Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

tmwiese55

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    7,313

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    1

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by tmwiese55

  1. tmwiese55
    Yadi has to get the Cards due to longevity. But David Freese is right there too
  2. tmwiese55
    Right. It's not like their pitching looked awesome on paper last year going into the year either. But, like the Cardinals almost always do, they found a way.. Not that I wouldn't enjoy a year where the tires fall of the car or whatever that saying is, but I'll believe it when I see it.
  3. tmwiese55
    I don't know, that's probably 4-5 highest after Realmuto, Perez, Grandal, Contreras. And while I'm not trying to say the guy is bad, he hit .216 two seasons ago and you're having to pay him that into this 30s, when Cs usually fall off. But really it's besides the point. It's not cheap when compared to the a 25 year old at league min on your roster already who is top shelf too. Unless, you don't think he's top-shelf. Which is my whole point, they must not. If this was Pitt or Colorado I wouldn't give it a second thought, I'd laugh at how dumb they are. Being Atl, it makes me go hmm, what might we be missing.
  4. tmwiese55
    Yea and those still aren't anything ridiculous like elite hitter Cs. Yes he's more of sure thing, that's the value. Again, 10+ mil per into his 30s over someone on the cheapest years. And there is risk of future value issues in that you're now commited to him into his age 32-34 years, not great for catchers. Having a good hitting 24 year old catcher is kind of the dream, especially when you're already paying a kind of aging vet as the other C. And then they also had to add in value to the trade. To me, aggressively trying to upgrade him is a flag of what caused Atl to do it. They should have been one of the last teams looking to trade for a proven C. Already had a proven vet off a good year, signed for two more years and a 25 year old good hitter on league min contract. Hoping to be wrong.
  5. tmwiese55
    I understand he's supposed to be great at D and all those things for a C. However, in two full years he hit 216/306 with 17 and 250/332 with 18 HRs. That is perfectly fine for a C, but it's nothing fantastic like prime Posey, Perez, etc. And those were his age 26 and 27 years after two years getting his feet wet. Contreras already has had a better offensive year in his first year at age 24 (one year of feet wet before.). Unless I think something is up with Contreras and his hitting was fluky, bad at D, attitude/effort problem, etc there's no way I'm giving up his cheap years to pay the other guy over 10 mil per year for his years into the 30s as a C unless I have unlimited money like LA/NYY. Atlanta is as smart as they come so that's why I wonder what they didn't like about Contreras. Hopefully they're wrong as we haven't heard any red flags yet (other than who he's brothers with haha).
  6. tmwiese55
    Contreras hasn't been on fire or anything but generally he's been fine and looks fine. I still don't get what Atl thought of him to choose to add more to him in a trade in order to acquire a different catcher and the right to pay him 75 mil over the next 6 years instead of just keeping Contreras on his young cheap years. They're one of the smartest organizations there is so I'm worried there's a shoe to drop, but even the best sometimes make a mistake.
  7. tmwiese55
    League average is productive, and that's roughly what he's been. And to the business analogy, in this case the $2mil expenses is still there if you get rid of the $1mil in revenue. And generally speaking, on average the replacement you'd be getting for him would provide less than $1 mil in revenue. And you'd be increasing the expenses because the replacement needs to also be paid at least league min. Essentially unless he tails all the way off to like .710 or lower for like 1.5 seasons you might as well keep him.
  8. tmwiese55
    Yelich has been in the ballpark of 750 OPS the last few years since his fall off. Of course that's disappointing and not worthy of his pay but that's roughly an average one for an every day player. It's not like he's just awful unplayable level that you'd cut him, since you're paying the money anyway. Chances are a .750 ops is better than your 4/5th OF. For example, Yelich was higher than Taylor. And he was like .15 in OPS below Rowdy. If he can at least stay in the 750-800 world and not be awful he's still a contributing player, its just that he's paid way too much.
  9. tmwiese55
    Have you looked at Brosseau's career vs LHP? He absolutely should play every game vs lefties. Unless you're a team like LAD/NYM with an all star at every spot I guess. It's why he's on the team and why he's even made and hung in the big leagues. If he's not gonna play all games vs lefties you might as well not have him on the team.
  10. tmwiese55
    If those guys are that good it's the dream scenario for MKE to keep them, not trade them. Cost controlled every day players for 7 years. Only way it would make sense to trade is if they think it's a fluke and want to cash out high. Like it seems they thought and were right on Grisham.
  11. tmwiese55
