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Brewer Fanatic

Frisbee Slider

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Everything posted by Frisbee Slider

  1. I am skeptical that whoever is responsible for leasing Brewers suites at major corporations are worried about who the left fielder is. I assume corporations are worried about return on investment. In other words, is bringing clients to baseball games resulting in additional business? Certainly, the team must produce a winning and enjoyable product but that doesn’t necessarily mean we are obligated to extend aging veterans deep into their 30s. Corporations probably did not regret missing out on Wily Adames during our 97 win season last year. If new players continue to win games, then the new players become stars, too.
  2. This never would’ve happened if Team USA would’ve just ‘gone for it’ and acquired Eugenio Suarez last summer.
  3. That’s fair. It seems rare for nine figure bets on aging players in their 30’s to pay off like we expect, though. The better play seems to be having a reliable stream of prospects to replace the 30 year olds.
  4. The highest season BABIP in Brewers franchise history belongs to Jose Hernandez with .405 in 2002. The runner up is Keston Hiura with .402 during his rookie season. Both sadly seem like luck to me. For reference, the highest season BABIP in MLB over the past sixty years is .411 (Naquin, Kemp and Colabello). Minimum: 300 plate appearances
  5. Brewers offense had second highest BABIP in MLB last season at .305. Only Boston was higher with .307. I assume Fenway Park is favorable to BABIP. Milwaukee pitching allowed a BABIP of .280 last season, 6th lowest in MLB. For comparison, the Cubs allowed only a .273 BABIP. I appreciate that good defense plays a role in lowering BABIP.
  6. Yelich had just the massive 2020 extension with Milwaukee. The Brewers bought out Braun’s arbitration years plus a little bit of free agency in 2008. My broader point is extending players meaningfully beyond arbitration years rarely seems to work well.
  7. I think the morale of the story is we should not extend players because we likely would just have Yelich or Braun 2.0 when their performance declines with age and injuries.
  8. Was an announcement made that Lockridge will be on the opening day roster? Lastly, is Garrett Mitchell a lock to break camp with Milwaukee? I have a sneaking feeling that Jake Bauers will have more time in left field than Yelich this season
  9. In honor of Saint Patrick's day, I thought it would be fun and appropriate to reflect on the role of luck in baseball. How can luck be meaningfully quantified? BABIP, HR / flyballs, xwOBA? Are the Brewers more lucky than other teams? Is luck just short-term randomness associated with positive outcomes? Or, are certain players prone to good luck? A bonus thought, here is my favorite lucky play of all-time.
  10. Did the Pirates and Cardinals really merit to leap frog Milwaukee in terms of best farm systems according to Baseball America's 2026 preseason rankings? Released back in February.
  11. Surprised somewhat by Jett. I’m sure we’ll see him soon enough. Nowhere to put him yet in Milwaukee.
  12. I can’t think of any reason why the temperature would decline after last season.
  13. You can lose your role to injury or Uribe simply being the more effective reliever. Both 3.2 WAR players since 2023, interestingly.
  14. Could be interesting to see if any other MLB team ‘buys high’ on Tyler Black if he maintains a hot pace and offers a trade.
  15. I liked Spencer Jones before he had a good week of spring training. I assume we have enough position depth to not need to acquire someone else at this point, but wouldn’t this type of three true outcomes player be fun? New batting stance. An interesting contrast to the rest of the Milwaukee lineup. So far this spring, Jones is 2 for 6 with the pair of homers, four strikeouts and a walk (Baseball America newsletter)
  16. Carlos Gomez, one of the good ones 🙂
  17. With the exception of a bad 14.1 IP in 2024, Uribe has consistently dominated since 2022. Megill could regress due to injury, age and randomness. I think it is probably difficult remaining a consistent pitcher when you are 6’8’ tall. Milwaukee has a lot of out getters and if another team wants to overpay for a ‘proven closer’ 🤷‍♂️
  18. Brewers win the Cortes trade
  19. We may have achieved enough Brock Wilken (unfounded?) pessimism to ensure he has a breakout season this year 🙂
  20. Badoo, Lockridge and Wilken atop our HR leaderboard.
  21. Minor league deal, a precipitous decline in value
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