The other non play that had the analytics folks up in arms was when McVay punted on 4th and 1 from mid field late in the 4th quarter. I just looked it up and found this, sounds like the FG was the way to go? They make it sound like a wash but that is only in the case that they convert either way, the FG has a much higher probability than 4th and 3 I would think. Maybe I am reading it wrong but even without the numbers the FG seems like the obvious choice to me: According to ESPN Stats & Information, the win percentage had the Cowboys made the field goal would have been 47.4%. Had they converted, the win percentage was 47.2%. So basically a wash. But also according to ESPN Stats & Information, McCarthy never went for it on fourth down when down by three in the fourth quarter and inside the opponents’ 30. He kicked a field goal six times, making five.