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tmwiese55

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Everything posted by tmwiese55

  1. tmwiese55
    Considering it was made clear early on the spending/market the brewers were going to be operating in you kinda just have to accept this one. He was one that made sense from the beginning and ticks a lot of the boxes. Hope he bounces back and does well. And when pouring over his numbers don't forget the stadium he's been playing in If I had to guess I'd think this leads to Huira being traded. Considering they knew or were planning on signing a BA or similar person it's kinda surprising they even signed Huira unless they were confident there is a trade market for him to at least grab a reliever or something.
  2. tmwiese55
    This seems like a pretty reasonable deal to me and one I lean towards they should've done. one would think at the same money he'd pick MKE due to at least being a borderline playoff team rather than rebuild. One would think he wouldn't be afraid of beating out rookies and either way he's guaranteed to play vs all lefties. Think I'd rather spend on the 1B/OF RH hitter than 3B type Longoria but we'll see what they do now that this option is gone.
  3. tmwiese55
    Good points. Yea what happened to the lessons have been learned that long contracts to 30+ year olds are stupid and end in disaster? Which I still think is true. Seems the agents have sold teams on this pay super long big money to reduce the annual amount over the life of the deal to reduce the tax. But still, these contracts are gonna be anchors on their books in 5-7 years. For Harper, Machado, Trout, Soto types it makes some sense since they were so young at FA. But the guys this year are your typical 31ish in most cases. I guess we just have to play the long game, once Yeli's is off our books all these other teams are going to be saddled with 25-50 mil in dead money, that's our time to shine.
  4. tmwiese55
    Maybe it would've been back then, but as you said it's much different now. You could be correct that even the big market owners would vote for it to protect their profits over their advantage in winning. But I think those big ones I mentioned would not want to give up their current massive advantage over everyone else on the field. And keep in mind such a proposal would also include revenue sharing with the small markets (which they'd of course hate). But who knows, maybe I could be wrong or at least that thinking gets enough so they can't get their 7 No votes. But still the original point stands that convincing the players is biggest hurdle and I'd think a push to show them the 'middle class' of baseball players would massively benefit and it would only coming from the top top guys who will still be massively rich.
  5. tmwiese55
    Thanks. That actually does make it a bit tougher. NYY, NYM, LAD, BOS are clear No votes (maybe Bos is wavering with their current pullback on spending). It's not hard to get 3 more from Phi, SD, SF, Cubs, LAA, TX type teams. Getting to 11 like I guessed seems extremely tough, only getting to 7 not so much.
  6. tmwiese55
    It's never been more obvious something has to be done with salary caps, revenue sharing, competitive balance, etc. I don't see how they wouldn't get enough teams to vote in favor of it (assuming they only need like 20 to pass it). I know in the past the union is opposed to it on account of these mega deals wouldn't be happening. But a way to convince the players would be to look at the NBA, their structure creates a way for the 2nd, 3rd tier players to still get huge contracts. The MLB structure is massively top heavy so the middle guys get squeezed a ton and often times a team is better off playing/paying the young rookie league min than paying 10-15 mil for marginally better production. Basically look for a structure for a more balance spread of wealth for the players.
  7. tmwiese55
    I don't know about this. Obviously sure if you see a deal you like and/or you think one of the OFs might flop so it's a sell high. But from an outsider's perspective I was actually thinking the opposite the other day. Basically after seeing the ridiculous cost of pitching, even blah mid level ones like Taillon or Quintana one would think there would be a healthy market for a Lauer type where a team could trade prospects rather than fork out tons of money and get a solid mid level P back at a reasonable salary for a few years. From the Brewers perspective they'd still have a really good rotation, as someone said they already have 6 starters. but this could possibly fill some BP gaps and/or get a legit multi year controlled infield hitting prospect close to the majors. And of course Lauer's control is winding down soon so I thought it would be a good time to cash in for more than we'd have thought 6-7 months ago.
