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tmwiese55

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Everything posted by tmwiese55

  1. tmwiese55
    Right, it all depends on how the rest of the year goes and on injuries, and I agree both of those have great potentiall. I think the initial point was more around that we faced LAD with our bottom 3 starters, or maybe better phrased as 'without using our top 2' guys. So considering that winning 1 and being in both of the other games prior to one blow up inning is understandable. Mostly though these recent posts reminded me of something I've been thinking lately. Which is come playoffs I hope they continue to play and manage game pitching generally the same way they do through the year. Rather than going wild with openers and planning to use 8 relivers, etc. Rather use the general normal starting pitcher for 4-6 innings based on results, then use your relivers in the same roles/spots they've been used all year.
  2. tmwiese55
    I of course see the argument here. But what's missed in the 'go for it' mindset is there is nothing that can be done to move them say 10ish% to win right now to anything more than 13ish% just due to the nature of baseball playoffs and the Dodgers existing. Thus, there is just as logical an argument that true "going for it" is to keep being good every year to keep having the 10ish percent every year rather than sacrificing a few 10% years to get an extra 1-3%, but in return you get several 0% chance years. Also, Brewers did go for it a few times. Sabathia trade, Greinke/Marcum trades, the attempts at the '18 deadline. And one has to give a reminder on what 'going for it' can do. The Padres would currently have James Wood, CJ Abrams, and Makenzie Gore on league min deals, instead they went for it. That said, no way MKE management is dumb enough to give up our elite talents, but then we can't be mad at them for it and act like they're not trying to win it all. Generally speaking, I like their overall plan of attempting marginal moves at deadlines that don't cost big prospects. But man, they sure have whiffed on several of those the last few years. Just have to do better at it. And if things continue the way they have with RF, CF, SS, 3B you likely have to add 1-2 competent bats via trade
  3. tmwiese55
    Side note, its somewhat surprising Ross's name hasn't popped up for other jobs. I guess he's probably just loving getting paid a few mill to do nothing right now and will get his name back out there in the next year or two when that runs out. IDK, maybe Boston this offeason
  4. tmwiese55
    My prediction when he left is that he wouldn't make it through the contract. So far, it's leaning towards incorrect with them generally doing well (just not as good as MKE) the last two years. But, still having to make it 2.5 more years seems to be getting tougher.
  5. tmwiese55
    Right, going into this week you'd have taken a 3-3 week as 'fine'. So you're basically on house money this weekend. 4-2 is a good week so only need 1/3 here since you got that sweep. Obviously you still want at least 2/3 here but getting the sweep was a huge help
  6. tmwiese55
    Yea I'd agree, its starting already but give it a couple more years and it should be more pronounced. And I don't think they have any dead money right now, could probably argue underwater on Betts though. In 2-3 years, you could have Betts, Snell, tucker if he keeps being blah, Scott, Smith, Diaz, Edman all as dead or underwater contracts. Chances are they won't axe Freeman so will give him some kind of deal too that he'll be overpaid for at that age.
  7. tmwiese55
    He meant in 2018 or whatever year we made the NLCS vs LAD and LAD traded for Machado at the deadline. The hypothetical is what if we had traded a very good prospect such as Burnes to get Machado (even knowing he's gone in the offseason) it would've been worth it to tip the scales and win it all. Which, sure if you cold guarantee it I'd agree. But there is no way of knowing and it likely only moved our percentage of winning by more than a few points. And we've had missed out what should've been a great title window with Burnes, Wood, Peralta rotation. Overall, that is the whole debate on trade prospects or not. Unfortunately, our O was too poor most of the years we had that trio. And generally speaking, those aces didn't dominate or do well enough to win in spite of it (the year vs AZ Burnes/'Peralta were given early leads and both immediately gave it back)
  8. tmwiese55
    Just chiming in another factor on a "when is the best time to go all in" type discussion is the Dodgers are at about peak level right now. There is at least a chance in the 28/29 window others mentioned above, that LAD will be much weaker than now. Betts, Freeman, and even Ohtani will be getting old by then. Replacing two mvp level players in their prime isn't as easy as snapping your fingers. Of course, chances are they're just going to keep spending and spending to compensate for it at least to a degree. But in the not too distant future they are likely going to be carrying some dead weight or at least underwater contracts that will make things tougher for them. Whereas right now they're in kind of a peak spot
  9. tmwiese55
    The one when Sproat left at 4 and 2/3rds was set up perfectly. I assume he was ticked off when Drohan got it instead and that's why pitched so poorly the next time out.
  10. tmwiese55
    True. We know Murph loves Hamilton so he isn't going anywhere. We know how much they value Ortiz D and he's been ok lately at O. Which leaves Rengifo as the likely guy they'd dfa for one of the prospects, being a brand new guy to the team this year you'd think he'd be one of the guys that least upsets the cart. Still, Jett has been playing 3B in the minors and chances are they won't bring him up until mid June with the super 2 date. So these vets are likely going to get a few more weeks to show something (or someone gets hurt) unless we think they'd bring up Pratt and put him or Joey at 3B after not playing there all year which seems unlike the Brewers.
