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jay87shot

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Everything posted by jay87shot

  1. jay87shot
    Yeah, good point. I will adjust those offers. Hendry Mendez, Joseph Hernandez, and Abraham Toro for Turner Logan Henderson, Carlos Rodriguez (OF), and Jason Alexander for Candelario Both offers contain a top 15ish org prospect, top 30 and 40 man roster swap.
  2. jay87shot
    End of year staff Rotation) Burnes, Woody, Peralta, Miley, Teheran/Rea Pen) Williams, Payamps, Peguro, Hoby, Bryse Wilson, Houser, Uribe, Ashby/Justin Wilson If Uribe isn't great and Ashby's rehab isn't on track by the end of the month I would be all for a depth add in the pen. However at this point I don't think it is high priority.
  3. jay87shot
    On the value of our prospects. 1) Chourio is still a top 5 prospect, even though his ba isn't great he still has incredibly high potential, he just might not debut until the end of 24' (at 20) which is fine. There are probably only a couple dozen players in the league he would be traded for and I doubt any of those guys are available. 2)Quero and Misi at this point are widely undervalued, come next year they will both likely be around the top 30. So trading them at a lower value wouldn't make sense. 3) Frelick and Black are probably our 2 most likely to be traded prospects. I really don't want to trade them unless we are getting a top notch player with control. I like a 2025 lineup of C Quero/Contreras 1B Yeli/trade, 2B Black, SS Turang, 3B Wilken, 4 man OF Weimer, Chourio, Mitchell, Frelick, DH Contreras, Yeli, 4th OF way to much to sell on Black or Frelick for a short term bat.
  4. jay87shot
    I can't see us getting Alonso or Goldschmidt at the deadline. However I could see a Burnes for Goldy based deal working in the offseason. The Cards needs pitching we need a bat, we could maybe extend Goldy for 2/50 through 2026 and the Cards could give Burnes a massive 8/260 style extension. I doubt Alonso moves anywhere, the Mets have lots of money coming of the books between this year and next. The Mets fans love him and have plenty of money to extend him.
  5. jay87shot
    Justin Turner and Jeimer Candelario would be at the top of my list. I would try and find ways to trade some of our guys on the 40 man who are seemingly on the way out. Turner for Tyrone Taylor, Ethan Small/Janson Junk, and Gregory Barrios Candelario for Peter Strezlecki/Janson Junk, Abraham Toro, and Jeison Pena Each trade clears up 40 man roster space and improves our lineup without gicing ip meaningful future pieces. The other team 2 young controllable player with some mlb experience for this season and beyond and a lotto type prospect. 1) Yeli, 2) Turner, 3) Candyman, 4) Adames (if he continues to hit), 5) Contreras. That actually sounds like a decent 1-5 and we could make a swing at a decent DH/1B still.
  6. jay87shot
    I was just trying to make the money work, you could take from Wilken and add some to Knoth and Pratt.
  7. jay87shot
    Any thoughts on how we get everyone signed? 1) Wilken= 3.9 mill save=121k I doubt Wilken takes much of a discount but maybe a little. 1comp) Knoth= 2.1 mill save=493k This is paying him 2nd round money, as a lower ranked guy 2 mill would seem a solid payday. 2)Boeve= 1.1 mill save=446k Boeve takes less as a smaller school college player who went above rankings. 3)Bitoniti= 1.5 mill over=708k My guess is the 2 lowers drafted HS players will want around 1.5 mill to forgo college. ??? 4)Woodward=100k save=457k Pretty sure he had Tommy John and will be out most of next year. We should be able to sign him well below. 5) Birchard= 392k at slot As a 19 year old with options I doubt we can go below slot. 6)Pratt= 1.5 over=1.19k Same as Bitonini 7-10 Kuehner, Yoho, Manfred, Austin Sign 400k (100k each) save=382k That comes out pretty muchly even if my math is correct. It would be nice to have a little extra to sign Letson and some of the other HS picks after 10.
  8. jay87shot
    There's our juco superstar.
  9. jay87shot
    I love Travis Sykora, Cameron Johnson, and Cole Schoenwetter as big upside HS arms. However who knows signabilty matters. Hunter Owen, Jaron Watts-Brown, and Tanner Witt all seem likely to be solid 4/5 starters but without huge ceilings. Plenty of interesting bats as well, my favorite is Brandon Winokur a 6'5" HS bat that has great power and athleticism.
  10. jay87shot
    Only 9 strikouts in over 200 abs. This guy feels identical to Tyler Black. Small school guy, high end hit tool with a little power and speed. He is maybe a bit slower but probably a better fielder. Another very solid pick is my opininion.
  11. jay87shot
    I love the plus curve ball with a solid heater. His delivery looks pretty smooth and at 17 I would guess there is still plenty of untapped potential. If we could sign him for under or at $2 million this becomes and A+. As the 98th ranked prospect my guess is the Brewers know he will take an under slot amount which greatly improves his value.
  12. jay87shot
    Teams can buy players in the mlb. We bought Owen Miller for cash considerations. Also a teams in all leagues can take money in the way of bad contracts. Say in 3 or 4 years a guy like Bryan Reynolds stinks and the Pirates have the 1st pick. The Pirates could trade Reynolds and #1 to a rich team to take his contract. That would widen the gap between small and big market teams even more.
