BruisedCrew
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Not that it really matters, because each year’s team is different, but the Brewers weren’t a second half team two years ago. At the break they were 10 games over .500 and had a 5.5 game lead in the division. But they collapsed right after, fell all the way to .500, and rebounded enough to get close to the second wild card spot. And this year’s team isn’t going to be rescued by anyone in their minor league system or one or two of the types of bullpen arms that would be available.
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Or maybe, just maybe, he's a better talent evaluator than you are in your living room and realized that they didn't have the horses to win regardless of what minor crap deals they might have been able to pull off last week? This is what I think. When you have weaknesses in all phases of the game you aren’t going to fix them with just one or two deals.
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Sorry to be so pessimistic.
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Won’t happen. They’re already concerned about how many innings he’s pitched, so they’re giving him this break and setting him up to start in series against the Cubs and Cardinals. Warming up and pitching an inning in the AS game, and again 3 days later isn’t in the plan.
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18 innings, anyone?
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Another home loss to a cellar dweller and Hader is done for the weekend. Awesome.
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Still good enough to beat the sinking Brewers.
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His slump from before the break is continuing. His two K’s tonight were especially bad as he’s been missing hanging breaking balls.
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Wait, so you're not only not going to credit the HRs that Grandal hits to his OBP, you're actually going to penalize him for it? Yelich's OBP would drop to .227 if you do that with his HRs. That's how little sense that makes to do that. Cain has 4 HRs leading off this year, shouldn't you do the same with his OBP then? If you read the whole thread I was responding to a comment about getting on base for Yelich. HRs don’t put a man on base for Yelich. And, yes, I mentioned Cain’s 1 HR that he’s hit since June 1. Right now I’d rather have Cain batting first than Grandal, who hasn’t been that successful as a leadoff hitter.
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Why not? Do you dislike men on in front of Yelich? Grandal has not really been successful at getting on base in front of Yelich. As a leadoff hitter his OBP is .333 (16/48) but since 3 of his hits have been HRs they don’t give Yelich anyone to drive in. His effective OBP in terms of putting someone on base for Yelich is just 13/48, or .271. Even a slumping Cain gets on base in front of Yelich as often than that. Since June 1 Cain’s OBP has been .310 with just one HR. I’d rather have Grandal batting behind Yelich where he might be able to drive Yelich in and leave Cain (who rarely homers) in front of Yelich.
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It is possible to have hope while paying attention to what is happening. And one thing that has been happening is the Brewers losing a lot of games started by mediocre opposing pitchers. Part of the reason for that is that the Brewers throw mediocre pitchers out there themselves more often than not. When I think of favorable pitching matchups I think of one team having a clearly better starting pitcher than the opponent. I don’t see that in any of the next 4 games. I don’t see how Anderson vs Anderson is a favorable matchup when their records are so similar. Or how Bumgarner vs Davies is a favorable matchup in light of how Davies has pitched lately and how the Brewers typically do against lefties. Or how Chacín vs anyone is a favorable matchup given how Chacín has pitched this season. Lefty Fried vs Hauser, who has not done well as a starter, is not a favorable pitching matchup. The Brewers should be able to win a home series against the last place Giants, but I thought that against the Marlins and Mariners too. It’s time for the Brewers to give some cause for optimism other than blind hope.
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The opponents get some favorable matchups the next four games too. No Woodruff and the Brewers have had trouble scoring against just about everyone.
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I think this is a big series for the Brewers. By any objective measure that factors in the teams hey played, the Brewers have stunk things up for the last six weeks or so. Hopefully they will come out of the break and pick up some series wins. They have four of the next five series at home and then the schedule gets a lot tougher.
