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tmwiese55

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Everything posted by tmwiese55

  1. tmwiese55
    First, well that wasn't what the discussion was about. It was guys who took a big leap after a few years after having come up early. Bonds is in the discussion. Second, he hit .777ops with 19 hrs. If he had a high WAR pushed by great D, ok thats great, but he hit 777 with 19 hrs. That is far from superstar. Those years he batted between .223-280 avg with normal to good walks on top, and didn't have more than 25 HRs. He made zero AS games, and appears to have received zero MVP votes, again not quite "superstar" but still good. And remember, this was a much more hitter friendly time. Then the next year he exploded to win MVP and increase his OPS 200 pts. IDK to me, this lines up pretty darn well with what the original discussion point.
  2. tmwiese55
    could've sworn they weren't gonna win another game after Monday
  3. tmwiese55
    the year before at age 24 he had a 777 ops with 19 hrs in a full season. had a couple better years before that in the 840 ops ballpark with 25hr. IDK, seems kind of exactly what we're talking about here. That's perfectly good/fine for someone up young playing in their low 20s (remember that was a much easier hitting environment than now). The boom came at age 25
  4. tmwiese55
    Yea tough crowd. 5 innings 2 runs. No hits through 3 innings. Stuff looks good
  5. tmwiese55
    You could probably put Barry Bonds in that same discussion. Came up young, did ok/fine. Massive breakout at 25 years old. Then for some reason had another breakout/leap at 36 years old
  6. tmwiese55
    What's a tad disappointing is the second half of his rookie year looked like that breakout. But since then he's probably taken a small step back and leveled off a bit. Seems to me, an idiot watching on tv, the biggest thing he needs to figure out is pitch recognition and swing decisions. A good improvement on that should give him a huge leap. Frustrating part is, I remember the 2nd half of his rookie season complimenting him on his eye, patience, taking the walks etc as he started to get pitched around then. But since then he's regressed on that front. I guess ironically for this thread, that same improvement is probably what has led to PCAs breakout this year.
  7. tmwiese55
    I think I saw yesterday he's hitting under .200 in aaa. So that's probably the biggest factor. I guess it was weird to send him down before he started crashing, but they were proven right that the hot streak was a fluke since he's fallen apart in aaa. Too bad, seemed like a good enough kid
  8. tmwiese55
    Yes, I don't consider this over at all. With what they went through with pitching injuries May/June-ish they could easily be buried right now. Instead they scratched their way along to hang in it and now it could be a really good race. We have a fairly tough schedule between now and playing them on 8/31. They have what would be considered medium schedule between now and then, easier than ours. I wouldn't call myself 'worried' exactly, but its definitely still possible. hopefully put together one more hot streak soon to stretch it back out and kind of put it to bed. Sure would be nice if LAD somehow steals this game.
  9. tmwiese55
    They'll have their act together in about 8-10 days just in time for us
  10. tmwiese55
    But there's an element of even if you're having to have these disagreements or discussions it creates a contentious situation that often leads to poor results. And its fair to factor that into whether you should pay a huge bounty to get a guy where you know that issue is going to be there. The dodgers don't have to worry about that though
  11. tmwiese55
    I've been thinking for a while that 2 seed is the best. I'd much rather play ATL or whoever gets the last WC than Phi/Cubs who are very likely going to be the 4/5 seeds. Obviously top 2 is wanted for the bye. Sure you'd theoretically lose the home field vs LAD but no matter what you're a huge dog vs them and hoping for an upset before us. If that upset happens you still get home field. I'd trade the risk of one less home gave in the NLCS in order to play Braves/Pirates/Pads/AZ rather than Cubs/Philly. So its been an annoying last two days of Dodgers losing to Cubs for me
  12. tmwiese55
    Of course he didn't do well last night. But he also was a bit unlucky. 2 outs nobody on, a mediocre grounder up the middle that Turang makes but can't get throw quite in time. Followed up by another mediocre grounder through the infield. I never checked the hit speed but they didn't seem anything special. The walk sucks. Then a hard hit down the line that if it was one foot to the left is an out and he's out of there with no runs, that was hit hard though. Any one of those grounders goes just a bit different he's out of that inning and very possibly goes 5ish shutout. But, that's how its been most of the year for him. Things seem to spiral quickly on him. Young guy, we all see the stuff, take a break in AAA or in AZ. Be ready if needed late in the year to start or out of the pen. Still seems a very good chance of becoming a big contributor in future years.
