KeithStone53151
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Everything posted by KeithStone53151
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When Does The Lockout End? Answer: March 10th, 2022
KeithStone53151 replied to jjgott's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Salary cap/floor makes so much sense, but the big markets and players don't want it. The big markets obviously are hurt by it as it limits spending and probably results in higher revenue sharing. The big one is the players though, there are so many instances of players taking less to go to a big market or a generally good team. Players generally want big markets to be able to spend big and create super teams so they can beat up on the small markets with less good teams. Baseball is in so much of a tougher spot because it's a 3 sided fight. I'm not sure a proper version of a venn diagram exists for this fight in which all 3 sides get what they want. I'm not sure if it's hilarious or sad how much time/money/effort is going into how to split up $10 billion/year. -
With arbitration estimates, I think our payroll is going to shake out around 110 million with no major moves and the CBA as is. I'm not sure how much more we'll increase the payroll before opening day.
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The MLBPA also seem completely fine with letting massive competitive balance exist between big market and small markets. Like if they had their way, the Yankees could run half a billion dollar payroll and just destroy the Brewers and their $100 million payroll consistently. Players like the idea of super teams, which from a fans perspective is bad for so many reasons. It's frankly bad enough the way it is currently.
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MLB is a unique situation from the other leagues with it being a true 3 way fight. Big market owners vs small market owners vs players. The revenue sharing and lack of salary cap are obviously the primary culprits. I will never understand why a salary cap/floor system tied to total revenue with drastically expanded revenue sharing isn't the answer. Most likely because big market owners are utilizing the luxury cap to justify pocketing probably hundreds of millions of dollars every year while fielding top tier teams for the most part. I could only get on board with shrinking team control if it came with an increase to revenue sharing. I'm expecting the end result to be the big market owners get the best side of the deal, players get the worst side of the deal, small market owners get just enough to have a 2-3 year window once every 2 decades when the development breaks perfectly.
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I have concerns about how much renfroe will produce, but overall I like the trade a lot. Filled an obvious hole and weakness on the team for 2 decent prospects while unloading a bad contract and bad player.
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Non-Brewers Free Agent Signings
KeithStone53151 replied to sveumrules's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Tellez put up 0.4 WAR in nearly 1/3 a season of full atbats with roughly an 810 OPS. He's a meh defender at best, rating slightly below average at every defensive metric. Also worth noting the 0.4 WAR is just with the Brewers. If you count his Toronto stats he's a negative WAR. Rizzo on the other hand put up 785 OPS good for 1.6 WAR over about triple the PA. On paper it looks like only a slight improvement, but Rizzo is so much better defensively and based on metrics looks to have had a lot of bad luck from a batted ball standpoint the last couple years. I'm not in favor of targeting Rizzo either considering the contract he'd require, but Rizzo is much much better at baseball than Tellez. -
No risk. Send him to spring and evaluate from there. If he's bad, bye bye no harm no foul. The Brewers have done better with low cost relievers than most teams, I think in large part due to our analytics dept for pitching is a bit better than a majority of teams. The Cubs, with all their money, have been one of the worst with pitchers in general.
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Ozuna and his wife seem to be perfect for one another. Last year she was arrested for domestic violence after she smacked him in the face with some sort of soap dish. Lovely couple. There are a couple Braves blogs that are saying Ozuna has a personal conduct clause in his contract that allows the Braves to walk away from the deal if he is convicted of a felony. I'm just guessing but would think this would be bargained down to a misdemeanor and then Ozuna is only subject to whatever suspension that MLB gives him. But if the Braves could walk away, I think a Yelich/Braves matchup would be a wonderful fit. Good call JosephC, unfortunately. This honestly grosses me out. I want to see the body cam footage. I suspect baseball doesn't want us to see it. Nothing to see here...we want our star player to hit baseballs again.