    The chances of all 4 young OFs panning out to be legit good is very low. Chances are at least one caps out Taylor level if not worse, heck really it's probably more likely 2 end up that way. If all 4 are good that's a great problem to have. 5 guys for 4 spots isn't even a problem due to injuries and playing RH/LH matchups. If somehow they're all good then Yelich is the one that will play less and less as the years go on. Some info that's relevant would be that after this year Yelich 'only' has 5 years left. By the time we know if all 4 are good he'll be down to 2-3 years left. (basically just saying the end becomes near then). Sure, that does make it easier to trade him and eat less money but as long as he's still being a competent .750 player you might as well keep him, since you're paying him anyway. Another dumb random thought I've had on Yelich, and probably not true, is that it seems he does feel bad about how much he's dropped off. Of course he'd be a fool to walk away form the money, but it wouldn't surprise me if needed in a pinch to help resign someone that he'd say Yes to deferring some money to help out.
  12. tmwiese55
    TBF. It was right on the line and its messed up and poorly framed due to the steal and the catcher moving and popping up. Big missed call that could swing a lot, we'll see. But chances are there will be worse missed ball/strikes in most games.
  13. tmwiese55
    I've always thought around a 3 PM start is the best time for opening day. Still has the day feel but allows people traveling from further away time. Allows for more tailgating and not having to rush in. While still getting done plenty early without the issues of a night game. Which is also good for long commutes to get home not crazy late. I think the best one I remember was roughly 2012 (almost sure) and it was a Friday mid afternoon like that vs the Cards.
  14. tmwiese55
    Does anyone know of a way to just stream MLB Network, preferably on a roku? I use YTTV and its gone this year. So don't really have an easy way to watch anything MLB since all ESPN talks about is the NFL and most of their day is just having guys yell at each other. Even looking at MLB TV I don't think that's part of it from what I can tell, but please correct me if I'm wrong.
  15. tmwiese55
    I've generally been on the pessimistic side of things going into this year and the O in general. And I know it's just a few games (and game 1 was bad), but so far it seems to be a pleasant change to have more contact and speed after years of just nothing happening and tons of Ks. Hopefully it holds true and is a noticeable improvement all year. Also, to me the new rules on pitch clock is a big plus and major win for MLB. Perhaps, the base changes weren't needed and might've been a step too far but we'll see.
  16. tmwiese55
    That and he changed his swing to be more uppercut to chase the launch angle and HRs. Who knows if that was his move or if he was coached to it. But if a new team/coach can get that corrected and back to how he started he'd still have a chance, but after 2-3 years of this the chances are quite low.
  17. tmwiese55
    If you're having to pay basically the full FA type price similar to Swanson then I don't see the rush. For two years early and with our market you'd need to get a discount to be incentivized to do it, considering his weaknesses. From his perspective, under two years ago he was floundering in TB looking at never getting a big payday. So he might be the type to be happy to just put 100 mil in the bank when he can. For the Burnes trade talk, if you're in 1st you might as well keep him for the value he provides to try and get that elusive title. I think that greatly outweighs what it might cost you in losing prospect value back 3 months later. I thought the same for Hader, I don't think we'd have gotten drastically less back if they waited two months to trade him. If they're out of contention or even middling, sure take the best deal at the deadline. But if you're in 1st and things look good, you have to go for the title. Baltimore sure seems just loaded in prospects and a great match for a trade though.
  18. tmwiese55
    It's also easier to drop in that huge space of left and to hit in the air. Generally speaking, even pull hitters are more likely to hit oppo in the air. Yelich is a good example, faces the big shift for grounders but generally would get played straight up in OF. One of the things I noticed is even when a lefty really tried to hit oppo on the ground it would far too often go right to the one guy playing on the left side of the infield. hitter has to walk away thinking *** when that happens. That said, am I crazy but I don't see the 3rd OF in that picture? The trick on this might be to play the CF in LF or Left center. See if the guy is good enough to hit one dead center in between them. That way you'd have two guys who could run it, plus it's just more difficult than having a whole half of a field to drop it.
  19. tmwiese55
