Weren't you the same one who was giving the Cardinals a fighter's chance to win the division at this time last week? We're probably talking about very similar odds here. Yes, and I think the Cardinals fighting chance, as slim as it was, was better than the Phillies fighting chance is now because of the schedules involved and the fact that the Cardinals were on a blistering hot streak that didn’t end until their playoff position was cemented. Outside of what the Cardinals could control themselves by beating the Brewers head to head and winning their own games against the hapless Cubs, they needed the Brewers to lose 3 of 6 to the Mets and Dodgers. Outside of what the Phillies can control by winning their own games, they need the Braves to lose 4 of 4 to the Mets and Rockies. That is obviously a lot less likely. That’s beside the fact that everyone’s attitude about a situation is affected by their emotional investment in it. If I were a Braves fan I would be feeling really good about their situation, but withholding the celebration until they mathematically clinched, just like I did with the Brewers. The real incongruity is anyone who thought the NL Central race was over in mid August thinking that the Phillies have hope now.