CheeseheadInQC

I mean, you are ignoring the whole dealing with a wrist injury basically all year in 2024 thing.

If the Yankees went Rodriguez-Cruz and Kilby, that would be amazing. Doubt they will, though. I think if it is the Yankees, Rodriguez-Cruz would be the guy they push for. I don’t know what the rest of the package would look like, but once you get past Lombard, Kilby and Jones, I don’t know they have much on the position player side after the Weathers deal. Maybe a DSLer like Richard Matic or something.

I doubt he makes it, but since given his rise this year it is conceivable, how would they justify keeping Bonds and Clemens out if Pettitte ends up getting elected next year?

Just got caught up on these. Great job as usual. I feel like at this point, I almost have more follow up questions than regular ones. I guess for Biloxi, my question would be, was there some noticeable improvement from Matt Wood beyond the surface-level stats? I think the fact he was never really impressive when the T-Rats came to town has me a bit more skeptical of his Biloxi numbers than I otherwise would be.

Here's what I've got right now for the hitters: Nashville: C: Wood 1B: Adams 2B: Siegler SS: Pratt 3B: Wilken OF: Lockridge, Baddoo, Berroa DH: Black Bench: R. Rodriguez, Jones, Leonard, Murray, Zamora Thoughts: This could change if with injuries or if one gets DFA'd, but it is tough to envision Lara at AAA right now. It makes no sense to have guys on your 40-man if you don't plan to even give them regular playing time in AAA, especially with the possibility Black gets some outfield reps. Biloxi C: Dinges 1B: Burke 2B: Brown Jr. SS: Made 3B: Garcia OF: Lara, Adamczewski, O'Rae DH: Boeve Bench: Miller, Nava, D. Brown, Vargas Thoughts: I could see Dinges pushed down to high-A in a chain reaction if they sign another catcher (either as a big league backup or as AAAA depth), but for now I have him here. I think they push Adamczewski. Wisconsin: C: D. Garcia 1B: Bitonti 2B: Dickinson SS: Pena 3B: Fischer OF: Ragsdale, Alastre, Nicasia DH: Hall Bench: Diaz, Martinez, Baez, Guilarte, Castillo Thoughts: I think Fischer starts in Wisconsin, but if everything goes according to plan is in Biloxi by the end of May. I had two Wisconsin-Wilson coin flips and ended up with Bitonti as the one I moved up. Wilson C: K. Garcia 1B: Fielder 2B: Ortuno SS. Di Turi 3B: Ebel OF: Payne, Anderson, Encarnacion DH: Ibarguen Bench: Ordonez, Walther, T. Rodriguez, Lameda, Nadal Thoughts: I've got them being a bit less aggressive with Payne. That starting lineup would be classic Brewers A ball lately: seven teens and only one guy who can legally drink. Pitching: I am not going to list everybody, but I've got six-man rotations right now in Nashville (Henderson, Gasser, Myers, C. Rodriguez, Crow, Kuehner) and Biloxi (Hardin, Letson, M. Rodriguez, Wichrowski, DeBerry, Hunt). The most fascinating questions will be who ends up in Wisconsin and who ends up in Wilson given the number of pitchers on that bubble, including a few, like Knoth and Cortez, who didn't pitch last season.

Alexander Cornielle is a Yankee. Daniel Corniel is a Brewer. Also, I think the original poster might have meant Eric Martinez, not Ernesto.

I guess what defines headliner is key. There are trades that would have the headline “Brewers trade Peralta to Yankees for Gil, minor leaguers” that would be fine where Gil is a secondary piece value wise even if he is the “big name.”

My thoughts as I looked through the Padres system: They must be really high on him. I know the system isn’t deep, but what about … oh man those pitching lines are ugly. What about … wait, does that OPS start with a 5? Didn’t they have a hyped Latin American signing … oh wow, that put Antunez and Fenelon’s seasons in perspective. Surely their draft wasn’t only … forgot they didn’t have a second rounder. Well, I guess they like him more than the one reliever.