  8. tmwiese55
    Seems to me the Dodgers are being cheap, relatively of course, this year to get under the tax in order to give a mega deal to Ohtani next year. Basically choice of give out one of the ridiculous SS contracts now or give out a bit more next year for a P and hitter in one. Getting under the tax one year will save them tons of money down the line. That said, I'm still surprised they let Trea Turner go and that they didn't just sign both a SS and Ohtani and pay out the tax.
  9. tmwiese55
    I'm whatever on Turner as I'm assuming he's just gonna talk to us to set the price for LA. But to some comments above, I would trust him still generally hit well when healthy next year. I had him in fantasy so there was some quirks to his season. He started super slow and had some injuries, numbers were really bad. Then he came back and hit really well but had to sit out small stretches here or there. Not unlike Longoria, it'll depend on health. But he could get some DH abs to stay fresh vs lefties. I guess I'm just saying his line 278/350ish but after that brutal start he hit way above it (unless my memory is way off, I didn't double check)
  10. tmwiese55
    Of those guys I'm guessing Myers will be the most realistic because I'm guessing he won't be as much money. He's RH so can give some cover to all the lefty OFs and two lefty 1B/DH. As much as I can obviously see the need for a more established 2b/3B to move Turang to utility I can see greater value in a generally stable RH bat in those other positions and I think he'll cost less (obviously the market is crazy so what do I know on that, but that's my guess).
  11. tmwiese55
    This seems so lopsided in our favor it has me thinking through what we might be missing as outsiders. I guess the first thing I can think of is why didn't these other teams want Contreras? Basically why is Atlanta so desperate to trade for a C when they have one like this, plus I think D'arnaud is still there for a year or two. If Oak is trading their good C who's close to FA wouldn't they want a young controlled guy like this back? Is it just the weak D, do they think his hitting last year was a fluke, personality/attitude? Can someone in tune with prospects give info on how he was viewed coming up? Such as was he always considered a top prospect or did this year last year kind of surprise everyone? I don't know, this seems too good to be true.
  12. tmwiese55
    Don't get me wrong, I'm not denying Molina is a good D catcher and likely was like a coach on the field. But, let's not forget he barely played last year, i think he was less than half the games and was even gone from the team for a while. Of course he's a factor, but the overall STL system is probably the key here. Still, my take on this is of course it helps them next year which is bad for us. But the last few years of this deal will likely be bad, which I'm sure they realize too. Maybe it's just me being a Cubs hater but I also wouldn't be surprised if Contreras ends up with some effort/attitude issues going forward now that he's been paid.
  13. tmwiese55
    I don't think I'd give up that much prospect value for a C. I know the market is thin on them but I'd rather just sign a blah one in the Narvarez type level for 1-2 years and keep all those prospects.
  14. tmwiese55
    This guy makes sense to me as they do need some RH coverage on all the lefties. As I thought about it I remembered Brosseau though. I guess I see more upside in Drury and sure I'd take both if we have the roster spots for them both. But Brewers might very well think Brosseau can do what Drury can vs lefties for the like 2 mil or whatever they're paying him. So they might think they've already covered this.
  15. tmwiese55
    I guess. But Burnes/Woodruff are basically as good as they are right now but are 10-12 years younger. If guys similar to them at 40 are still getting 40mil per year, then they don't have to worry about getting a big FA deal when they hit the market in their low 30s. There could've been a logic to "hey i'm not gonna be a FA until low 30s so will I get the big 7 year deal for 200+ at that age, might as well just lock in now to not risk injury before then". But after seeing this any wavering on whether to take the injury risk is outweighed by the big upside. I think these deals makes it clear, if it wasn't already, that the risk is worth the reward in riding out to get to FA.
  16. tmwiese55
    With multiple SS looking for big time money and only a handful of teams capable of handing out 6-7 year for 200 mil type contracts it could be feasible to be involved with one of them on a one year deal with an option so they can re-enter FA next year without the other SS FAs. Basically like the Correa deal of last year. With either the FA or Adames moving to primary 3B. Of course, I view this as very low but it could be possible.