  13. jay87shot
    Knoth is a nice get, especially if he signs below slot. Ranked in the 90's by mlb.com means we could get a super intriguing arm and possibly save some $ for a later pick.
  14. jay87shot
    Love this pick, 3rd was a weak spot in the system and we need middle of the order bats. Wilken is both, I wouldnt be surprised if he goes straight to A+ and let Adams keep the playing time in A ball. He will be a great 1B in my opinion if he gets a bit stiff for 3rd. Looks a lot like Pete Alonso to me.
  15. jay87shot
    Problem is that big market teams could just buy picks. I would be fine if the rule was trading picks for picks or prospects. No money or 40 man salary commitments. Hoping Morales or Gelof at 33. I don't know much about some of the better HS prospects but I'm sure they would be fine.
  16. jay87shot
    Brayden Taylor and then Hurst Waldrop would be my 2 options if there. I still like taking a lower rated player and saving a bunch for later picks. There are a ton of high school pitchers I like later on that we can go over slot and make 3 or 4 solid picks that way.
  17. jay87shot
    Chourio isn't going anywhere, you don't trade a top 5 prospect for 1.5 years of anyone. With the Mets having a lot of potential money coming off the books this year my guess is they take care of Alonso after Ohtani signs where ever next year. Carlos Santana could be an interesting option. He is a much better 1B than Rowdy and better than Winker at the plate. He won't set the world on fire but would be much more consistent and cost peanuts. With Frelick sputtering in AAA, I would be ok trading him if someone would give us top 50 prospect value for him. Maybe even Frelick for a prospect like Kyle Manzardo. We could even do something like Frelick for Justin Turner and a prospect (Nick Yorke or Blaze Jordan). Any chance we could get any value for guys stuck in AAA like Urias, Huira, or Lauer. My guess is at this point none of them will be tendered a contract next year. They could get a shot at some playing time on a seller and we could get something useful back. Urias and a prospect (Jace Avina or Joseph Hernandez) for Candelerio would be interesting.
  18. jay87shot
    Any chance Misi could be a bullpen option at the end of the year? I know it is crazy since he is in A+ with only 26 innings in, however Uribe and Misi in the 6th/7th would be nuts.
  19. jay87shot
    I like Canha a bunch, Mets would likely eat some of his salary and wouldn't cost a ton. I agree Mariners not probably selling, Hernandez would be interesting. I think Justin Turner is ideal if the Red Sox dip below .500. Maybe in tandem with Adam Duvall to DH. Mitch Garver would be an interesting option as well at DH/3RD catcher it would allow. Caratini to DH occasionally as well. Garver has played a bit at 1st as well.
  20. jay87shot
    He through a bullpen and said it would be a spring training like build up from there so around a month.
  21. jay87shot
    I would give Gasser at least 2 starts here and then go Houser if Gasser isn't quite ready. With our offense I feel like we need to go with the upside plays. Say a pitcher like Gasser has 2 good starts and 1 bad one (like 2 starts 6 inning, 1 run and 1 start 4 innings 4 runs). Houser and Rea are more 5/6 innings and 3 runs. I feel like Gasser gives us a strong chance to play above .500 where as Houser/Rea could go 0-3 or 1-2 depending on offense hot streaks.
  22. jay87shot
    I could be convinced to jump on board a Burnes trade but I would want a mlb ready bat and rotation piece. Manzardo, Montgomery, and Basabe would be pretty good. I would definitely try for Junior Caminero ( not that he is mlb ready. Would Junior Caminero, Luke Raley, and Luis Patino work. Maybe trade for a starter like Giolito to make up for missing out. I still think the Rangers would be the best fit. They have 3 or 4 hitters of interest and a couple young pitchers. Justin Foscue, Jack Leiter, and Owen White for Burnes and a reliever. (Not real high on Ezekiel Duran but he could work). Dodgers also of course Busch, one of their 3 or 4 young starters, and a 3rd AA starter
  23. jay87shot
    Simply yes, the 2-4 or 5 spots should be the spots that create consistency in an offense. Having guys who are super streaky in those spots creates holes and lots of 0/1 run games or games where we score only in 1 inning. Our main middle of the order hitters are not on pace for even 75 rbis (i believe) Tellez 31, Adames 29, Contreras 24. Winker 16. We are 26th in runs, in comparison to teams that are ranked in the middle of the league 14,15,16 (330-326 runs scored) we are 29-33 runs on the year. If our 2-4 or 5 hitters had 10 rbis more that puts us at league average or better. That would also put those 4 guys no where near league leaders in the mlb. Currently our rbi leader (Anderson) is tied for 78th in rbis. If we had say the 15th ranked rbi player (48 rbi) I would guess we would have at least a few more wins (2-5?). Add in 2 or 3 competent 2-5 hitters and the sky is the limit.
  24. jay87shot
    I feel like Tyler Black and Luis Lara are ready for promotions (among others). Lara almost has a 2 to 1 bb to k ratio, even though he is a young 18 I would give him a push up. Black being in the same boat, neither really has a big prospect in their way slowing them down. Who else did I miss that is on the doorsteps of a promotion?
  25. jay87shot
    I am past worrying about the Pirates and Cards but the Reds seem to have a huge future. With de la Cruz, Steer, McLain, Friedl, India, Benson, Stephenson, and Encarnacion-Strand on the way there is a ton of offense. They have money and prospects to fix the massive holes in their rotation around Greene and Abbott.
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