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Brewer Fanatic

Frisbee Slider

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Everything posted by Frisbee Slider

  1. Bregman is less valuable than Kyle Tucker. $35 million per season is a lot for an aging third baseman. Arenado’s performance declined at age 32. Bregman turns 32 in March.
  2. Is the Matt Shaw era over? Kyle Tucker provides more WAR than Bregman. I don’t mind Chicago paying $35 million per season for the twilight of Bregman’s career.
  3. Contreras had 3.7 bWAR in 2023 and 4.9 bWAR in 2024. If he somehow managed 6+ WAR in 2025, the $12 million option likely makes good sense. In any case, Milwaukee simply declined the option. Little harm done.
  4. I wonder how Contreras’ arbitration ask compares to the $12 million option.
  5. I nominate Hernán Iribarren for second baseman. Otherwise, a fun piece to read!
  6. I think they do keep Freddy. He seems to like being in Milwaukee just like Adames, who also was not traded. Burnes burned bridges during arbitration and likely didn’t have goodwill with the organization. Closers are almost always replaceable.
  7. Elbow concerns and career FIP of 4.45. 🤷‍♂️
  8. Is betonline.ag a credible source of information?
  9. Garrett Mitchell had 124 OPS+ over 224 PA in 2024. If he gets injured again, Milwaukee could conceivably trade for a replacement midseason. Joey Ortiz could regain his 102 OPS+ from 2024. We have a ton of SS in the pipeline. Not sure who the Brewers would obviously replace from their 97 win roster that wouldn’t block a top prospect in another year or two.
  10. Signing expensive or moderately priced free agents has rarely worked out well for Milwaukee the past 25 years. We have so many shortstops coming up in the system. I suppose if we could get a stud outfielder via trade, that would be nice.
  11. I think Milwaukee runs it back in 2026 with similar roster, presumably greater health and development from our pre-arbitration players.
  12. Freddy has been a very good, reliable pitcher for several years. That said, he will almost certainly regress over the next few years. Plus, I find it difficult to believe that starting pitchers can stay healthy for so many years in a row. Even if we assume Peralta will continue being five wins above replacement level, we have so many pitchers making near league minimum that can likely be two or three wins above replacement level that it doesn’t make sense to spend over 20% of our payroll on an aging starting pitcher. Especially since he Is not an ace. 🙂
  13. I’m sure Cubs fans will appreciate their disciplined approach to the offseason. 🙂
  14. The Brewers extended Ashby because they really like him and have him at a controllable price. Shocked if they trade him. Plus, we need him to be our opener 75 times this season.
  15. It is a near certainty that Milwaukee will have received the best years of Peralta’s career. Freddy could make another team happy while receiving a $100+ million contract. Brewers were the best regular season team last season. It simply isn’t wise to pay an aging Peralta for several more years. Plus, we don’t need to keep Peralta in 2027 to likely win the division.
  16. Milwaukee should still be the favorite win the division. It will be interesting to see how national media determines the Cubs will overtake the Brewers.
  17. This data makes me not want to spend meaningful money in free agency.
  18. Asset values are subjective. Unless you believe in stats and projections. Directionally, I think the lists are pretty fair.
  19. Just friendly Joey Ortiz had a difficult year at the plate banter. 🙂 I would put Ashby, Henderson and Vaughn ahead of Ortiz. Other than that, it’s probably fair.
  20. Does someone tell him Joey Ortiz on the top 15 list is a typo? 🙂
  21. I was just going to ask for players with options for greater roster flexibility. Your list is better 🙂
  22. Trending toward being the best 83 win team in baseball. 🙂
  23. I agree that thumbs down without explanation is irritating.
  24. Baseball Trade Values has Brandon Woodruff with field value of 24.8. However, his $22 million salary put his surplus value at just 2.7. (Grain of salt) i’m not sure if the site takes to consideration that Woodruff cannot be traded until the middle of June. They also might ding him for injury risk too.
  25. Sal lifts weights in the offseason, so we know his exit velocity will be higher in 2026.
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