Maybe I am just lower on Caissie than I should be, but that feels light, even given Cabrera’s risks.

I am weirdly a Domínguez skeptic, even given that I look at age a fair amount for hitters. While they eventually warmed a bit to him, I know Fangraphs was lower than most on him early on because even at 16, he was close to physically maxed out unless, as someone said, he got taller.

In general I agree with you, but Ashby having negative value when similar pitchers are getting $6 million more in free agency over the next two seasons is among the reasons why I just shake my head at some of their evaluations.

Honestly, tied for the fourth best record in the NL is better than they are usually predicted to be.

It’s weird that of the top 4 second basemen in fWAR last season, Turang is the only one who hasn’t been mentioned in trade rumors. That definitely feels light for Chisholm, but if his value was what it should be based on stats, it would make little sense for the Yankees to trade him.

I feel like this should come with a for entertainment purposes only label. If it is anywhere near as bad as Google’s AI when it comes to sports, probably a couple of players no longer on the Brewers. I would guess, given your prompt, it probably either 1. Regurgitated a rumor it found elsewhere or 2. Pulled from the list of MLB players not mentioned (probably shipping Priester back to Boston or something like that). AI is good at certain things. Properly valuing a guy with as much nuance to his profile as Duran and then coming up with matching value on the Brewers doesn’t seem like one of those things.

Looking at the individual ranks for the authors, it really does feel like we have two different sets of criteria being used. One seems to be a more pure trade value chart while the others are more skewed to value to the team in 2026. While some of the other rankings suggest this, really all you have to do is look at the individual rankings for Yelich and Pena. At least one had a top-50 type prospect in the game ranked behind a guy who might be the Brewers' No. 9 starter if they move Ashby to the rotation. And the Yelich disparity is obviously extreme. I think a clearer statement of how the authors understood "asset" would make some of the rankings make more sense.

My instinct is to agree with you, but there haven’t been many good recent comps that I could find, and the ones there are (mostly Paredes and Arozarena at the 2024 deadline) weren’t overwhelming from a prospect perspective. And with Paredes trade 2, you could argue Peralta=Tucker-Cam Smith and the reliever. I feel like there are an absurd range of trade valuations I could see him having. I mean 2024 happened, but if the Red Sox thought it was likely to happen again he wouldn’t be getting shopped.

Yah, the start I saw him, I think he topped out at 88 on the River Bandits’ stadium gun.

Maybe I am too leery of minor league strikeout rates and hyped Yankees prospects, but no thanks on giving up significant value for Jones. You hope you’re getting Joey Gallo 2.0 or Brent Rooker but he can play center. But those are the only two guys to succeed with similar triple-A K rates in the last 20 years, and Gallo was three years younger and Rooker took several years to find his footing. Everyone points to Aaron Judge as a comp, but Judge’s triple-A K-rate was more than 10 points lower at the same age. Chances are he ends up being a less fun version of Keon Broxton.

Out of curiosity, if you included the minor league phase, where would Collins have slotted in?

To be fair on the arbitration argument, part of that is because unless I am mistaken, arbitration relies on precedent. So it isn’t just a one-time charge. While it isn’t as prominent as it used to be, I fully believe there is collusion/pressure between owners when it comes to arbitration.

I can definitely see the rationale in swapping Mears for Zerpa. The difference, though seems a lot less than Collins.

Maybe other moves are coming, but Fangraphs’ roster resource currently projects the Brewers to have 5 40-man outfielders at AAA (and all do have options). That seems excessive.

It looks like a lot of infielders will be seeing outfield time in Biloxi

The good news on Wood is there are a couple of catching prospects available who are generally rated above him. Honestly I think one of the pitchers is more likely to be taken. It will be interesting to see if the Brewers take anyone. I doubt he lasts long enough, but I am stuck on Cameron Cauley.

I kind of wondered if some of the initial reports were “don’t expect more spending” but were interpreted as “Peralta’s getting dealt.”