Jump to content
It's game two! Can the Brewers head to Tampa with a two-game lead? Click here to join the game thread! ×
Brewer Fanatic

Boomer5

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    3,162

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

News

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospects Ranking

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

Milwaukee Brewers Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Boomer5

  1. Boomer5
    Then Santana needs to be moved... Because Braun isnt losing playing time. And Santana deserves to be a starter someone other than Milwaukee... His talent is wasted on the bench. Santana will be traded for pitching help. No one plans to put a 24 year old 870 OPS guy on the bench. I assume they had a a trade ready to go but something must have happened.
  2. Boomer5
    I wonder if something is up. Football is a dying sport and I were him I'd much rather play baseball if that were a realistic option. It wouldn't seem like the Yankees would need a publicity stunt.
  3. Boomer5
    You shouldn't look at WAR/projections as the sole factor in determining a players value. That stat is useless as a stand-alone stat. There's way more to a pitcher than projecting WAR. I know that but it's a starting point. I don't like Cobb because his career high is 179 innings and we have guys like that who can put up 5-6 innings per start with a 4+ FIP.
  4. Boomer5
    If you figure he is a 2-3 WAR pitcher going forward at $4-5M per WAR 3/45 is plenty.
  5. Boomer5
    Baseballs finances are a mess. We have these past their prime guys collecting way too much money relative to performance while we have young stars held back for loopholes and minor leagues making peanuts. That needs to change.
  6. Boomer5
    I'm all for sanity in salaries to help keep ticket prices in check and for teams to not carry dead money on the back of idiotic FA deals. But I also think teams should not play games with the 6 year clock like we did with JJ and Davies.
  7. Boomer5
    Phillips is a major league player at this point. Dubon over Hiura? Uh ok....
  8. Boomer5
    Teams all have the same data these days. They know that only foolish teams sign 5 year deals to FA over 30 unless they are incredibly unique and the $8M per WAR model is really about half that. The problem for the players is they need to become FA earlier than 6 years so they can cash in on their prime years.
  9. Boomer5
    I do think Stearns has tried to find a catcher but as been pointed out there aren't many out there I definitely think if he could renegotiate the Cain deal he would.
  10. Boomer5
    They have a number of guys who logic would suggest will be regression candidates and they haven't yet addressed the pitching. They can't play 5 OFers so their overal hitting talent doesn't count because you can't field a real team with the way the roster sits right now. The off-season isn't over and they will have one TOR addition if not two by the time they report.
  11. Boomer5
    Analytics say not really. Throw in the contract $$$then definitely no.
  12. Boomer5
    Why in the world would the Brewers give up a 24 year old 3 WAR player for an expensive broken down 2B and an always injured pitcher? Let alone add more to the deal? Kipnis has had 4 3.9WAR or higher seasons in last 6 years. Salazar has had a 2.9 and 3.3 2 of last 3years. Put their 2015 WAR together and it was 7.8. Cleveland is logjammed at SP and we are with OF. You can also add Kipnis has 2 years remaining not picking up his 3rd year option as Hiura at that time should be locked in to a 2b roster deserving spot(we hope) IF the deal went down as suggested above for Santana and spare pieces, you have the potential on the two for 2 years and at the same time in 2 years you've now kept Burnes, Peralta, Ponce, Hiura, and Lutz who should become positive producers for us. It's a perfect bridge the gap with upside. Yuck. Kippnis is owed $30 M and had a 0.4 WAR. He is a negative to any team at this point in career. Salazar has incredible stuff but he is fragile and is coming off a 1.3 WAR year in 2017. Together they aren't worth a 24 year old OF that put up Santana's numbers. That said, when you are going for it, I guess the Brewers FO can justify anything.
  13. Boomer5
    I think you may need a general reset of expectations when it comes to mlb catchers. Pina was in the top 1/3 of catchers in OPS in 2017 with 751. Also Pina was top 10 in batting average. Defensively, he was top 1/3 in CS% and allowed only 4 PB in over 100 games...a very reasonable rate. I hate using WAR, but add to this that his WAR was roughly top 1/3...and it appears we have a slightly above average catcher. Pina absolutely is a regression candidate, it would be reasonable to find another solid catcher to pair with him. We have 2 guys that could be very solid backups in Vogt and Bandy...I don't see a reason to spend much on an alternative to those 2 guys. As far as catchers and batting stats, the average catching line based on minimum 100 AB was 244/311/399. Pina posted 279/327/424, Vogt 254/281/508, Bandy 207/287/349. Bandy was also much better before falling off a cliff. Brewers compared fairly well to the average MLB catcher and generally you shouldn't expect 800+ ops guys as your catcher. There weren't all that many, and a majority that did only had 200-300 AB...so smaller sample. I agree completely that Pina was spectacular by MLB catcher standards in 2017. My issue is he will be 31 in June and quite literally did nothing except last year. That's a lot to expect a repeat performance.
