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tmwiese55

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Everything posted by tmwiese55

  1. tmwiese55
    Kind of surprised Soria turned his down (this is phrased as if it's mutual and he declined his end). It's not like he's getting 10 mil in FA. Must hope for a multi year for a higher total amount even if less in AAV
  2. tmwiese55
    I was kicking around the other day a package starting with Peralta and Anderson. Anderson is cheap cost controlled and Miami will be the best ballpark for him. of course you'd have to come up with more to add but hopefully can come up with enough without giving up Keston or Ray.
  3. tmwiese55
    I think with the current roster and SP depth (assuming all guys are back and Burnes/Woodruff end up more like starters) that it is best for the team to use Hader similar to last year. Perhaps the year after if you lose a couple guys like Davies, Anderson or whoever then maybe it would be better to move him into a starter type role. So I'm on board with it from a team perspective. Any comments I made on the other side were more if his agent and himself desire trying to start to maximize future payday. Sounds like that's not a concern right now that we know of though, so proceed as is and look at again the year after. hopefully he continues working on the change up in the meantime. My nitpick of the strategy if i had one though is that when he pitches 2-3 innings he's seemingly off limits for at least 2 days, sometimes 3. Well, then might as well just have him start and pitch 5-7 innings and be off 4 days. But again, the current roster and our yank SPs early strategy requires a multi inning guy or two like him so he's crucial for wins in this role.
  4. tmwiese55
    Yea I'd guess they work out a compromise and tack on an extra couple of years for him at similar yearly or a bit less.
  5. tmwiese55
    That is a crazy statistic. Check out the Yankees, they've had like 6 years EVER of sub 78-79 type win seasons. Had a bad 4 year stretch in 89-92 and 2 years in the 60s, that's it. Haven't been below .500 since after the financial boom started in the 90s.
  6. tmwiese55
    He was very likely given that choice, switch or you're gong to be cut because you're not good enough at WR. I get how he could view it as jerked around or him thinking they were wrong about him at WR and is now mad about it. But one could just as easily argue that them changing his positions has kept him receiving an NFL paycheck for 2-3 years longer than otherwise. And again, he was likely given the choice and he chose to do it. Of course, that's speculation but it seems logical, I mean he's not a robot he can say No.
  7. tmwiese55
    I know one of their young infielders is hurt to start next year but I don't think they should sign Machado. You currently have 3 young infielders all cost controlled and doing well, that's kind of the dream. Sure you could move someone to OF but then why not just sign Harper instead? Especially when you factor in their two other mashers are RH, slot Harper in between Stanton and Judge so he can't get walked like crazy and let him tee off into the short porch in RF. That's where I'd be going if I was them. They clear Gardner's 15ish mil this year and Ellsbury has to be a year or two away as well from being off the books. Harper seems like a no brainer move to me for them.
  8. tmwiese55
    Our financial constraints could've easily held them back from one hitter that would've made the difference. Obvious example being Machado, put him on our team instead of theirs and maybe that's the difference. That's ignoring that having the money to have one legit starter to go deep might have been a help in keeping the BP fresh so maybe JJ doesn't fall apart and/or Hader could've come in the 5/6 inning instead of the 3rd. It matters, it's just that we all know the reality so there's no point in whining about it. I like not being the mega team and having any title be a major story/accomplishment. I have one friend originally from Boston who's a huge Sox fan, this is just ho hum at this point, not really even a big deal. Another example thinking of Red Sox. We have Braun locked in at that money so nothing we can do, we're gonna play him. If we had Red Sox money we can sign JD Martinez and just have Braun be backup or whatever. You can think of stuff like that very easily. I think his bat could've been useful for us.
  9. tmwiese55
    Hader's multi inning ability makes it different though as you don't always know how long he'll be able to go. So if you bring him in planning for 2-3 innings to 'close' at the end. but then the pitch count gets high and you've already used the others (Knebel, Jeffress) then you're left with who knows what to finish it. So if you keep holding him to pitch 1 inning or maybe the last out or two of the 8th if lefties then you'll end up lowering his innings. Also, his multi inning usage makes him unavailable for days at a time, thus creating more variables. Personally I like what they did to start the year when Knebel was down, just go with who ever is fresh and based on matchups. Forget that Save is even a stat. Also, his left handedness is a factor. you want to use him when the pile of lefties are up in a lineup to maximize his value, and you can't predict when that will be in a game. Also, if you bring him in earlier in the game and the other team then yanks all their lefties it provides Knebel/Jeffress an advantage later in that the lefties are out.
