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tmwiese55

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Everything posted by tmwiese55

  1. tmwiese55
    Agree. The DQ example kind of hits home, think of how ridiculous this phrase is "I really like DQ Blizzards, the owner should take a loss to keep me happy and the community happier". Also, if you think ours is bad. How'd you like to be in Boston and Chicago right now? Mega market billionaires blatantly cheaping out to help their own pockets while having just ridiculous revenue. As of now, they're basically looking at letting MVPs go in their prime due to being cheap. I still can't imagine they don't find a way to keep Mookie though, it just can't happen.
  2. tmwiese55
    Heck, they could sign Donaldson for 4/$110 million, he could get hurt (because one year of solid play doesn't erase the fact that the guy is extremely injury prone and older), and be looking at Sogard at the main 3B. Bad things can happen. You enter the season with hopes regardless. In this case, the chance of it working might be a little less, but taking a chance is taking a chance however you look at it. Yea, very true. good post. Of course, the advantage here is that it in no way hurts us in years forward. That's the main problem with the "payroll can't go down if you're trying to win" crowd, these big contracts go several years and ruin future years if they blow up. All in all, that's probably the biggest area of disadvantage for the small markets, they simply can't take on that risk. On a 1-2 year basis, I'm sure they'd spend a lot more aggressively when it makes sense, but these multi year things can be killer. Just think if we were sitting on Jordan Zimmerman's (hometown guy, if you want to win sign him and bring home, don't be cheap, etc) contract the last few years how much of a problem that would be for year to year team building.
  3. tmwiese55
    Yea there is a scenario where this can work well (very Oakland-esqe). But there is also a scenario where 3B is a black hole all year, I mean it's Sogard/Gyorko. Granted, we spent 2-3 months last year with production worse than even our worst case scenario this year and still did ok but can't really bank on that again. I would add though, that in all the complaining it's somewhat getting lost that Gyorko was a very solid starting level player before being hurt last year. This isn't the same as trusting a 2 months fluke from Sogard in 2017 or whatever year it was, or thinking a guy like Healy who's never done it all of a sudden will. The guy was a good player for several years on a prime playoff contender until getting hurt last year. Just kinda hurts to have to root for a Cardinal that I'm sure annoyed all of us. It's really not crazy at all to think they guy will be 'fine'
  4. tmwiese55
    I suggest being a yankees fan then. I’d prefer being a grumpy Brewers fan... I do think there is a certain degree to which Mark is scamming Brewers fans. He’s providing great family fun and entertainment, and in that way he is delivering. I do not think he is investing every dollar he can afford into making the Brewers a winner though... haha fair enough. I know how much people enjoy complaining and all. I guess I simply think that's unrealistic to expect. Last year, highest payroll. Ponies up for two big contracts. Year before, largest contract in team history and one really all of us probably thought was an overpay, aaaand two years later we'd all want out of, 2011-13ish kept spending aaaand that led to those brutal pitching contract we had to eat, and Aram's last year. Again, which contract could we realistically do? Cain contract is kind of a proof point as to why these contracts are so problematic for us. One side of our mouth we're complaining about h is contract and wanting to dump, other side we're demanding that we give out more or they're cheap, stupid, and not trying to win.
  5. tmwiese55
    Rendon and Cole. I don’t care one bit whether Mark has $10 billion dollars or $9 billion I suggest being a yankees fan then.
  6. tmwiese55
    What big name star deal do we all think MKE could've and should've signed. While ignoring the fact that we'd also need the person to want to come here and that we'd likely have top that deal that was signed. Just assume the exact same deals that were signed. Which one was our cheap ownership too chicken to do? wibadger nailed it. If we did better in our development we wouldn't have to have this turnover and filling of holes every year.
  7. tmwiese55
    geez here we go again. It leads me to believe that if Donaldson called up and said I'm down for 1/25 they'd do it. Just like they did last year for two guys. You can't just spend it to spend it. If fans demand we pay more, welp, let's just give Sogard 25 mil. Boom, we're at last year's payroll. Let's roll, everyone's happy then huh It should go without saying, but signing a 4-7 year contract has payroll ramification several years down the road. Not just right now "when fans should expect to spend more"
  8. tmwiese55
    Also roll into next offseason with a fairly clear payroll situation as well. And hopefully an easier market to deal with how much some big spenders spent this offseason. Think of this way, anyone think if Cole said he'd sign for 3/100 that we wouldn't have done it because then our payroll would be above 125 mil (or whatever this cheap owners limit is). Or Rendon on something similar.
