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Two reporters out of Miami said Schwarber told the Marlins he wanted a 3/$60M contract. IMO that's way out of the range Stearns can offer. You're right, it doesn't happen.

The DH is already on the teams 40-man roster. Their names are Hiura, Yelich and Tellez. Don't expect a big signing all signs are pointing to the Brewers not being all that active in FA this off season. If the Brewers do add someone it will be someone who can play all over the field or a reliever and I think they will just be bringing some players back like Strickland, Norris, or Boxberger. I think Stearns knows they can't go with the same approach as last year on offense. I hope it's Hiura if there is a DH because that would mean he found his stroke again and everyone's happy. Soler would be my guess if Hiura continues to struggle. The only way I see Yelich as the regular DH is if Stearns pulls off a substancial trade for a power hitting LF, which is doubtful.

Like either side really cares about the fans... That small sentence sums it up perfectly. Fans aren't even a secondary thought for either side.

I'd be cool with Yusmeiro. Over the last five seasons he's at 363 IP (1st) with a 72 ERA- which shakes out to 7.6 rWAR & +8.27 WPA, with both those marks ranking 6th among all relievers. His peripherals, 89 FIP- & 102 xFIP-, and age (37 for the 2022 season) could keep the size of his contract in reasonable range. Petit is 37 this year but he is a controll type reliever (4.3 Ks/ 1.37 BB per 9) so age shouldn't matter much. He did pitch in a very pitcher friendly park in Oakland. He took a nose dive in 2021; 4.72 FIP (worst since 2016) - 8 hits allowed/9 (worst since 2016) - most HRs/9 since 2016 - fewest Ks/9 in his career. He does get a lot of ground balls so it might work out. Made $2.5M last year so you're right, his asking price should be in the affordable range for the Brewers.

You're right about Kelly. But, as you pointed out, not cheap. He made almost $9M each of the last two seasons. That's Hader type money and I don't see the Brewers putting that kind of cash out to a reliever.

The large market teams would have a smaller chance at getting the #1-3 picks under the players proposal for a lottery. Either way if it is the players or the owners proposal there is going to be a lottery it looks like. Small market teams would be better off with the players proposal. Sorry, I didn't do a very good job at making my point. I agree there probably is going to be a lottery because the lottery is really all about money. Not every big market team is going to make the playoffs. Yet they have a much better chance at having a near playoff record and getting a premium pic than the financially strapped teams. That alone defeats the purpose of the draft. The draft was originally set up to help small market teams and keep the Yankees, Dodgers, Red Sox, etc... from buying up all the younger talent. Yes there will always be teams like the cubs and Astros who tank, but as a whole, it's small market, financially challenged teams that dominate the bottom and need the premium draft pics to get better and compete.

Actually what the players union has put together would hurt the large market teams more if they go into tank mode. The smaller market teams won't be impacted by it as much and when they are actually winning may benefit from this in getting a higher pick than what their record is. For example if the Brewers finish 80-82 miss the playoffs but the Cubs go in full on tank mode and go 60-102 the Brewers could actually get a better pick than the Cubs in the draft. The Cubs would get knocked down in the ping pong ball lottery while the Brewers get more ping pong balls. The owners have rejected this and I don't see it being accepted here. The union basically wants the large markets to keep on spending and not go on these 3-5 year tanking seasons as these teams normally then don't spend on FA until they have the younger players close or on their roster. The owners have also proposed a minimum salary but that is all they gave the union. Nothing in the way of what happens if you are below the salary floor so the union rejected it. Haven't seen anything since Nov-Dec about this so I think it is dead at least during this CBA at least. It still hurts small markets just as much or more. Small markets are much more likely to have worse records. Under the ridiculous lottery smaller markets who are trying to rebuild under financial restrictions would now get worse pics that hamper them even more. Big markets who have injuries and don't look to be playoff bound at the break, can can manipulate the system just enough be at .500 or just below and get a chance at the #1-3 pics. It might stop the cubs and Astros from tanking, but it hurts the small markets who are trying even more.