  10. tmwiese55
    The offense killed them to finish last season and it was the weakness all year again this year in spite adding great high obp contact guys in Cain/yelich. Then it completely disappeared in 5/7 games in the NLCS. It doesn't surprise me at all that they just want to shake it up a bit and get a new voice/eyes. I was hoping for it myself.
  11. tmwiese55
    I know that's where I'd have my money. Helps him save face which should help in getting other spots.
  12. tmwiese55
    Young controlled cheap lefty target who might be undervalued to me is Rodon for the White Sox. IDK what you'd have to give up to get him or if it's possible without Keston or Ray but I'd at least be asking them. Their manager often let him go way too deep in games thus inflating his stats (and they still were good). 6 innings or our 2 times through and yank at first sign of trouble method and this guy should kill it, also should be good for his oft injured arm. Maybe a Santana or Thames (assuming Abreu is traded) plus other prospects gets them talking.
  13. tmwiese55
    I'd agree if given the choice of those 3 I go with Marwin. If only it was that simple, haha
  14. tmwiese55
    However, the spot he'd more likely to be platooned or played would be for Shaw so then RH would be good. Kind of a catch 22. I'd hope for someone without drastic splits if possible.
  15. tmwiese55
    I think we'd all take him in general. like always, price will be the question. I'd be worried that due to the postseason runs he'll get more money/years than we want to pay. Theoretically he'd fit perfectly with what MKE is trying to do. I had him in Fantasy this year, so I was watching him and one has to point out that he was basically terrible for the first half of the year. Generally speaking, I think the right away to look at him is that his offensive year in 2017 was likely an outlier and not to expect that again. Think more in the 265/320 type area, which of course is nothing special so we don't want to go overboard with how much you commit to him. His no drastic splits and ability to play anywhere are great though.
  16. tmwiese55
    Bringing in a stop gap to HOPE Hiura can make a impact right away is borderline foolish if you ask me. He has proven nothing and his defense is not going to help the cause when he gets here. If anything we should find someone more versatile that can hold down the fort if they have to or can move around once Hiura is up to still get a big chunk of ABs elsewhere too. I agree with this point, I think I've tried to make similar but this says it better. Specifically I like the idea of one who can move over to 3rd if/when needed. Then Shaw can play some 1B vs righties and Thames becomes very expendable. Clearing Thames' money really helps in affording the exact type of guys we're talking about (or well even just Moose) as well as helps with positional flex of the whole roster.
  17. tmwiese55
    I actually agree that they'll likely keep Schoop too. Anyone know when they have to decide by? I'm sure they'd like to kick the tires on other options we've discussed here like Murphy/Lowrie but there is the old bird in the hand notion of it all. I know 10 mil is a lot but it's one year whereas the others you might not be able to get on one year deals, thus some risk with their ages. The risk on Schoop is that he flopped here and is low obp to begin with. I also think they'll start exploring the trade market as soon as they opt in on him, if they do. Doubt they'll get enough to do it but I bet they start asking around right away. Bird in the hand comes into play for both guys in that yes for 25 mil you should be able to spend it more efficiently on a Lowrie type along with having another chunk of money left to spend on bullpen, or wherever else you choose. But, you have perk of only one year commits and you have them already as opposed to playing the guessing game and not knowing where you'll end up. Especially since I'm sure we prefer not to give multi year deals, and all the FAs are going to want that. Next thing you know, you're starting Perez at 2B 90% of the games. Maybe that's extreme, but you get the point. ETA: Dec 12 appears to be the date. So they'll have a month or so to talk to other players before deciding
  18. tmwiese55
    Huge difference between KC and Milwaukee in OPS. Moustakas recently set a KC record with 38 hr's. Journeymen can do that in Miller Park. That doesn't completely invalidate your point, but the years of salary and the fact that outfielders are easier to replace should make it easy to see why someone can simultaneously want Moustakas and not want Braun. Moustakas also has been healthy. Yea I pointed out the quirks of it all, I know. It was just a bit of a stat that stood out due to drastic different views on the two
  19. tmwiese55
    Your Moose comparison made me remember this thing I noticed on the scoreboard during the playoff when they put OPS next to the players names. Braun by many here is talked about like this washed up overpaid bum who needs to be benched, etc. Keyword, overpaid. Whereas Moose is generally liked and many willing to pay up 15 mill for him. Note, of course I have no idea if same folks are saying both things. Just general vibes here. Braun's OPS this year was 782 and Moose was 774. They were basically tied last year too. I also know that Moose is healthier and plays 3B, just found it interesting when I noticed it on the board.
