker played some outfield in spring, there might be a plan for him to play in the field a bit more than they thought when those comments were initially made? Otherwise you're right it's kinda tough for those 4 guys to play 2/3 spots with them all being better against RHP. I would expect Winker to see close to zero at bats against lefties.
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This is probably pretty darn close in my opinion. Anderson might hit 6 over Urias. They might bat Mitchell 9th as the whole 2nd leadoff hitter thing. The only way this could get shaken up a ton in my opinion is if they try and hit Mitchell leadoff. I don't think they will, and if they did it might be more or less what you have with Mitchell ahead of Yeli. We'll see. I like this lineup a lot better than last year, I feel like we have at least some realistic chance to have a plus hitter at every position except 3b(some a better chance than others of course).
