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CheeseheadInQC

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Everything posted by CheeseheadInQC

  1. CheeseheadInQC
    Does this mean I have to retire my Angels draft jokes? Grindlinger doesn’t fit the pattern.
  2. CheeseheadInQC
    Hit tool getting valued big time by the looks of it.
  3. CheeseheadInQC
    I was wondering if it was going to get weird. Everyone seemed to think the draft flattened out after the first few picks, so it might be a case of let’s make a deal.
  4. CheeseheadInQC
    I don’t know if I see a hitter falling who they might pay slot for this year. That means likely either slot pitcher or under slot hitter. While it seems like pitching will be BPA, I have a feeling they do the hitter in the first then mostly pitchers after that strategy.
  5. CheeseheadInQC
    Man, my picks this year have mostly not gone great (although I think Ortuno has quietly been one of the top 20 or so performers from his signing class league-wide). Ones from past years have been a bit better (Fitzpatrick before the injury, Torres seems to be breaking out, Daniel Corniel hasn’t been solid since he got back, Juan Martinez, Tyler Rodriguez, even Alastre hasn’t been bad given age and level). Hopefully I was just a year or two early with this group.
  6. CheeseheadInQC
    Torres’ last 4 starts: 25 2/3 innings, 2 earned runs, 29 strikeouts, 1 walk.
  7. CheeseheadInQC
    I would guess Moneys, Matos or DeBerry, in that order.
  8. CheeseheadInQC
    They might not top prospect lists, but Hall and Castillo have both had success this year, and Tyler Rodriguez has been really good since joining the Timber Rattlers.
  9. CheeseheadInQC
    Do you think the issues with DSL pitching and walks this year are just a weak (or really raw) group of pitchers, or a culmination of the emphasis on swing decisions laying waste to the old “you can’t walk off the island” stereotype and thereby bringing control problems that were always there to the forefront? And if it is the latter, do you think it will be an issue going forward?
  10. CheeseheadInQC
    Nice to see Sarmiento have a really good outing. He seemed like a possibility to come stateside based on peripherals last season, but this year has been a little rougher.
  11. CheeseheadInQC
    Fun with numbers on the DSL bats: - The Brewers have 12 newcomers with at least 50 plate appearances so far. All 12 have a 100+ wRC+. - 10 of those 12 have a K rate below 20%. - 11 of the 12 have an ISO of at least .1. You can increase that to .14 and still have 9. - Jose Rodriguez is a big money signing putting up an .866 OPS, 115 wRC+ with a Jadher Areinamo-esque spray line drives to all fields batted ball profile who had a great defensive reputation upon signing. And he is mostly being overlooked. - Across the DSL, there are 56 17-under hitters with 50 plate appearances, a sub-20% K rate, a 10%+ walk rate, a .100+ ISO and a 100+ wRC+. So less than 2 per MLB team. The Brewers have nine of them.
  12. CheeseheadInQC
    I was trying to find a minor league comp for a college pick who both struck out a ton and was really successful in their first full season. I think the closest I could find in the last decade-plus was Jud Fabian, but he was never this successful. Fischer is fascinating both because most guys who strike out 1/3 of the time don’t have this much success and because unlike someone like LaViolette, this wasn’t really expected based upon his college play. That at least raises the hope there are adjustments to be made if the power can’t compensate for the k-rate once he hits the big leagues.
  13. CheeseheadInQC
    I saw a decent chunk of Low’s walks last month in person, and, well, I have seen a lot of meltdowns at Modern Woodmen Park over the last two decades, and that felt different than most. To start with, I didn’t feel persistent pity for the catcher.
  14. CheeseheadInQC
    Well, the jump to AA certainly hasn’t sapped Fischer’s power. Two tonight for 26 so far this season.
  15. CheeseheadInQC
    Agreed, especially when one of the hotter hitters lately for them is a still 16-year-old catcher who has already drawn praise for his defense.
  16. CheeseheadInQC
    The DSL is crazy this year even by DSL standards. It’s insane that Gold at one point today had its entire lineup over an .800 OPS but only ranked 15th in OPS league-wide coming into today.
  17. CheeseheadInQC
    I am not sure about park factors, but the Brewers seem to be average relative to their leagues in slugging at the full season level with one team each in the way above average, above average, below average and way below average quadrants (Wisconsin, Biloxi, Nashville and Wilson, respectively). They are pretty far above average in the complex leagues.
  18. CheeseheadInQC
    2022 deserves a bit of an asterisk. Brown might have been the first round pick but he was not the highest bonus pick. That guy turned out to be pretty good.
  19. CheeseheadInQC
    Are there many period? I skimmed the active WAR leaderboard, and unless I missed someone, once you get past the Trout/Judge/Ramirez/Altuve quartet, I think the next highest single-team player is Aaron Nola. And I am not 100% convinced Trout remains an Angel his whole career.
  20. CheeseheadInQC
    Adding Knoth and Dubanewicz has really helped stabilize the Rattlers’ pitching staff.
  21. CheeseheadInQC
    Lara and Quero with big nights, ton of hits for Biloxi, Owens dominating for Wisconsin, Wilson scoring 15 runs with Ebel ant the forefront, and Martinez with a walk off? Quite the night.
  22. CheeseheadInQC
    I am surprised Xavier Edwards isn’t a better comp, although I guess his ISO spiked a bit once he reached AAA.
  23. CheeseheadInQC
    As good as they have been, there does need to be a caveat: the pitching in the DSL is seen as really bad this year. League-wide, walks are up a ton with the average OBP above .400. The average OPS is up about 60 points over last year and 80 points over the Pena/Made year. Moneys had an .880 OPS and a sub 100 wRC+ on Fangraphs.
  24. CheeseheadInQC
    Through three innings, I thought the River Bandits were going to take it. Dubanewicz was getting ugly swings but also some hard contact. Then the flood gates just opened. He still looked really good, though. Sat 93-94 pretty much the whole time, and did get those aforementioned ugly swings. Other thoughts: I was watching the game closely and still couldn’t track Dinges’ home run. I quoted the Bull Durham line to my dad after that one. Low’s outing wasn’t like the one Yerlin Rodriguez meltdown I saw live. He seemed to be constantly around the zone, just struggled to be inside it. And they couldn’t really touch him when he found the zone. As impressive as you can get for a four walk, two inning outing, but it was still a four walk outing. Fowler also lost the zone in the ninth, but they didn’t really get much hard contact off him either. Bitonti struck out twice but had a couple of nice pieces of hitting as well. Biggest applause of the game came in the ninth when the River Bandits’ position player who came in to pitch went from throwing 46 mph to cranking an 84 mph fastball.
  25. CheeseheadInQC
    It will be interesting to see the organization’s pecking order (if they choose to protect any) among the AAA pitchers. If they think Kuehner’s stuff plays up in relief, I could see him over Holub, Childers or Manfredi. Also, while I am not predicting this, if the control suddenly clicks into place for Birchard, he becomes an interesting dilemma as well.
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