  20. tmwiese55
    I think we can agree that the pen was burned out heading into the ASB and during the 17 game stretch after can't we? This is all very different when you have 25 man roster limits and you don't have an off day for 9-12 days at a time. Come September and October though, let's get weird.
  21. tmwiese55
    Good write up, nothing crazy and all makes sense as a reasonable take. My disagreement would be: First, I would disagree that the offense was good all year long. It had the bouts of shutouts all year. Two players on the whole team were consistent all year. Well, I guess Shaw too but he's consistently just ok and consistently can't hit lefties. this was the weakness of the team all year and it came back to bite them at the worst time. Second, Corbin had one awesome year in a contract year. We talk of the volatility of relievers, but trusting a SP due to one good season as a "legit ace" as described here is a bit much. Now he's about to be 30 and we're going to pay him into his mid 30s based off that year, I'm skeptical on that being a smart move given our financial situation. The two years before he had an over 5 and over 4 ERA. The safer spend of the money is on hitting and then hoping our legit talent P prospects can provide low 3s ERAs especially since they'll likely be getting pulled a touch early before getting in trouble.
  22. tmwiese55
    If he gets 3 years you just move on to someone else. 2 years though I can see the risk being worth it, of course it depends on the amount before anyone can say definitively. Maybe even can offer him an opt out after 1 if that entices him, kind of a show me year for him.
  23. tmwiese55
    I'll be there opening night with bells on. Sir, I'm not gonna wear bells.
  24. tmwiese55
    I agree with this and it was what I was getting at in my post last night. If Burnes/Wood/Peralta pan out they'll be treated like normal starters in today's world. I tend to be more in the 'traditional starter is dying in Milwaukee' crowd. These guys are really data driven and I don't think they want anyone going a 3rd time through the order if they can help it. I'm not sure how they are going to approach 2019 but I'd be surprised if they just put together a traditional 5 man rotation and 7-8 man pen and leave it at that. Have to remember 40 man rosters and a day off after 2 or 3 games is different than the rest of the season. I agree 'traditional' in the sense to try and get 7-9 innings is likely not going to be a thing here. And that we're more concerned about times through the order than pitch count. But 2-3 times through the order and 5-6 innings is completely normal to the rest of the league though at this point. But we are just going to be very quick to pull at first sign of trouble in that 3rd time through. Plus we're going to 'plan' for the 5-6 inning start by having several guys who can go multiple innings in the pen, as opposed to other teams still stuck in the 1 inning relivers. I guess that's all I'm saying, the avg mlb start is probably like 5.33 innings (just guessing) so doing that isn't weird at this point. They tried a traditional route all this year with blah starters, now that they have some real talent to work with in these 3 young guys (plus possibly Nelson) I don't see them trying a 3-4 inning playoff model. you just don't have enough arms in the pen to do it.
  25. tmwiese55
    Lowrie seems like such a perfect fit. Switch hitter without drastic splits. Contact type of hitter. Can play 2B and 3B (Murphy likely only 2B and 1B) so he can transition to utilty backup all over the IF when Keston comes up. 34 years old so you'd think he's getting 2 years at most and he shouldn't get a ton per year either. Looks like he hasn't played SS in a few years though. I'll take DJ too, but he'll cost more and check out those home/road splits.
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