I just don't see any use for Conforto, especially on a one year, prove it deal. He has borass as an agent and didn't play well in his walk year. The Brewers are paying Cain about $18M to play CF, Yelich in LF, and Renfroe in RF, with Taylor in reserve. I don't think they would want to take a chance on paying him as a DH.

I agree about Zimmerman and I think he wouldn't be worth the money anyway. I think Brosseau has a lot of upside and is much more versatile. Conforto made $12.5 last year and with borass as an agent, he will be looking for a lot more and a long term deal. Schwarber declined $11.5M and is said to be looking for $18-20M plus a longer term deal. I think both are going to be quite a bit out of the Brewers' price range. I don't know how much Rosenthal will be looking for. He's coming off hip surgery, but had an $11M contract last year. If he is healthy and willing to come down to $4-5M he might be worth it. Martinez really stunk for the last two years, but getting him out of StLouis may be worth it if he too would be willing to come way, way down from his $11M previous contract. Colome and Perez would be a waste of roster space.

The issue (or perceived issue) is that the larger market teams would spend the money on payroll, but they have to give it to the small market teams who pocket the cash and don't raise payroll. Therefore, money that would have gone to the players (with the union getting their cut) instead goes into the owners' pockets. Meanwhile, small market or rebuilding teams would argue that spending a few million extra on payroll won't necessarily make the team any better, and it may keep them from giving playing time to a young player trying to prove himself, and hurt them long-term. Obviously, adding payroll doesn't always make a team better, so maybe they could come up with something like: if the team receiving the revenue-sharing funds doesn't spend it improving their team in some fashion, then they have to put it back into the pool. The money wouldn't necessarily have to add to payroll, but maybe they upgrade the locker room, or get a new scoreboard... something that isn't just "pocketing the money." The union is looking to get rid of things designed to somewhat level the playing field between the big markets vs. small markets, so I'd hate for these things to go away. I'd like to eliminate the uneven playing field, not make it worse. The now expired CBA had in it's language pretty much what you said about improving the club. Players said small market owners were pocketing the money. Neither side can come up with a concise way how the money should be spent or how to prove where the money goes.

I love your ideas, but your math is way, way off. The Brewers aren't going to get Staumont for Taylor and a throwin. That would almost be a give-away by the Royals. The Brewers' pkg. to the Pirates would be about half of what the Pirates would want for Reynolds, much less Reynolds and Stratton. The Dodger trade is again far off in surplus value. I don't think the Dodgers would ever be that desperate to get Hader.

My biggest fear of McNeil is comparing 2020 + 2021 (dead ball) to 2019 (live ball) his production dropped dramatically. His BA drops almost 50 pts, OBP drops 45 pts, and he only hit 11 HRs with 58 RBIs (20/21) compared 23 HRs and 75 RBIs (2019 with 60 fewer ABs).

In your first trade I'm afraid the Brewers would have to give up a heck of a lot more than Hader and Sanchez. With what the Phillies would have to give up, Bohm/Stott/plus prospects, they aren't getting enough from the Brewers to even out the trade. I really like Beer a lot too, but so do the D'Backs. If they had to pay off 1/2 of Mad Bum's contract, they don't have any reason to make the trade and lose Beer. If they didn't pay at least half of his contract, the Brewers would never make the deal. It's a conundrum.