  11. tmwiese55
    Yet he's also their best player so they won't trade him. And he's so in demand that we'd have to give up elite prospects to trade for him. You see how that is contradictory right? All the issues you point are what makes him an option for us, if he didn't have those issues his salary would be double and the prospect demand would be out of this world. His NTC and trying to keep a name or two around to be competent are the reasons so far. And yes its possible those two things won't change. Another thing to note, while having a good season last year he was put on the IR right before the deadline (when MN was selling off big time), thus eliminating the possibility of them receiving an offer and having to ask him if he'd waive NTC. If healthy leading up to the deadline this year, who knows how the conversation goes. And of course, MN will have to fall off in the standing like it seems they should. But the AL Central is so trash you never know, they could hang
  12. tmwiese55
    Because the team is bad and it makes sense to get as bad as possible to improve draft picks. Second, the team is in bad financial shape and been trying to sell the team because of it. Third, they recently dumped players to save money so it makes sense they'd continue it. Fourth, if a long term player like him asks for it they might want to oblige the guy. Fifth, getting second tier prospects is still better than none (just like in all our recent trades of our good players that didn't have 'elites' in the return). Why did we trade Burnes, Hader, Peralta, etc for non elite prospects
  13. tmwiese55
    Right, but that's what makes him generally attainable for MKE that values their development system and depth who have low budget. He shouldn't cost any of the elite prospects (if so, you just pass on him) and while he is owed the contract it isn't at some ridiculously high level because he's often hurt. Basically, its in the same ballpark as what we've thrown at Hoskins/Woody lately (or with inflation McCutchen/Renfroe/Garcia types) and it seems Woody's 22 mil will be off the books next year. Really, where better could we spend 2/30 next offseason than on someone like him. And for MKE its all about post season at this point, so we can get him and baby him to a degree to do all you can to keep him healthy for the playoffs. Basically, we can afford him to miss 20-30 games every year as long as he's there for Sept/Oct to make the difference to our biggest weakness the last few few years. While of course he's not perfect because of the reasons you point out, it is also what makes him available to us. Seems there is limited options out there, Twins are a motivated seller and do work with us from time to time so hopefully they're talking
  14. tmwiese55
    Remember a factor too is that before the Brewers existed the Cubs were the closest so would be the 'local' team to many. And then when the Brewers came in they were AL so could kind of be both. So its somewhat tough to blame people of that age and their subsequent kids for being fans. My understanding is my dad was a Cubs fan as a kid until the brewers came in and then switched over to them as time went on.
  15. tmwiese55
    My guess on the logic here is that it was only the 6th inning and after what happened last night wants to play it safe and make sure nothing weird happens. Put in your worst guy here and something bad happens next thing you know you have a real game in the late innings (minus Uribe and maybe Ashby) Not saying I agree, I'd have probably rolled the dice on the others. But that's my guess
  16. tmwiese55
    * you're Please explain your point. You said the numbers and said .303 is ok. I pointed out 200-230 based on taking out the one game (which is what we all said). So, what is wrong making it 'dopey'
  17. tmwiese55
    I'm going off what you said and just took 4 off each. Looking at my own game logs before today he would be 6/26 for 230ish if not counting the first game. Addn in another 0-4 today it would be 6/30 then for .200.
  18. tmwiese55
    what would you think 6 of his last 29 which is like .205. That's what he'd be since the great first day
  19. tmwiese55
    Well it seems that Rengifo positive regression has finally come. Good to see, huge progress if one of the blackhole spots on O can just be adequate
  20. tmwiese55
    The most frustrating part on Chourio last year and so far this year on the chasing out of zone pitches is that during his rookie once he get on the hot streak from June-ish on he was not doing that. I remember saying the most impressive part was how he was taking his walks when he started getting pitched around a bit. Since then, its been the opposite
  21. tmwiese55
    Stearns gives us Peralta back for the stretch run for peanuts works for me.
  22. tmwiese55
    That's probably the reason. But I'd say when Miz starts is probably the ideal time to start Bauers in LF since so few balls get put in play and RHH will struggle to hit to left. DAy game tomorrow though, so you know Yeli was gonna sit tonight or tomorrow either way.
  23. tmwiese55
    With Houston continuing to scuffle there could be some options coming from them. I know Pena has been mentioned here already. But a past talked about person here to rehash could be Paredes. He's been perfectly fine/ok this year. My very quick look at D seems like hs' checking out as basically average/neutral this year at 3B. On a 1/9 deal with one year left of arby before FA. So he would seem to line up well with the window we need to fill in until the prospects are ready. Of course it all depends on what you'd have to give up to get him but he should be less than a Pena or bigger name. I'm not breaking the bank for any of our elite guys but he's one to kick the tires on. You'd probably look to re-flip him in the offseason since you won't wanna pay him like 13 mil next year, but you could carry that salary for one year if you don't think the youths are ready or he endears himself here.
  24. tmwiese55
    My guess is they would've come out way ahead on this trade if not for the injury. Yes, it will likely go down as an L or push now, but its tough to get too upset or put blame on bad injury luck. Can't win them all though, and generally speaking they excel at finding BP so they were more than likely on to something here.
  25. tmwiese55
    I hadn't even seen this as being on the radar anytime soon, good news. Also, good showing from Black to preserve hope in him when he's needed the rest of the year. Have to think with Mitchell's struggles there's a lot of Bauer's in LF field coming
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