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brewerfan82

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Everything posted by brewerfan82

  1. Steve Phillips also speculated a possible Andujar/Frazier return for Hader on MLB Radio this morning. Similar to the McNeil/Smith Mets deal, it would solve the corner infield holes on the team (by moving Braun to 1st in the Yankees deal). Either deal would probably include supplemental pieces going one way or another, but the base pieces seem like fairly plausible starting points according the MLB Trade Simulator site: Here are the contract situations of the players involved: As noted above, either scenario fills out our 1B/3B roster holes with pre-arb players, which along with saving an additional ~$4M on Hader this season (and even more the following 3 seasons), this leaves ~$40-45M left to concentrate on pitching this offseason. I doubt the Brewers jump into the Cole/Strasburg sweepstakes, but this may allow them to take a serious run at a couple pitchers in the next couple tiers of starting pitchers (Wheeler - MLBTR pred. 5 yrs/$100M, Bumgarner 4/$72M, Ryu 3/$54M, Keuchel 3/$39M, Hamels 2/30M, Pineda 2/$22M, Miley 2/$16M) as well as a couple relief pitchers to offset the loss of Hader (Betances 1/$7M, Hudson 2/$12M, Stammen 2/$10M, Cishek 2/$10M, Harris 2/$18M, Martin 2/$14M). I'd also note, while Hader is unbelievably dominant, he's averaged facing just under 300 batters the past two seasons. Compare that to the average starting position player who has approximately 600 plate appearances each year and you end up trading a player that affects 300 at bats per year for a couple players that affect 1200 at bats per year. I don't want to trade him away for nothing, but I'm not opposed to trading extremely high on a relief pitcher if it allows us to fill out the offense and reconstruct the pitching staff for the next 4-5 years.
  2. If that's the case then I keep Arcia and spend the saved $15M on pretty much any FA expected to go for that much (ie. Castellanos/~$14.5M AAV, Keuchel/13, Hamels/15, Ozuna/15) or on a package of players (choose two: Betances/~$7M AAV, Hudson/6, Miley/8, Moustakas/10, Encarnacion/8, Kendrick/6, Dickerson/7.5). Of course that all comes with the caveat that you're able to get them to sign, but pretty much anything you do with FA would be better than taking on Kennedy's contract. I'd rather keep Arcia as an unconventional "super sub". He would only come in to play short, but it would allow other players to shift to cover 2B, 3B, etc., as needed.
  3. For reference, here are some comparisons of the 1B/DH available in FA (plus our internal options... Braun and Shaw??) 2018-19 Overall: 2018-19 vs RHP: 2018-19 vs LHP: Relevant MLBTR Predictions (https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/11/mlb-free-agent-predictions-2020.html): Howie Kendrick could be a really nice, versatile piece to add for a couple years at a reasonable price because of his age.
  4. 2018-19 numbers:
  5. Haha, okay, it's obviously a baseball bat. This is one of the strangest hills to die on I've ever seen.
  6. Highest payroll in team history and 4th in the division. https://www.usatoday.com/sports/mlb/salaries/2019/team/all/ 15th highest payroll in MLB... with arguably the smallest market in baseball (smallest market population: https://www.baseball-almanac.com/articles/baseball_markets.shtml, 2nd smallest TV market: https://www.sportsmediawatch.com/nba-market-size-nfl-mlb-nhl-nielsen-ratings/, 5th lowest TV revenue: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/estimated-tv-revenues-for-all-30-mlb-teams/) So they're outspending half the league despite having the fewest resources. [sarcasm]I understand why you're complaining that they don't spend enough.[/sarcasm]
  7. I'm on the "that ain't a bat" side here. The glove and ball are quasi-proportionate to eachother, it would seem really odd to then squeeze a super tiny, pointy, knob-less bat into the webbing of the glove just to do it. It seems like a stretch to me to say that's anything other than just the webbing of the glove. It's an interesting interpretation though!
  8. 3 runs? I this house of horrors? I don't think I trust any lead in this dump against this team. Yeah I hear ya but Josh is much less effective when he is overworked. Then they can use him more sparingly for the rest of the season, but Josh can pitch today and tomorrow versus the only competitive team left on the schedule.