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That's generally my line of thinking as well. I'm certainly open to listening on Woodruff but I think you'd really want a game changer to consider moving him. For example, Bryan Reynolds is not enough for Woodruff in my opinion. Same with Kelenic. It's probably tough to get fair value for Woodruff because his value for 3 years is incredibly high, which is why Houser/Lauer are much more likely. And agreed that I'm not interested in trading any of these pitchers for solely prospect value unless it's some weird overpay that probably wouldn't happen anyway. The most likely fits would be trading with another win-now team that has a surplus of OF or 3b.
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I'm not necessarily thinking woodruff or burnes, I could see us potentially moving houser, lauer, or possibly ashby depending on the team. I also think the most likely trade would involve another contender with a surplus of position players. With that I'm looking heavily at the blue Jays and Mariners actually. For the mariners maybe Kyle Lewis, outside shot we try to buy low on kelenic but I highly doubt that would happen. For the blue Jays maybe gurriel or Hernandez, maybe biggio. Not necessarily one for one either, I guess I'm just looking at general framework on the type of trade I could see the brewers making. The brewers made a somewhat similar trade with the padres for urias. Obviously you don't trade a starting pitcher just to give one away, nothing wrong with heading into 2022 with an absolutely stacked rotation 1-6 with small in the wings. I suspect this type of trade will at minimum be explored as an option to improve the offense from a position of strength
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I was looking through the free agent signing and I could not believe Eduardo Rodriguez got 5/77 after a 4.7 ERA season. His 2nd half was around 3.7 i believe, but his peripherals between halves were about the same so really it was more or less luck shifting his way a bit. I think the Brewers have 5 guys minimum that can post a better statline than Rodriguez over 30+ starts. If Rodriguez is truly worth 5/77, how much is Houser worth who is arguably better and will cost closer to $15 million total over 3 years with no guaranteed money? And Houser is probably the least valuable from a trade value perspective of our top 6 rotation options. Considering the state of our outfield and likely lack of payroll flexibility, do we consider trading a current rotation arm for position player help? Utilizing the rotation is a very viable option for getting a true difference maker in the outfield.
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Coming from someone currently trying and struggling to hire someone for our team, I don't even mind that I'm struggling for the fact that regular folks seem to have the power right now. I'm not as big on ghosting interviews or accepting jobs and not showing up. I find it rude and childish, you're wasting time of another person/persons trying to hire you...it's not some defiant act of screwing Corporate America. That said, right now people our company is trying to hire are asking for 30+% pay increases from their previous position along with benefit boosts. We've multiple times been outbid by another company vying for a persons services. We missed out on one candidate because that person preferred full remote versus the partial remote that our company offers. Job seekers have the power and I love it.
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I watched the game live and sawv where the actual pitches went. There was no both ways. The umps we're either coincidentally incompetent in the braves favor of they were out to get us. If you don't agree then you need...something
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Go back through the GameDay. A few of the ones we were “screwed on” were strikes. People fail to realize ANY sliver of the ball over the plate is a strike. Additionally, we got MANY strike/ball calls in our favors. Umps sucked, but it went both ways. Our hitters just sucked and the end results of ABs never seemed to benefit us. Um, wut. Did you actually watch the game?
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Robot umps please in 2022. I can't take these umpires actively screwing us anymore. I can think of 7 calls offhand that went against us and none in our favor. The urias foul ball catch was a benefit, but it honestly seemed like the umps bet on the braves today
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Chill out people. We still have the 9th. It's not over yet
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I'm not sure about this decision by cc. I'm fine with going to hader, but who pitches the 9th? Or the 10th if nobody scores?
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I would only pH if we get 2 on or 3 on for his at bat. Remember woodruff can actually swing it a little
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I'm gonna get ahead of this. Ph woodruff who is due up 4th?
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I was dead wrong about Cain, I think he's in the zone. He's 2 for 2 with a walk/called strike 3 on a pitch off the plate. I think he has a big hit in him
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Agreed. I'm thrilled he pulled minter. Dude is fire right now
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I was looking at statcast earlier, Jackson was throwing like 80 percent sliders to brewers hitters this series. I'd like to think if I can figure that out, our hitters can as well
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Did we double switch so woodruff can bat right away?
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I'm more concerned about the short rest thing. I think mentally he'll be fine
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If Escobar is in the game, it's 4-2 braves