    Another thing that should get put in is some kind of max contract length thing similar to the NBA. Teams would be all for it to save them from themselves. This popped in my head in the Mark A thread in the talks about yearly payroll. Say, ok sweet Brewers can now afford 30 mil per year, great. Isn't it still smart/wise or are they capable to give a 10 year deal to a Burnes type. No, so the guy is still going to end up at a team like LAD who can do it. Basically, just saying we'd still be looking for short term deals which rarely show themselves. Some kind of 5 or 7 year max deal would really help. Presumably, the players would be big time against this so you'd have to give them back some years at the beginning to allow FA sooner at a younger age. Which, again gets closer to the other leagues in setup
  20. tmwiese55
    I get right after Covid wasn't the time to have a drawn out standoff. But next CBA they have to rip the bandaid off and deal with this to get to a similar system as the NFL/NBA where all the money is openly put into the same pot and then split among the teams/players and everyone plays by the same rules. It has to be done eventually.
  21. tmwiese55
    Well yea of course he could. He could choose to lose money (or lose more money) every year in the name of winning/trying. He could do that, and other owners do do it. But is it right (lack of better word) for us to expect owners to lose tens of millions each year? And as pointed out, the route they've taken has been winning. One could make an argument being smart and not getting into crappy long term deals is actually helping them win more in the long term. And while of course he's stupid rich, he's on the lower end of franchise owner rich so taking huge losses every year like San Diego is likely going to be doing seems a lot to ask (especially since he's not the full owner and has the other brewers owners to answer to). I would generally agree the team isn't dumb and knows this was a great window for them and would've been willing to spend if the right deals presented themselves (GRandal, Moose types even if at 2-3 year deals) but the market the last couple years has gone back to being nutso. There really aren't many deals out there from the last two offseasons for the proverbial "needle movers" that you'd look at it and think we could realistically expect them to make and/or that we don't expect to be bad deals long term. Top of my head, being paid to take on Arenado might be the main one.
  22. tmwiese55
    Seems to me a lot of these issues simply comes from the nature of being a small market who can't keep their guys, so you're always going to have to churn the roster including top end players. Somehow Tampa seems to have been successfully doing this while keeping a good clubhouse, only one I can think of is Snell with an issue. MKE seemingly had been great at maintaining positivity up until last year. Anyone follow Tampa closely enough to know if they have similar issues? This is kind of the first time MKE has had to go through the roster churn of top end players since their "perpetual competitiveness" type plan. Tampa has been doing it for like 15 years now. Have certainly heard plenty of grumbling from places like Oak, MIA over the years when they do it. I guess I'm just saying it seems just like a tough situation or nature of the business and its not like the team is massively mismanaging it. Just seems like a situation forced onto everyone involved by MLBs financial landscape. TB seems the exception moreso than the rule. Essentially, the players want money/stability and not to just be treated like cogs/assets. The team can't provide it but the system forces them to be together for X amount of years. There's just an inevitable rift there.
  23. tmwiese55
    Right, his anger actually should be at his union for valuing vets getting these ridiculous 30+ mil per year deals over the younger players. Oh wait, he won't be mad in two years when he's the one reaping that benefit.
  24. tmwiese55
    Yea overall I would agree and that most likely is the case. However, I could see some risk or at least a devil's advocate to thinking there could be a tipping point. No need to get too in depth but will throw out a few bullet points. First, these values are largely driven by TV contracts. With the shifting media landscape going away from TV along with young people not watching baseball will their TV contracts eventually go down/level/etc. If one thinks that could happen like 10 years from now (again young people are not that into baseball) then you could be selling high. Just in general the declining interest in baseball by young people could have one thinking a peak could be soon. Throw in MKEs decline in attendance and maybe he thinks that's possible. Third, if he thinks the long feared recession will finally happen and wants to sell before it does. Fourth, 60 some year old guy wants to liquidate the money for other investments or whatever he wants to do, or maybe he needs to liquidate for other unknown reasons. Again, I'd still side with you. Just saying, at some point in the future some owners are going to end up overpaying for franchises. But, like you, I don't think that's coming anytime soon.
  25. tmwiese55
    Yea there's no harm in throwing something out there to Burnes like was proposed here. But, after the contracts handed out this offseason he'd be a fool to take it. Perhaps he'd agree to a 2 year deal to cover his arby and then a player option for the 3rd but then if you're the Brewers what's the point? Best case is he is amazing again this year, helps lead them on a deep playoff run of some kind, wins Cy Young and then you get a massive haul from someone in the offseason.
×
×
  • Create New...