  13. tmwiese55
    Yea its not so much that Hamilton is bad, idk he seems fine. But Ortiz is absolutely elite at 3B D. Add in that he's been hitting so well and I don't see the need for this strict platoon right now. Hamilton can probably play for one of Ortiz/Pratt once each per week, fine thats baseball. But strict platoon seems off for this at the moment, once Ortiz regresses then reconsider. And I'm one that doesn't try to overtinker based on hot/cold streaks, but Hamilton best case as a hitter is just blah anyway, not like there is some hope of him becoming legit good. Add in the elite D of ortiz and I think its clear
  14. tmwiese55
    I'm not nearly as low on Yelich as portrayed here lately as its often an overreaction to hot/cold streaks we see over and over around here through the season. But, the season is long and is a mental grind and right now is as good of any time to have him hit the DL and take a break, recharge, then try to get ramped up by the playoffs. Everyone else is healthy right other than Frelick, so its a good time to go down and let the others split the DH days. If someone else gets hurts the day after its bad luck. But chances are that won't happen and if someone else does get hurt or also massively slumps in two weeks then boom bring him back. IDK, or maybe they do the have this on the radar and are waiting for Frelick to be back to do it. Dodgers do this stuff all the time to rest guys.
  15. tmwiese55
    i didn't get why they traded for the Houston guy to fill in for a bit rather than call him up. Was a weird dfa, but probably some discussion with his agent on letting him go where he has more of a chance
  16. tmwiese55
    In addition to the agent pressuring the seller, they make it known to other teams that he really doesn't want to go there. So as an impending FA with 400 mill at stake is he going to be all in and give it his all or find any reason to play it safe and take the year off. Its a factor to give up a haul for a disgruntled player and 'force' him to pitch for you when all he has to do is say his elbow is sore and he's done for the year. What sabathia did is rare. My guess from the bits that have gotten out there is boris applied a lot of pressure to everyone involved here and he has a ton of power.
  17. tmwiese55
    Tomorrow it might be a good idea to swing at pitches in the strike zone rather than the ones 5 feet away.
  18. tmwiese55
    Jeez the NL is loaded. It was already so much better. Now Cubs, Pads, Pirates, Phills all add lots more. Who would've thought we'd be longing to be in the AL
  19. tmwiese55
    I've thought Frelick could be a fit for Col for Senzatela. Huge OF good for slap hitter, good speed to play D in it. Gives them someone to have competency while they attempt to rebuild. We'll see if he's in on it somehow. No comment on value of what else would be needed on either side. Just in general
  20. tmwiese55
    And that is why so many of the people who generally on the FO side of not being aggressive side tend to think that way. There is essentially no move they can make that gets them off the 8-12ish percent chances. So it becomes very risky to potentially give up someone that could change their chances drastically a few years down the line. Skubal is essentially the only move that could shifted their odds significantly.
  21. tmwiese55
    Thought of it as someone was listing the OF prospects ahead of them. Keep in mind its often been noted that there is a big chance Pena ends up in the OF too. Maybe they believe that too
  22. tmwiese55
    Yea considering some of these other deals we've seen out there that seems a bit of an overpay. Generally like the guys they got but seems if paying that much they might've been able to do better. But at least none of the top top names. side note, I'd think something else comes that clears a bit of the AAA 40 man roster crunch of the next year or so. Think your wilkens/black types.
  23. tmwiese55
    Depends on definition of high leverage, but Romero is good enough to be the A team bullpen assuming he's his normal self when he's back. Been getting 30+ saves/holds for several years with 3ish or lower era. Not huge K numbers but he fits a clear need and can easily be a 6th/7th inning guy with a lead to reduce the need for Ashby
  24. tmwiese55
    I wish we'd tried to MOVE THE NEEDLE!!! the last 5ish years so that we currently would not have Uribe, Miz, Henderson, Chourio, Turang.
  25. tmwiese55
    Again, almost assuredly not being shopped
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