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CheeseheadInQC

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Everything posted by CheeseheadInQC

  1. In Fangraphs’ defense: 1. They say that their model mostly sticks with the preseason projections because they have found historically it has been more accurate than adjusting heavily for season performance. 2. They fully acknowledge that the Brewers are an outlier that confounds their model year after year.
  2. I could be wrong, but I thought it came back in a limited form in the last CBA.
  3. I think draft and follow does technically exist but only for players who choose to go the JUCO route. I don’t know if it has been used since it was brought back, though.
  4. The Brewers have had seven teenage prospects have low-A seasons with at least 200 plate appearances and a wRC+ of 120 or more since 2021. That includes Chourio, Adams, Pratt, Made and Pena. One of the two recent additions, Handelfry Encarnacion, didn’t even get a vote here. Neither, unless I missed something, did any of the DSL breakouts. Kind of amazing (the depth, not the voters excluding them).
  5. I might end up disappointed, and I hate that I am using betting parlance, but it really feels like the over-under is 18.5 signing.
  6. There is no Made or Pena relative to the rest of the league, but the only first-year guys across the league who are on that level statistically this year are carrying 29+% walk rates. When you strip out some of the walk wackiness, you could make a statistical case for Matos as a top 5 bat, but the rest aren’t there. This year’s group is really impressive in the aggregate, especially when it comes to power. The five best multi-team organizations in the DSL as far as offensive production this season are the Yankees, Rangers, Brewers, Guardians and Rockies. The Rangers, Yankees and Rockies get a high percentage of the production from returning players. The Guardians are young like the Brewers, but their youngsters are more OBP machines. The Brewers have six 17-younger qualified hitters with a .200+ ISO. Those other four teams have two combined.
  7. I tried to use Google’s AI to find out the most high school picks signed in the 20-round era. I must say, AI is becoming very human-like. It was both very confident and very wrong at the same time.
  8. That is how you get a 1.000 OPS with only 5 extra base hits.
  9. I am beginning to wonder if we should be paying more attention to Enrique Lovera. The fact they have him leading off in that lineup does convey a sense of confidence from the organization.
  10. What do you think the odds are of the opening day infield for Wilson next season including 3 18-under players ( Ebel and two of the current DSLers)?
  11. In his Fangraphs chat yesterday, Brendan Gawlowski said that Josh Knoth was likely to fall just short of their top 100 list when it is updated.
  12. Hopefully the reason is they need the spots because almost all of the draft picks are going to sign.
  13. Assuming Wood doesn’t get taken Rule 5 ( and Quero is in Milwaukee), Wood, Dinges, Mills, Garcia, Salazar is a solid starting contingent (Mills has quietly been hitting really well lately). I think they are going to hit the minor league free agent pool hard for backups at the upper levels, though.
  14. It’s so tough to tell with 11-20 guys on signability. For instance, on paper Sam George should be the third easiest signing, D-2 college pitcher. But I know from experience there are a lot of passionate Iowa fans in his hometown, and if he is one of them, the fact he is transferring there could make a difference.
  15. Cool, Sam George is from my neck of the woods, kind of.
  16. Think he switched to Minnesota. Not sure if that makes him more or less likely to sign.
  17. It will, as always, be interesting to see which of these prep players in the 11-20 picks sign.
  18. Really nice low-A debut from Mayorquin.
  19. Did the Brewers just draft a senior sign infielder as a pitcher or am I looking at the wrong player page?
  20. MLB.com’s draft tracker initially listed Hill’s position as —. That’s a new one.
  21. I could see at least one of them taking Encarnacion’s place in Wilson if he gets promoted. The K rates on Antunez and Fenelon are such they might want to keep them in the bridge league.
  22. I was joking, but legitimately surprised that they haven’t taken a pitcher yet.
  23. I don’t know that Ebel would have lasted much longer because hit over power types were generally going higher than expected while the raw power with hit tool risk fell a bit.
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