  9. I can understand *preferring* not to have a net in front of me, but I can't sacrifice safety for a preference. That said, shouldn't the discussion move to "how do we make the netting less distracting?" at this point? Is the current netting solution really the least noticeable material/thickness/etc. possible while still being able to prevent a 120mph ball from flying through it? I mean, I'm currently sitting two feet from a screened office window and I almost never realize it's even there when looking outside, seems like we should be able to come up with *something* that's less distracting at the ballpark.
  10. Was that really necessary? Of course it’s an opinion. And everyone knows it’s my opinion except you apparently. I think he's trying to suggest a softer tone to your posts. Whether you mean to or not, the assertive nature of your posts comes off as patronizing and combative. When you phrase opinions as fact, it sounds like you're telling people that they are wrong and that there isn't room for discussion, so there's naturally some push back from those reading what are often otherwise reasonable and welcomed opinions.
  11. One of the things I really appreciate about Rock and BA is that they're not total homers. They're pretty quick to point out when the Brewers catch a break with a bad call. I've watched other broadcasts where the broadcasters will pretend (or delusionally act as if) bad calls were correct because they are in their team's favor and it's super irritating. Whether it's a non-called strike, or an iffy call on the bases, I think our guys are pretty good at calling things as they actually see it.
  12. I'm still a fan of Shaw and think he's a big part of this team moving forward, but right now he's a really awkward fit on the roster: C Grandal (S) / Pina ® 1B Thames (L) / Braun ® / Shaw (L) 2B Hiura ® / Shaw (L) 3B Moustakas (L) / Shaw (L) SS Arcia ® LF Braun ® / Grisham (L) CF Cain ® / Gamel (L) RF Yelich (L) Swapping him out for Perez (who as noted is batting well in AAA - .360/.435/.680/1.115 with 5 HRs post-AS break) really evens out the roster a ton. C Grandal (S) / Pina ® 1B Thames (L) / Braun ® / Grandal (S) 2B Hiura ® / Perez ® 3B Moustakas (L) / Perez ® SS Arcia ® / Perez ® LF Braun ® / Grisham (L) CF Cain ® / Gamel (L) RF Yelich (L) / Perez ®
  13. I don't think adding a couple "Tanner Roarks" was going to "move the needle" in this rotation. They were able to grab Lyles to fill a spot for now at a reasonable cost and probably didn't find the price or need worth it to grab another mediocre pitcher to add to the back of the rotation. A return of Woodruff is going to be a bigger impact than any other reasonable acquisition would have been and when he returns he would have knocked them out of the rotation anyways. 2018-2019 Stats: Note: ERA isn't everything, but the obtainable pitchers this deadline were a whole pile of meh.
  14. Has anyone looked at Black's K/9 numbers? Holy moly. https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=black-000ray
  15. That would fill our White Sox quota for the year too. Book it.
  16. Faria's controlled through 2023 for his age 26-29 years: https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/tampa-bay-rays/jacob-faria-18353/
  17. Only one year left on his contract and they won't be signing him to an extension (nor will any team interested in trading for him next year): https://www.si.com/mlb/2018/07/06/trevor-bauer-one-year-contracts-get-shot-paintball-gun-groin
  18. And we want to trade him? I hope against all hope that we keep this kid... He'll look nice in left field for the next 6 years. If they can get a TOR arm that's controllable for him as part of a package, how the heck do you say no to that?? You can find OFers I think most would love a controllable TOR arm that doesn't cost Hiura, a major leaguer, and/or Burnes/Peralta, however what if a Grisham-headlined package only gets you a #3 arm? There really aren't even that many controllable TOR arms available and I don't think Grisham is getting us Syndergaard.
  19. Just a reference for how some of the talked about starting pitchers stack up against eachother and the current Brewers, here's a table using 2018-19 stats sorted by xFIP:
  20. Spangenberg has very limited time at SS. MLB = 1 inning. Minors = 8 games. He certainly isn't a starting SS. That's fine, he just needs to be a backup SS. If Arcia gets hurt, you bring someone up (or acquire someone) that's more comfortable taking the majority of the starts there. You're right though, maybe he can't hack it as a SS, but they've used him there in the minors this year and the major league team hasn't shied away from trying guys out at positions they have limited/no experience at the past couple years (Moose/Shaw at 2B, Braun at 1B, Aguilar at 3B, Perez at RP, jk). So I definitely wouldn't rule it out.
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