I am not necessarily disagreeing with you, but think about this - if you are correct that his value will never get higher, what makes you think that the GMs around MLB aren't aware of this too and aren't making low-ball offers? The thing is the value mid season won't be there. The amount of suitors will be lower and teams won't be as motivated putting in a catcher in the middle of the season with the pitchers. So if teams consider Lucroy much like his 2014 I see no reason this is his values high point. Even if he absolutely crushes this year suddenly you only get one year not two...big decline in value I don't care what kind of season he has. Then if he ends up having a down season suddenly you are looking at something close to what Gomez got. Not a bad deal by any means, but no where near what we "should" get now. GMs know this is his values peak, but it is also the highest value for them too.