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BruisedCrew

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Everything posted by BruisedCrew

  1. BruisedCrew
    There is an “Other Sports” forum on this board where people can (and do) discuss the Packers. (Posted this reply while scrolling and didn’t see that others had pointed this out).
  2. BruisedCrew
    There’s a reason to be tagging, but not running.
  3. BruisedCrew
    Great way to end the game.
  4. BruisedCrew
    Contreras had a brief resurgence but he’s back in the doldrums. 0 for the week with a lot of K’s.
  5. BruisedCrew
    Phillies already up 6-0 on the Marlins. Like the Cubs playoff hopes, the Brewers hopes for getting a bye are looking pretty slim with the schedule they have coming up.
  6. BruisedCrew
    They both have an uphill fight to catch both the Mets and Braves.
  7. BruisedCrew
    Cubs lose to Yankees 3-0. The Cubs playoff hopes have hit a snag the last few days as the Mets hot streak has put both the Mets and Braves 4.5 games ahead.in the race for the last wild card spot. The Cardinals can move into a tie with the Cubs for second in the division with a win tonight.
  8. BruisedCrew
    I was looking at Fangraphs which is what I seem to see cited here most often. It isn’t that I “don’t like” projection systems, but I don’t like it when they are treated as if they are mathematically proveable probabilities instead of the compilation of estimates that they are. Any system that projects the Brewers as the team most likely to win the World Series is inherently suspect given that the Brewers are likely to have an extra round to win than 4 other teams will have.
  9. BruisedCrew
    I only mentioned the position players because you cited the 14 run game.as recent evidence of the Brewers offense. I fully understand that those games are blips in the context of the season. There have been several treatises written here telling me how wrong I am and restating the obvious about how baseball works. If you think my opinion about the Brewers offense is based just on the last 2 games you are missing the point. My broader point is that playoff baseball can be a lot different than regular season baseball, and a team like the Brewers with so many inexperienced players is not, in my opinion, well suited for playoff baseball when the teams with more experience will really be bearing down. Let me ask this. People,like to cite the Fangraphs projections on things like probability of making the playoffs. Why do the Brewers have a lower projected percentage for winning the World Series than teams like the Padres and Diamondbacks that have lower probabilities of making the playoffs in the first place? It must be that the projections view the Brewers as a weaker team than some others that they would be facing in the playoffs.
  10. BruisedCrew
    Not sure who said the sky is falling over the last two games. The concern is whether the offense is likely to produce against the best pitchers on a playoff team. Scoring 10 runs in the ninth inning against a bottom of the bullpen pitcher and a catcher are not very relevant to that.
  11. BruisedCrew
    https://www.mlb.com/news/brewers-lose-rubber-game-against-cardinals If Murphy posted here he would be blasted not just for his personnel moves but for being too pessimistic.
  12. BruisedCrew
    Might have realized the Brewers were never going to score and decided to pull,the plug.
  13. BruisedCrew
    Since Sunday the Brewers have had 6 innings with a free runner on second and have scored one run to pick up 3 losses that put a dent in their hopes of earning a bye. I have very little confidence that this offense is going to produce against the best pitchers on playoff teams. Lost 5 of the last 7 against the Cardinals who I’ve heard all season are a terrible team.
  14. BruisedCrew
    Don’t want to see extra innings. The Brewers offense starting with the free runner on second has left something to be desired lately.
  15. BruisedCrew
    They cut it to 3.
  16. BruisedCrew
    So far this game has the feel of the Brewers going through the motions to get to the off day.
  17. BruisedCrew
    There wasn’t even a judgment aspect to that play. By the clear definition of a “catch” in the rules, that wasn’t one.
  18. BruisedCrew
    If they call this a catch it’s a bastardation of the rules.
  19. BruisedCrew
    If Contreras tries to bunt you might hear me screaming if you’re within 50:miles from here.
  20. BruisedCrew
    Skenes may be wearing down, or maybe the Cubs are learning something about him as they face him for the 4th time. Last week the Cubs made him work to get through 5 innings with 80 some pitches. They only scored 3 runs against Skenes but exploded against the bullpen in the last 3 innings. Tonight Skenes has managed to get through 3 scoreless innings, but he’s thrown 77 pitches while surrendering 4 hits and 4 walks. I wouldn’t think the Bucs would want him to labor much longer.
  21. BruisedCrew
    I think I predicted something like 78, which was right in line with the projections on sites like Fangraphs.
  22. BruisedCrew
    Two freaking playoff games would be two more than the 78 and 79 Brewers got for winning 93 and 95 games. They aren’t going to cut down on the number of playoff teams, shorten the season, or have the playoffs run deep into November. So, at some point the only solution is to win playoff games.
  23. BruisedCrew
    That does matter in the wild card race.
  24. BruisedCrew
    That’s a given.
  25. BruisedCrew
    Time to start rooting for the Mets and Braves to start winning games to keep the Cubs from moving up to the last Wild card spot.
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