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I say out. Too many holes in all phases and I don’t expect significant moves to fill them. I also think it’s win the division or nothing. The Central doesn’t have weak teams to help pile up wins, so I think the Phillies, Nationals (who are nothing like the team the Brewers played in May), and Rockies have the edge there. During the break I have been thinking that, unless the Brewers can stop the slide they have been on, this is shaping up as possibly the most disappointing season in their 50 year history. I thought coming into the season they had enough to win the 90 games it usually takes to make the playoffs. Now it looks like 90 wins is unobtainable and the playoff chances are hinging on having a division race where nobody pulls away and 85-86 wins takes it.
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The Brewers are the albatross of the All Star Game. They switched leagues right about the time the power switched from the NL to the AL. I haven’t counted it up, but I think the record of the Brewers league is about 9-40-1.
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I used to enjoy All Star Games many years ago, but now I just can’t get interested in it. The best thing I can say about it is that, of the four major sports, it is the only All Star Game that is actually played like a real game. Back in the late 50’s when my first memories of baseball took place, the All Star Game and the World Series were the only games televised in Milwaukee. The Braves waded slowly into televising a few games a year. So, the All Star Game was the only opportunity to see most of the best players in the game, especially the American Leaguers. And the top stars often played the whole game. But now, as players skip the game, and managers try to get just about everyone on the growing rosters into the game, it is more of a hodgepodge exhibition of players we see on TV all the time anyway. For many of them their status as All Stars is pretty slim. Plus, as teams throw out a succession of pitchers, including a lot of closers, there often isn’t enough hitting to keep the games interesting. I will probably have the game on and hope the Brewer players do something (and don’t get hurt), but otherwise it’s hard for me to pay much attention to it.
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I will say that I saw this play live and haven’t tried to do any frame by frame analysis. My reaction at the time was that Lucroy was starting to block the plate and the way he moved his glove made it look for a split second like he was going to cross the baseline to take the throw. Unfortunately, the runner made his decision to go to the inside just as Lucroy pulled the ball in and moved to the inside himself. At that point the collision was unavoidable. I really don’t think it was the runner’s intention to bowl over Lucroy, or that he is lying about what he saw and thought. But that’s just my opinion.
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2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
BruisedCrew replied to Eye Black's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Losing so many games against teams with losing records is bad baseball not bad luck. Anyone who has watched the Brewers play knows they have played poorly for the better part of 6 weeks. Advanced stats showing that the Brewers may have been closer to mediocre than terrible isn’t much consolation for a team that is supposed to be a playoff contender. -
It wasn’t QUITE that bad because the Brewers have not been more than 10 games over .500 and now they’re 3 over. They actually finished 8-15. I think it feels worse though because all 23 of those games were against teams with losing records, and the Brewers lost the first two games of so many series that some of the wins felt like a consolation prize for a crappy series. Several of the losses were embarrassing blowouts, while almost every win was a grind it out, hang on for dear life affair. Not to mention that, aside from the wins and losses, they played like a team that will be fortunate to finish at .500; the hitting, starting pitching, relief pitching, and defense have all been below the standard of a playoff contender.
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How many of those games featured Thames in RF and Saladino at SS? I’ll bet Braun played in most of them (including the one where he had 6 hits). But, you’re probably right. Sitting Yelich by itself isn’t waving the white flag. On the other hand, Anderson starting with no Hader available sounds like a likely loss. Brewers haven’t won many in the last month without 2 innings from Hader. I’ll be out at a family outing so probably won’t have to watch any of what I expect to be a loss of the 7-1 variety. Brewers hitters will be doing everything they can to get to the break.
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Hiura’s strikeout problems are costly again.
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Well, they are resting Yelich. More important to have him ready for the HR Derby than do everything possible to beat a division rival that is breathing down their necks. How long will it take for Thames in right field to prove costly?
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The good news. By pulling out the “Salvage Game” yesterday, the Brewers won’t go into the break with a 6 game losing streak.
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Got home from dinner hoping to see that the Brewers game had been called and been rescheduled for some time in the future when the Brewers might not be in the crapper like they are now. No such luck. Just another game effectively over in the first inning.