The past means nothing, the future does. In baseball...a month, crapshoot. I agree, but also run differential is fairly predictive in baseball, and only 4 teams have ever made the playoffs in the modern era with a negative run differential, and the lowest was -22. The eye test says this is not a good team, and the negative run differential confirms that. With that said, they could rattle off a bunch of big wins and in turn whittle that differential down, just doesn't seem very likely. I agree it isn’t a good sign and this team is dismal, but the run differential only predict what they should have done (or about) in the past. The future may hold a entirely different run differential this a more promising record to match. Who knows, much like how our opponents will be playing when we face them. Tough opponents can be real easy if they are cold when you face them. I don’t think this team is really any worse than the one that had a great May-ish timeframe. I don’t think they make the postseason and I don’t think it will even be close (5+ games out)...but really, randomness of baseball could prove to give different results. It is somewhat predictive, but at the same time it is hard to even predict baseball.