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BruisedCrew

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Everything posted by BruisedCrew

  1. BruisedCrew
    The White Sox are one game away from being described as a team that ran away from the field in a weak Central Division but couldn’t measure up against tougher competition in the playoffs.
  2. BruisedCrew
    Not sure how long Garcia is going to last. He’s looking pretty stiff.
  3. BruisedCrew
    Hopefully Burnes can settle down from there. He had to work hard that inning.
  4. BruisedCrew
    Having a left handed first baseman came in handy there.
  5. BruisedCrew
    Definitely not the start we were looking for. 18 pitches, two on and none out. Lauer might be getting an early call.
  6. BruisedCrew
    Counsell has his left handed hitters batting 1,3,5,7 so there won’t be consecutive lefties if the Braves dip into their deep pool of lefty relievers. Urias will be available to enter if and when those lefty relievers enter and will almost certainly be starting tomorrow against Fried. I wouldn’t be concerned about him missing a couple of possible ABs early in Game 1.
  7. BruisedCrew
    I was at NLDS Game 1 in 2018, and the roof was closed that day for a mid afternoon start. It was sunny that day and I don’t think it was too cold, but probably cooler than today.
  8. BruisedCrew
    I think the issue with consistency at Miller Park in 2011 was related to the shadows for afternoon games. The roof was closed for the first two games so they kept it closed for game 5 which was a mid afternoon start. The roof was open for Game 1 of the NLCS two days later. It’s generally cloudy today so the roof could be open unless and until a threat of rain develops.
  9. BruisedCrew
    Suter pitched an inning on Sunday so this is obviously a recent development.
  10. BruisedCrew
    Losing Suter is unfortunate. He could be valuable if one of the starters has to be removed in the 5th or 6th innings. I’m enthusiastic about Ashby’s future, but I’m nervous about counting on him in a tight playoff situation.
  11. BruisedCrew
    I’m guessing Tellez at 1B and Escobar at 3B.
  12. BruisedCrew
    I don’t think the last 3 weeks affect my outlook much, if at all, though the team wide hitting slump and spanking from the Cardinals (when the Brewers were presumably still trying to win) are hard to completely ignore. My view of this series as a tossup focuses more on the Braves offense, which was much improved after their deadline moves, and is loaded with HR threats, something that can be very valuable in close, low scoring games. Also, I see Morton and Fried as a pretty even matchup for Burnes and Woodruff. Morton is a veteran with tons of postseason experience and success, and Fried was very stingy after the ASB. My biggest concern and focus will be the Brewers offense. Even if they can’t score many runs they need to put some pressure on the Braves starters and keep them from going 7-8 innings.
  13. BruisedCrew
    538 has the Brewers probability of winning the World Series at 6%, second lowest of the 8 teams, ahead of only the Red Sox at 5%. The Braves and White Sox are only slightly better at 8% and 7%. Of course, the Dodgers are the top favorite at 35%. They have the probability of the Brewers advancing to the NLCS at 46%. It’s interesting that that probability of 6% is the same as the probability that 538 gave to the Brewers failing to win the division in mid August when they led the Reds by 7 games. Fangraphs is a little more bullish on the Brewers at 9.5% probability of winning the WS and 51.3% of advancing to the NLCS.
  14. BruisedCrew
    I wasn’t planning to get NLCS tickets because my daughters can only go to weekend games and we don’t know what games the Brewers might be hosting. But, I did log in at 10 AM and the availability seemed to be similar to the NLDS. I ended up buying 4 for the Brewers 4th home game because the only way that game would be played would be a Game 7 against the Dodgers, and that would be on a Sunday. If that game is played I should be able to find someone willing to go.
  15. BruisedCrew
    I literally dozed off during the pitching change and missed the game winner.
  16. BruisedCrew
    I really don’t get swinging 3-0 for the lead off hitter in a game like this.
  17. BruisedCrew
    1-1 game with only 10 hits through 8 innings and it is past the 3 1/2 hour mark.
  18. BruisedCrew
    I’m pretty sure that is an appeal play, just like a runner missing a base while advancing around the bases.
  19. BruisedCrew
    I see they just put one up for the replay on the pitch to Bader.
  20. BruisedCrew
    Is this an MLB mandate or a TBS decision not to have a strike zone box?
  21. BruisedCrew
    Billy McKinney in.
  22. BruisedCrew
    But Cardinals Devil Magic is still kicking. A tailor made DP from Grand Slam Turner. If a Cardinal had hit that it would have hit the bag and scored two runs.
  23. BruisedCrew
    Given how many Brewers hitters were slumping over the last 3 weeks of the season, I wonder if Counsell might pull any surprises in game 1 to try to find a spark. One possibility would be to start Pina over Narvaez to take advantage of his better defense and because Pina has been hitting while Narvaez’s second half slump got even worse in September. I don’t expect it, but it wouldn’t shock me considering how Counsell turned to Kratts in 2018.
  24. BruisedCrew
    Not a surprise, but all bets are off in an elimination game. I would bet that Counsell would absolutely bring in Hader in the 8th inning of an elimination game if the situation warranted. Saying in advance that he would do it would hint at a lack of confidence in the other relievers. But, with a one run lead and two outs in the 8th inning of game 5 and Freddie Freeman at the plate I would expect Hader to get a call.
  25. BruisedCrew
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