I think you may really be on to something except I don't think the A's would accept Turang. He's a glove first SS and his bat doesn't play out anywhere else. The A's have their top prospect SS Nick Allen already at AAA. Maybe the Brewers keep Turang and offer Quero instead. Brewers get: Olson Mets get: Houser A's get: Ginn-Ramirez-Frelick-Tellez-Quero

Because the Brewers need a bat that has some power in it especially in the #4 spot in the lineup. Houser is also a good #4 or #3 pitcher but his value is only so high because of the high demand for pitching and the limited supply. Even with the low average Gallo would have been the 2nd or 3rd best offensive player on the Brewers. Voit is not a platoon player as he doesn't really have an extreme split against LHP or RHP. I don't see the Angels giving up Walsh for anyone unless that someone is Burnes or Woodruff. Your final trade makes no sense for the Yankees. None of the players they are getting back are worth what they gave up to the A's. Remember Gallo is a rental and whiffs almst 4 of every 10 PAs. He isn't what the Crew would want as a DH. The Brewers got Renfroe for RF and the #4 spot. He had 31 HRs, hit .256, and struckout at a 22% rate. There is a reason the Yankees, who are desperately seeking a 1B, are trying hard to peddle Voit. I have him as a platoon player because he is 31, is a well below avg. fielder, and has a history of injuries. I think the Brewers like Tellez a lot. Tellez hit .285 in his short stint with Milwaukee and was very good with the glove. I think you are way over estimating Walsh's value. The best s.v. I could find on Walsh was 32. His average s.v. is around 25-26. The worst s.v. I found on Woodruff was 91. His average s.v. is 110. No way Walsh is worth Woodruff. You're probably right about my Yankee trade, depending on how much the Yanks value SP. My thinking was Dominguez's star is fading and Peraza is blocked by Volpe coming up. The Yankees get a very good SP to help them immediately, a good prospect OF (in place of Dominguez), and a couple of decent prospects for their farm system.

The A's normally don't trade for guys who are in arbitration when they are looking to shred payroll. So Tellez makes zero sense along with Dominic Smith so I see the A's rejecting this trade. Yes the A's would have to replace Olson with someone but that someone would be someone making the league minimum and not someone in their 1st or 2nd year of arbitration. So someone is either adding Piscotty or Andrus to their team if the A's are taking on Smith or Tellez. I just do not see the A's taking on someone who is already in arbitration. I think a Yankees, Brewers and A's trade makes more sense. Brewers get: Gallo Voit Yankees get: Olson Houser A's get: Dominguez Peraza I don't understand your reasoning behind the Brewers giving up a very good SP for Gallo/Voit. Voit would be a platoon player making around $6M already in arby. Gallo is a rental who hit a whopping .199 with only 77 RBIs. He struck out at a nearly 40% rate last year. On a team that is always one of the worst whiff teams in all baseball, they don't need another monstrous K guy. If the Brewers are willing to give up Houser, I'd rather see him go in a 3-way trade where the Brewers get Olson or to the Angels for Walsh. Brewers send Houser/Tellez/Zamora to the Angels for Walsh OR Brewers: Olson A's: Peraza/Dominguez Yankees: Houser/Kelly/Frelick/Zamora

IMO it would be a monstrous give away if the Brewers made that trade with the Angels. The Angles would have to do something like Walsh/Sandoval/Marsh/+ to get Woodruff/Hiura.

The biggest problem I see is I think you are way under estimating what it would take from the Brewers to make some of these trades. In the first trade is the White Sox have Garcia at 2B and I don't think they would have any interest in one year of Wong, especially if they had to send money along with Kimbrel. In the second trade IMO it would take a lot more than a low level prospect from the Brewers going to the Guardians. They would want top level prospects and the Jays would also want something more. No way the Mets trade Nimmo much less Nimmo and Foley for just Lauer. It would take much more from the Brewers.

This is such a poor take. Adell was 21 in 2020 making his debut where so many had a bad season. He had 55ks in 132PAs. 2021 he reduced that to 32 in 140PAs. He improved. Hiura a couple years his senior, did not. Adell will come with extra team control. Like I said Hiura=Tellez value of last year. Adell for Houser plus is being realistic and not through Brewer fan goggles. Which poster here asks these type of questions to the Fangraph chats? Go ahead and ask what would it take for the Brewers to get Adell? Houser or Hiura straight up? Just look at his 2019 minors numbers from A+ to AA to AAA. Then look at his 2021 AAA numbers. Turning 23 in April. Look at Hiura 2019 age 22 in AAA: .329/.407/1.088 19 HRs - 46 RBIs - 243 PAs Look at Adell 2021 age 22 in AAA: .289/.342/.934 23 HRs - 69 RBIs - 339 PAs Hiura was as good a prospect if not better than Adell. At this point IMO Adell looks a lot like Hiura, except Hiura had some success in the big leagues.