  9. tmwiese55
    Let's see if I can phrase this well. Just because we are going to end up with less payroll doesn't automatically mean there was some clear 'slash payroll' mandate from ownership. As in, if there was the proper deal available to spend that money on then maybe they'd have done it and it would've been approved. For example, Moose was willing to come back for 2/30. Well, they'd have spent that 15 rather than signing Sogard for 4.5. But, they deemed it too much to go to 4 years on it. Same for a Donaldson type guy, Grandal, or some pitchers. Things of that nature. I guess I'm just saying, with how much Attanasio has proven he's willing to 'go for it' over the years I really don't think he's the problem here. I think the problem ended up being 2-3 years of frugalness by other teams led to this year's market being well above what most anyone predicted, thus pricing people out of our range. Therefore here we are making small deals on the fringes trying to do our best. Such is life as a Brewers fan. Hey, it's better than 93-07ish life as a Brewer fan.
  10. tmwiese55
    Not really, though. Yeah, there is little cost. But if he flops, he's going to hurt the team in a season they are looking to contend. Also, he would be clogging up a spot on the roster, which means they would need to find someone to replace him during the year, which means you are giving up assets in a trade. There is plenty of risk involved in handing a starting spot to a guy coming off injury and an absolute terrible year. This is basically like if the Brewers had decided to hand the starting 2020 3B job to Travis Shaw. Yet again, there is no option that doesn't cost 100 mil that doesn't come with this same risk. I also don't see them 'handing him the starting spot" either. There is likely going to be tons of platooning, mixing and matching and then the person who hits will get more ABs. I would grant they shouldn't be too 'loyal' to him in that they trot him out there for weeks on end if he's doing poorly (like Shaw last year). Don't want to get into that scenario again. This goes to the roster spot too, you just cut him if he flops. So I guess I'd agree on that 'risk', as Counsell can stick with his vets maybe a bit much at times. But, that may also be a factor in why he's done so well overall as a manager in regards to moral, chemistry, etc, in that the players all seem to really like and trust him. Sure, do I wish we could afford more proven or better option. Yea of course, but I realize I'm a Brewers fan.
  11. tmwiese55
    Do we expect or hope anything more than mediocrity at 3B at this point? There are no options out there that cost less than 100 Mil that you can expect or hope for anything more than mediocrity. For example, mediocrity for 2-3 mil from him or mediocrity for 15 mil from Seager. He had an injury rampaged 2019, before that he was perfectly solid player. Who knows if he bounces back but seems pretty low risk to me and there is upside. He's also a contact low K guy, which I think almost all of us have been clamoring to get more of those guys on the roster I personally like Seager's upside much more being a lefty playing half his game in a LHH paradise. I suppose if Gyorko is your RHH utility infielder, and Sogard is your LHH utility infielder, that's fine. But if that is your main 3B platoon, gross. Sure, one will cost next to nothing but the other has a 3 year commitment for a ton of money. And regardless, sure it's semantics but anyone that thinks what Seager could do is more than 'mediocrity' probably has a bit too high of expectations. He's essentially had one season above mediocre in his whole career, he just parlayed into a big contract. There is a very real possibility Gyorko could play and put up a 270/340 20+ HR stat line for close to vet minimum. If he flops, you're out nothing. Or, maybe he just handles the RH side of a platoon and combine him and Sogard together and you get some pretty solid stats. Very low risk and there is no clear easy better option that doesn't cost 100+ mil
  12. tmwiese55
    And if he's doing well can handle the RH side of 1B platoon too if/when Braun is hurt. Remember Smoak is weaker vs Lefties. Just another flexible roster guy. Hey, they're panning for gold with a bunch of guys, just need one of them to pan out and be league average.
  13. tmwiese55
    Do we expect or hope anything more than mediocrity at 3B at this point? There are no options out there that cost less than 100 Mil that you can expect or hope for anything more than mediocrity. For example, mediocrity for 2-3 mil from him or mediocrity for 15 mil from Seager. He had an injury rampaged 2019, before that he was perfectly solid player. Who knows if he bounces back but seems pretty low risk to me and there is upside. He's also a contact low K guy, which I think almost all of us have been clamoring to get more of those guys on the roster
  14. tmwiese55
    Heyooo, sometimes I get one right.
