Last year the Brewers had a 99 ERA- & won 89 games. The Reds had a 93 ERA- & won 75 games. The Reds ERA was 6% better, yet the Brewers won 19% more games. Pitching is almost half the game, but it ain't the whole thing. Also, pitching tends to be more volatile because pitchers get hurt more, making it naturally less trustworthy as a whole. Last year our #2 starter to open the season was Freddy Peralta. He ended up with 35 IP over 8 starts with a 7.07 ERA in the rotation. The Brewers still won 89 games. Here are the two teams position groups with their 2020 ZIPS projected OPS+... MKE C: Narvaez (106) Pina (78) CIN C: Banhart (89) Casali (77) MKE 1B: Votto (114) CIN 1B: Smoak (106) MKE 2B: Hiura (115) CIN 2B: Moose (118) MKE SS: Urias (95) Arcia (75) CIN SS: Galvis (80) MKE 3B: Gyorko (98) Sogard (85) CIN 3B: Suarez (122) MKE CF: Cain (92) CIN CF: Senzel (97) Akiyama (98) MKE COF: Yelich (149) Garcia (107) Braun (106) CIN COF: Castellanos (125) Winker (112) Aquino (96) Looks like we have better projections at C & COF, while the Reds have a better projection at 3B. Most of the other spots are pretty even. Good info. Thank you. I agree lineups look close but the rotation is where I think the reds have clear advantage. Bullpen too.