Think Adell would be more in line for Houser. Maybe adding Taylor. There is big upside on Adell. Hiura is broken. I'd expect a trade value along the lines of Tellez fwiw, maybe lower. You can't trade Hiura at his lowest value til trade deadline or next offseason. Further sample size where he stands. Also, why must anybody put Ray in a trade proposal. Move on. I think Houser/Taylor would be a big ovepay by the Brewers. Until Adell proves he can hit MLB pitching, I wouldn't do much for him. He is on track to be another Hiura.

I'd consider him as an upgrade at first base over the Tellez/Hiura platoon, and as an option for depth at 3B/2B/LF. Assume it's McNeil for Lauer/Ray/Tellez. 2b: Wong 1b: McNeil lf: Yelich ss: Adames c: Narvaez rf: Renfroe 3b: Urias cf: Cain bench: Severino, Hiura, Peterson, Broussard, Taylor rotation: Burnes, Woodruff, Peralta, Ashby, Houser bullpen: Hader (closer), D. Williams (8th), Cousins (7th), A. Perdomo (middle), Topa (middle), Sanchez (middle), Suter (multi/long), Lindblom (multi/long/garbage) I just don't see McNeil being much of an upgrade over Tellez if it cost them Lauer. I would rather have Lauer in the 5 spot and Ashby in the pen or #6 with Tellez at 1B. I believe Tellez will have better power numbers and drive in more runs than McNeil. With Brousseau and Peterson on the bench, I think the Crew has 3B & 1B covered.

I'd be really curious to see the splits for AL (with DH) vs. NL (without) home games....mainly to see if the AL has an absolute advantage for inter-league play, or the advantages of the DH in home games outweighs the home advantage of playing without the DH in the NL. Honestly, I prefer the strategic aspects of having the pitchers hit. If that were taken out of the game, I'd almost rather see an 8-man batting order than putting the DH in the National League....but I'm guessing that's a non-starter for collective bargaining. As a traditionalist I'm not a big DH fan, but I think it's inevitable. I saw an interesting concept on a N.Y. web site. Keeping the DH through 5 innings and starting in the 6th inning, once the pitcher is removed, the DH is gone. That keeps the DH and still allows some strategy of the NL. I'm sure that's just one of many conceivable concepts of the DH rule.

That's why I think it may be time to see what he can do as a cheap 5th OF. He has some assets that could help at the MLB level as long as he's playing for league minimum. Heck, he might even "prove himself" enough to stick around for an arby year or two. He's been surpassed by a number of guys on the prospect depth chart, so he's probably never going to get the starting role in Milwaukee. He's nearing the stage where we either get something out of him as a bench player or let him go and see what he can do elsewhere. I don't believe if the DH comes to the NL (assuming they get a DH and not use Yelich as the DH) the Brewers will carry a 5th outfielder. Taylor can play all three OF positions, and Peterson can play the corner OF spots as well as the infield.

I cannot imagine Stearns wants anything to do with Gallo or Dalbec and their monstrous whiff numbers. Gallo is a big HR guy, but he has less RBIs than Urias in more ABs. Plus he is a rental at approx. $8+M. Voit only if there is a DH. If they are going to trade for a rental why not Haniger? How about longer term guys like Mountcastle from the O's or as previously mentioned, McMahon from the Rockies?

I just don't see how trading Houser for a backup infielder (McNeil) and two maybes still in A and rookie ball is going to help the Brewers in any way. If Stearns is going to trade a SP it should for or part of a trade for the middle of the order, big bat they need.