  15. tmwiese55
    ON paper, yea I guess I'd agree that it doesn't look as good. But, I can see scenarios where they end up better. First, pretty much all beginning season starters flopped last year. Even just mediocre production from the new guys is better. Second, bullpen was a disaster outside of Hader until mid August. Even Hader had his rough 4ish weeks. It really wouldn't be too difficult to be better than that next year. Offense of course lost some fire power, but Keston full year makes up for some. 1B/3B were black holes the first few months last year, not hard to get better production there to make up for drop off with Moose/Grandal gone. Cain, gong from blah to descent again (even if not 2018 self) is another area. So there are ways for it to happen, but I'd also be very skeptical on a 3rd year in a row of an insane hot streak in September, especially with the new rules.
  16. tmwiese55
    I've kind of been thinking this too. It's only a one year low risk commitment. If they just give him over to clear the money I'd just take that and call it a day. He's only a year removed from being very good. Remember last offseason when so many of us wanted him. Sure, he was hurt all last year but that's why he's available to begin with. At least there is some legit upside here and next to no risk.
  17. tmwiese55
    Could be complicated as well if he was still under contract for 2019 in regards to cap. Things like does his old deal kick in, does it void, IDK, things of that nature they have to have rules on so teams don't find loopholes to cheat the cap.
  18. tmwiese55
    I re-tried coffee about 4 years ago. As I think some said, it's an acquired taste and of course people's tastes change so I figured I should give it another chance. Same, hated the 3-4 I tasted. I guess I did taste a few on a trip to New Zealand a few months as my friends are coffee people, yea didn't like any of it. Which reminds me of the really the main point, essentially every morning on that trip had to revolve around 'needing' coffee. Which of course was not a big deal as we usually had nothing urgent to do but still. So, yea I don't think I'll change.
  19. tmwiese55
    I feel this way too but I do wonder how valid it is. It seems that after a while, the morning cup just brings me back to where I was before I started drinking it at all. I can't handle more than one cup or I get the shakes. This is exactly true. In general of course, I'm sure some are different but you have to wonder if that's more placebo effect than anything else. Same applies to the people that need to hammer 5 monsters a day. For coffee/dessert topic. I want to say this is partly due to, trying to think of a way to say it, "trying to stay regular."
  20. tmwiese55
    I'd also guess Cruickshank would fit better in a spread quick short passing system in a slot type role. Our traditional NFL system doesn't bode great for a tiny guy like him, and of course we value run blocking from WRs and that's going to be tough for him.
  21. tmwiese55
    Surprising one to me with all the WR playing time coming available from Cephus/Taylor. I think he's from NY though, so could be some reasons or just a desire to get closer to home. I think he's also redshirted already, so unless he graduates in 3 years he'll likely have to blow a year of eligibility sitting out a year (though NCAA seems to grant waivers to any school not UW). Maybe he will graduate though, good for him if he does, good luck to him. I think he also said it's not for sure he leaves, just exploring. But can't imagine too many go back to their school after taking this step. ETA: Turns out he still has his redshirt, I must've been mixing up years.
  22. tmwiese55
    Yea, I agree on it being a long shot. And no I wouldn't include Keston. I'd think you'd have to start with Turang of course, I'd say he'd also be good enough to include any SP prospects (that we normally tend to hoard). Like you said though, it sure seems someone could trump us easily as we don't exactly have a ton to offer. Generally I want to keep Burnes and go for a rebound on him, but someone as good Chapman anything is on the table. Plus, there's a good chance they don't value him after such a disastrous year.
  23. tmwiese55
    One of the few things I like about myself is that I have absolutely no need or interest in coffee.
  24. tmwiese55
    Man, Chapman could get me interested. What a fit he'd be and controlled. Keep in mind no one would've ever guess they'd trade Donaldson when they did either but they did it. Of course, they probably feel like that was a mistake and didn't get enough so it's fair to assume they'd need a haul. But, he's also the type of talent that we should feel comfortable giving up a ton for (ala Yelich).
  25. tmwiese55
    That seems like a good option to me. He'd also be cheap and cost controlled for years. I had him in fantasy last year so I was aware of him. You'll probably have to give up something legit for him though but shouldn't be ridiculous or anything. I do grant he probably seems like a regression candidate and 280/350 with 25+ HRs might not be realistic expectations(also why I'll probably pass on him as a keeper). Well, the with miller park the power will probably be there regardless but even a normal dip in the percents and he's still a good player and better than we have now, and controllable.
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