  17. tmwiese55
    When I had two next to each other I'd usually have one game set on one TV and then be flipping on the other. Simply putting a piece of paper over it to block the cable box worked. Of course, if/when you did want to flip channels on it you'd have walk to it and take off the cover. Two TVs works great especially for baseball since it's such a slow sport, and you don't really need volume. Toss that on the 2nd tv and you can keep up with what's going on while watching whatever else on the other
  18. tmwiese55
    But it's only 2.25 mil more to the Brewers, if I understand the buyout correctly. He certainly started trending down the 2nd half of the year and that's likely the reason for this move. But for 2.25 mil I don't see the risk here. Really, the slow down in 2nd half was likely due to how much he was overworked for the stretch right before it so it's not unrealistic to expect a bit less usage that he'll still be a solid middle reliever again next year.
  19. tmwiese55
    They also get him and Soto for next year too. Their results from the trades aren't over yet. And they did make it a round further than they'd been able to previously. I didn't think their pen was all that bad to neeeeed Hader, but considering what they gave up and getting him next year too I see why they did it. Especially when considering LAD would've been another very likely destination for him if/when we traded him this offseason.
  20. tmwiese55
    Well, that was a kick in the teeth. Maybe could've used a curve or some out of the zone heaters there. If I remember Avi correctly from last year curves were a problem.
  21. tmwiese55
    I generally agree with the sentiment of with these two pitchers now isn't the time to be cheap as some recent posts are saying. However, if you step back a bit you have to realize it's not entirely fair to take a hard "you cannot go back on salary!!" view considering what was posted above on the last few years (which I reposted below). They just went up 30 mil this year. Even if they slightly go down it's still a big step up from recent years. Then throw in the logical thinking that Cain, Hader, Narv, Cutch, Wong likely off the books. After paying arby raises it's not crazy to think they could come in lower and still not be 'cheaping out". It's not smart to just throw money out because you have to spend it to feel like you're trying. Also, it seems the team with 30 mil less spent will win about 10 more games. Don't get me wrong, if there is something there that makes sense then they should. But let's say handing out a 5 year deal to Contreras to fix the C position knowing the contract is going to be trash in 2-3 years is still a dumb move. That's just one example off the top of my head. 2022 $131,930,160 (19) 2021 $ 99,316,127 (19) 2020 $105,842,057 (22) (prorated)
  22. tmwiese55
    he missed over 50% of the games in 2021. He was mediocre/ok/fine/blah when he played. Missing half the games makes him bad in 2021 though. He played in under 1/3 of possible games in his last 3 years, about 37% in the last two.
  23. tmwiese55
    Like I said, we don't know for sure. you also don't know that he did. I know where my guess is though. Probably not easy to get back into the grind of it all after a year off at his age. I mean yea when on the field I'm sure he tried to get a hit when up and catch any ball he could. But based on everything else I don't think his heart was in it. Body language to me read like a idgaf attitude, looked like a guy 'phoning it in' or 'playing out the string' to me. Essentially, my guess is that if he didn't have a two year contract left for big money he'd have just retired and didn't really wanna be there.
  24. tmwiese55
    Yea of course we don't know for sure. But father time catches up quicker if you don't put in the effort to keep in shape, practice, etc all that grind that is needed to be successful at such a tough sport. Some people know they have the money in the bank and relax and do less. Sure looked like a guy just collecting his check the last two years to me. Bottomline, he didn't even show up to games 40% of the contract. Can make excuses and some are fine/justified, but I don't blame a fan at all for simply saying "dude, who are you to talk right now". Especially after they threw him a bone on the timing of his release.
  25. tmwiese55
    I don't blame him for opting out, your life your choice. Totally fine by me. Buuut, then you come back the next two years (especially this year) and essentially phone it in to collect the paycheck it comes off as pretty disingenuous to bash the team.. He can opt out, fine by me. But it's also fine by me if a fan looks at his 5 year contract and realize he only played/tried for 2/5 years and call him out for it a bit. And most importantly, that he's collecting like 18 mil this year to not even show up.
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