  14. Boomer5
    I don't agree Santana for Salazar is fair because Salazar is not a workhorse TOR guy but I agree this isn't a great line up overall. We really could use Santana's bat.
  15. Boomer5
    Why in the world would the Brewers give up a 24 year old 3 WAR player for an expensive broken down 2B and an always injured pitcher? Let alone add more to the deal?
  16. Boomer5
    Our catchers are pretty bad unless you think Pina is the real deal all of a sudden at his age. There no catchers that matter on our 40 man. The problem is Lucroy isn't really an answer other than his name and familiarity. Our scouts will need to earn their pay checks to find us a catcher.
  17. Boomer5
    Guys from the 2015 draft played plenty in 2017. Hiura should be expected to be in Milwaukee by 2019 most likely though late 2018 is possible. Villar and Sogard are perfectly adequate stop gaps until then.
  18. Boomer5
    Teams have figured out the $8M per WAR model isn't viable. It seems it's a lot closer to $4M per WAR based on recent contracts.
  19. Boomer5
    Frazier is a washed up has been? This the same guy? Go the $8M per War and plug that in to old Vic Tandy Stearns is using. http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=785&position=3B
  20. Boomer5
    Cains contract is already a dinosaur in today's FA market and the ink is barely dry. Yes he is an overpay. I like Cain a lot. He is a really solid pro who does a lot of things to help a team win. But in today's market he is a 3/45 guy (or less based on the shocking Frazier deal), not a 5/80 guy, those days of $8M per WAR are already gone. Actually I'm not sure they were ever here or the Cubs would have a $400M payroll based on their 50 WAR roster. I don't buy at all that he will have value for the 4 year window at 36. Actually I doubt any team truly looks at their current MLB roster and sees 4 years of projections. Just look at where the Brewers were just a year ago. Junior was our opening day starter, Villar was a guy Stearns was trying to extend, Feliz was our smart add as our closer, Shaw was a nice little pick up in the Thornburg deal, Scooter couldn't help out anyone at 2B, Anderson and Nelson were 4/5 types, Braun was our best player, Broxton was our 3-4 year CF in a Mike Cameron mode, etc. Its an interesting time to be a Brewer fan. The team as you point is too good to suck but not good enough to seriously challenge anyone with the current roster. So what is the answer? Grossly overpay for a guy the Cubs don't want after seeing him pitch all these years? Give in to the Rays who have 100% leverage? Go to the bargain bin? Wait for our pitching version of a Frazier value deal?
  21. Boomer5
    Thon is a bad player and today's trade proves it. We go out and spend a 2nd on a guy who will merely be "less bad" than Thon which by definition is an improvement. I had high hopes for Thon but at his real age I just don't see him improving to the point where he will be very good. I can't even comprehend a 7 footer with his minutes pulling down fewer rebounds.
  22. Boomer5
    If you think 'value' has anything to do with only acquiring OFers if we had an OF problem, I don't think you understand what 'value' means as the term was used. Cain and especially Yelich are multi year investments who were acquired because Stearns and his analytical team believe the value they bring in production exceeds the price paid in money and prospects. That's why they were acquired, not (prinarily) because we wanted to 'go for It' in 2018. If the goal was to truly find bargains vs the rapidly dropping $8m per WAR model (and it isn't), I suggest IT run a virus scan on Stearns computer. Todd Frazier's contract vs WAR suggests a true value. Cain's no trade deal suggest significantly overpaying his last 2-3 years to acquire his high war first two years in a win now move.
  23. Boomer5
    Frazier is a solid 3 WAR player at this price?
  24. Boomer5
    If they are planning on waiting until the trade deadline to acquire a young pitcher it will cost far more and likely be too late.
  25. Boomer5
    If Stearns thinks the massive price we paid for two Outfielders on a team without an OF problem represents good value and not a win now mode, then I am dating Margot Robbie. He is just posturing with teams he is negotiating for pitching help and praying no one knows he is bluffing. Signing a 32 year old OF to a $80M no trade contract and giving up a draft pick isn't win now? Uh ok David, we believe you. Lol.
×
×
  • Create New...